This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.83
2.64
0.93
1.38
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.14
1.62
1.50
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (16)
2.50
0.56
4.00
0.17
1.60
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
Hapoel Katamon goals ↓
Hapoel Beer Sheva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
9.2%
6.8%
3.0%
1.0%
1
8.5%
14%
8.3%
3.6%
1.2%
2
5.9%
7.8%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.4%
3.2%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Katamon goals (down), columns = Hapoel Beer Sheva goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Hapoel Katamon is 1.26 points worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 2.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Katamon is 1.41 goals worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 2.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Hapoel Katamon is 0.25 goals worse than Hapoel Beer Sheva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
For 5.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 15.7 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
7.8
10.1
2.9
2.6
3.2
26.6
25.6
27.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
7.2
7.2
7.2
3.7
2.9
4.4
31.1
27.2
34.2
vs Weaker (32)
10.1
8.1
11.8
2.4
2.4
2.4
24.2
24.8
23.8
% over line
42%
25%
57%
38%
36%
40%
85%
83%
86%
% under line
58%
75%
43%
62%
64%
60%
15%
17%
14%
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.9
Hapoel Haifa
8.9
Beitar Jerusalem
8.8
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Ashdod
8.3
Maccabi Haifa
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Maccabi Haifa
5.1
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.6
Ashdod
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
26.1
Maccabi Haifa
25.4
Beitar Jerusalem
24.6
Maccabi Tel Aviv
24.5
Hapoel Haifa
24.5
Maccabi Netanya
24.0
Bnei Sakhnin
23.2
Ashdod
22.7
Hapoel Tel Aviv
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.6%
Under 9.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.4%
Under 3.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.3%
Under 21.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
1.00
0.36
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.83
0.67
1.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.38
1.09
0.09
0.54
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
1.14
0.50
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.64
0.38
0.88
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (16)
1.31
0.31
2.17
0.00
0.80
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.86
0.50
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.58
0.82
0.27
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Beer Sheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.37
1.50
0.43
0.75
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.62
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (16)
1.19
0.25
1.83
0.17
0.80
0.30
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Beer Sheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dan Biton47%
Kings Kangwa32%
Igor Zlatanović29%
Eliel Peretz20%
Mohammad Kanaan20%
Ofir Davidzada17%
Javon East9%
Miguel Vítor9%
Zahi Ahmed8%
Or Blorian8%
Hélder Lopes5%
Guy Mizrahi4%
Amir Chaim Ganah4%
Alon Turgeman0%
Ofir Marciano0%
Eylon Almog0%
Lucas Ventura0%
Shay Elias0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Roy Levy0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Yoni Stoyanov0%
Djibril Diop0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eliel Peretz32%
Miguel Vítor27%
Djibril Diop26%
Or Blorian23%
Lucas Ventura21%
Guy Mizrahi21%
Kings Kangwa20%
Mohammad Kanaan20%
Shay Elias17%
Roy Levy17%
Matan Baltaxa13%
Igor Zlatanović12%
Niv Eliasi12%
Mohamad Abu Rumi12%
Dan Biton12%
Hélder Lopes10%
Zahi Ahmed8%
Amir Chaim Ganah8%
Alon Turgeman0%
Javon East0%
Ofir Marciano0%
Eylon Almog0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Yoni Stoyanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamad Abu Rumi25%
Kings Kangwa24%
Amir Chaim Ganah17%
Igor Zlatanović12%
Eliel Peretz12%
Javon East9%
Zahi Ahmed8%
Or Blorian8%
Matan Baltaxa7%
Dan Biton6%
Shay Elias6%
Djibril Diop5%
Hélder Lopes5%
Lucas Ventura4%
Alon Turgeman0%
Ofir Marciano0%
Eylon Almog0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Miguel Vítor0%
Mohammad Kanaan0%
Roy Levy0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Yoni Stoyanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dan Biton47%
Kings Kangwa40%
Igor Zlatanović25%
Yoni Stoyanov25%
Amir Chaim Ganah17%
Eliel Peretz8%
Matan Baltaxa7%
Hélder Lopes5%
Lucas Ventura4%
Zahi Ahmed4%
Alon Turgeman0%
Javon East0%
Ofir Marciano0%
Eylon Almog0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Miguel Vítor0%
Shay Elias0%
Mohammad Kanaan0%
Roy Levy0%
Or Blorian0%
Guy Mizrahi0%
Niv Eliasi0%
Djibril Diop0%
Mohamad Abu Rumi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Katamon's squad is €14m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€6m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's attack is €8m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€1m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Katamon's midfield is €4m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€1m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's defence is €2m less valuable than Hapoel Beer Sheva's (€3m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina