This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.93
1.86
0.64
1.50
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.09
1.36
0.60
0.80
1.50
1.83
vs Weaker (19)
2.00
0.68
2.56
0.56
1.50
0.80
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.5%
Under 2.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.6%
No
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1 ✓
11.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
Hapoel Katamon goals ↓
Hapoel Beer Sheva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
12%
10%
5.5%
2.2%
1
6.2%
13%
9.5%
5.1%
2.0%
2
3.4%
5.5%
4.4%
2.4%
0.9%
3
1.1%
1.7%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Katamon goals (down), columns = Hapoel Beer Sheva goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.36
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.69
Hapoel Haifa
1.64
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Bnei Sakhnin
1.25
Beitar Jerusalem
1.24
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.21
Maccabi Netanya
1.15
Ashdod
1.12
Hapoel Hadera
1.09
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.73
Hapoel Katamon is 0.39 points worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.69).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
2.08
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.53
Beitar Jerusalem
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.15
Maccabi Netanya
1.09
Bnei Sakhnin
1.08
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Ashdod
0.88
Hapoel Hadera
0.85
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.76
Hapoel Katamon is 0.38 goals worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.69
Maccabi Haifa
0.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.18
Beitar Jerusalem
1.21
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Bnei Sakhnin
1.28
Hapoel Haifa
1.31
Ashdod
1.36
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Hapoel Hadera
1.48
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Katamon is 0.07 goals worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Maccabi Haifa
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
56%
Maccabi Netanya
56%
Beitar Jerusalem
53%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
50%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
49%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
49%
Bnei Sakhnin
48%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Ashdod
42%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
For 5.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
11.2
8.1
3.6
2.8
4.2
24.5
26.8
23.4
vs Stronger (1)
4.0
-
4.0
5.0
-
5.0
27.0
-
27.0
vs Similar (17)
10.8
12.6
9.0
4.8
4.7
5.0
26.0
28.0
24.5
vs Weaker (32)
8.6
9.8
7.8
2.8
1.7
3.8
22.7
25.0
21.8
% over line
36%
56%
20%
50%
38%
62%
67%
60%
70%
% under line
64%
44%
80%
50%
62%
38%
33%
40%
30%
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Maccabi Haifa
10.6
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10.0
Bnei Sakhnin
9.9
Hapoel Haifa
9.6
Beitar Jerusalem
9.6
Maccabi Netanya
9.6
Hapoel Hadera
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.7
Ashdod
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Maccabi Haifa
5.1
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.9
Ashdod
4.9
Hapoel Haifa
4.7
Hapoel Hadera
4.6
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
Bnei Sakhnin
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.6
Hapoel Haifa
25.1
Maccabi Netanya
23.9
Maccabi Haifa
23.2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
23.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
22.5
Ashdod
21.8
Bnei Sakhnin
21.4
Beitar Jerusalem
21.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
20.8
Hapoel Hadera
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.1%
Under 9.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.9%
Under 3.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
55.9%
Under 21.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.53
0.47
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.25
0.40
0.80
0.29
1.57
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.28
0.60
0.30
0.62
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.86
0.29
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.91
0.40
0.60
0.33
1.17
vs Weaker (19)
0.79
0.26
1.11
0.11
0.50
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.83
0.47
0.93
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.75
0.60
1.00
0.29
0.57
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.89
0.40
0.90
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.43
1.00
0.36
1.06
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.45
0.20
0.20
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.21
0.42
1.44
0.44
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rotem Hatuel28%
Hélder Lopes22%
Eylon Almog20%
Niv Fliter20%
Artur Shushenachev18%
Alon Turgeman17%
Antonio Sefer15%
Guy Badash13%
Yoni Stoyanov11%
Miguel Vítor11%
Amir Ganah8%
Imran Oulad Omar6%
Roy Gordana5%
Eden Shamir4%
Mariano Bareiro0%
Déinner Quiñones0%
Ofir Marciano0%
André Poko0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Harel Shalom0%
Dadya Or0%
Shai Elias0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Máximo Levi0%
Ilay Madmon0%
Niv Eliasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dadya Or29%
Roy Gordana27%
Hélder Lopes26%
Guy Badash20%
Eden Shamir17%
Rotem Hatuel16%
Shai Elias15%
Yoni Stoyanov11%
Mariano Bareiro10%
Artur Shushenachev9%
Eitan Tibi9%
Niv Eliasi8%
Antonio Sefer8%
Iyad Abu Abaid8%
Imran Oulad Omar6%
Miguel Vítor5%
André Poko5%
Alon Turgeman4%
Déinner Quiñones0%
Ofir Marciano0%
Eylon Almog0%
Harel Shalom0%
Máximo Levi0%
Ilay Madmon0%
Niv Fliter0%
Amir Ganah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amir Ganah20%
Antonio Sefer15%
Guy Badash13%
Imran Oulad Omar11%
André Poko10%
Eden Shamir9%
Rotem Hatuel8%
Yoni Stoyanov7%
Roy Gordana5%
Hélder Lopes4%
Alon Turgeman4%
Mariano Bareiro0%
Déinner Quiñones0%
Ofir Marciano0%
Eylon Almog0%
Miguel Vítor0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Harel Shalom0%
Dadya Or0%
Shai Elias0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Artur Shushenachev0%
Máximo Levi0%
Ilay Madmon0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Niv Fliter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Sefer19%
Artur Shushenachev18%
Imran Oulad Omar11%
Rotem Hatuel8%
Guy Badash7%
Alon Turgeman4%
Amir Ganah4%
Hélder Lopes0%
Mariano Bareiro0%
Déinner Quiñones0%
Ofir Marciano0%
André Poko0%
Eylon Almog0%
Roy Gordana0%
Miguel Vítor0%
Eitan Tibi0%
Harel Shalom0%
Dadya Or0%
Shai Elias0%
Eden Shamir0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Máximo Levi0%
Ilay Madmon0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Yoni Stoyanov0%
Niv Fliter0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Katamon's squad is €14m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€6m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's attack is €8m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€1m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Katamon's midfield is €4m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€1m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's defence is €2m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€3m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Ashdod
Hapoel Hadera
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Petah Tikva