This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.22
2.06
1.56
1.67
0.89
2.44
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (10)
1.50
2.50
1.83
2.00
1.00
3.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
1.29
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.3%
Under 2.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-0 ✓
5.7%
Hapoel Katamon goals ↓
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
4.3%
3.1%
1.2%
0.3%
1
7.9%
11%
5.9%
2.3%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.8%
5.7%
2.2%
0.6%
3
5.5%
6.3%
3.6%
1.4%
0.4%
4
2.6%
3.0%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Katamon goals (down), columns = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.14
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.03
Beitar Jerusalem
1.30
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Hapoel Katamon
1.25
Hapoel Haifa
1.24
Ashdod
1.19
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Bnei Sakhnin
1.12
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.03
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.76
Hapoel Katamon is 0.13 points better than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.92
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.81
Beitar Jerusalem
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.22
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Bnei Sakhnin
1.18
Ashdod
1.14
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.94
Hapoel Katamon is 0.07 goals worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.64
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.81
Maccabi Haifa
0.94
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.22
Ashdod
1.28
Bnei Sakhnin
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.48
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Hapoel Hadera
1.61
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.64
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Beitar Jerusalem
1.76
Hapoel Katamon is 0.32 goals better than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bnei Sakhnin
68%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
61%
Maccabi Netanya
53%
Beitar Jerusalem
47%
Sektzia Nes Tziona
42%
Hapoel Haifa
34%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
For 4.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
8.9
7.5
10.2
1.3
0.9
1.7
25.0
25.0
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
7.4
7.3
7.5
0.8
1.0
0.5
25.0
25.0
-
vs Weaker (7)
11.3
8.0
13.0
2.1
0.7
3.2
-
-
-
% over line
38%
25%
50%
17%
11%
22%
100%
100%
-
% under line
62%
75%
50%
83%
89%
78%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
11.3
Maccabi Netanya
11.0
Beitar Jerusalem
10.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10.7
Sektzia Nes Tziona
10.3
Maccabi Haifa
9.9
Hapoel Haifa
9.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.9
Ashdod
8.8
Hapoel Beer Sheva
8.8
Hapoel Hadera
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.7
Hapoel Hadera
5.4
Ashdod
5.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.0
Maccabi Haifa
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Beitar Jerusalem
4.7
Sektzia Nes Tziona
4.4
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3.8
Hapoel Haifa
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bnei Sakhnin
30.0
Hapoel Haifa
27.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
25.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
24.7
Sektzia Nes Tziona
24.0
Maccabi Haifa
22.9
Beitar Jerusalem
21.0
Maccabi Netanya
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.7%
Under 9.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.3%
Under 3.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.9%
Under 21.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.61
0.50
0.75
0.62
0.50
0.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.00
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.25
0.75
0.25
0.38
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
1.06
0.56
0.89
0.56
1.22
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.70
1.40
0.83
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.71
0.00
0.67
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
44% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.72
0.50
0.62
0.88
0.80
0.20
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.42
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.78
0.33
1.22
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.10
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.57
1.00
0.33
0.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
39% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Tel Aviv · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chico67%
Falcão33%
Fernand Mayembo33%
Marcus Coco33%
Omri Altman33%
Andrian Kraev33%
Doron Leidner33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roee Alkokin33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Katamon's squad is €12m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€6m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's attack is €9m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Katamon and Hapoel Tel Aviv have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's defence is €2m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€3m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →