This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.43
1.81
1.44
1.29
1.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
2.60
1.50
3.00
0.50
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.90
0.85
1.92
0.92
1.88
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.4%
Under 1.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.4%
Under 2.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.5%
No
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
Hapoel Katamon goals ↓
Maccabi Netanya goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
6.7%
5.8%
2.9%
1.1%
1
6.5%
13%
8.5%
4.2%
1.6%
2
5.6%
8.3%
6.2%
3.1%
1.1%
3
2.7%
4.0%
3.0%
1.5%
0.6%
4
1.0%
1.5%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Katamon goals (down), columns = Maccabi Netanya goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.47
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.31
Ashdod
1.20
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Hapoel Katamon is 1.20 points worse than Maccabi Netanya in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.75
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.56
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Hapoel Katamon is 1.80 goals worse than Maccabi Netanya in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.58
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Hapoel Katamon is 0.20 goals worse than Maccabi Netanya in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Katamon or Draw✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied -
36%
27%
37%
covers Hapoel Katamon + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon or Maccabi Netanya✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied -
36%
27%
37%
covers Hapoel Katamon + Maccabi Netanya
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Maccabi Netanya✗ Miss
64.0%
Avg Implied -
36%
27%
37%
covers Draw + Maccabi Netanya
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.7%
Under
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.8%
Under
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.1%
Under
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.4%
Under
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.7%
Under
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Katamon, so a minus line means Hapoel Katamon give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Netanya receive them. At -1, Hapoel Katamon must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Katamon win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.81
0.50
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
1.30
1.25
1.00
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.45
0.67
0.33
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.67
0.40
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.33
0.75
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.54
0.64
0.18
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Netanya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Netanya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
1.00
0.94
0.64
0.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.30
0.25
2.00
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.40
1.25
0.58
1.00
0.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Netanya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Netanya
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Basam Zaarura40%
Maor Levi30%
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Bakary Konate20%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Heriberto Tavares15%
Omri Shamir12%
Wilson Harris8%
Itay Ben Shabat6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Gontie Junior Diomande6%
Rotem Keller5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Maxim Plakushchenko0%
Yuval Sade0%
Amit Cohen0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Denis Kulikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed56%
Omri Shamir50%
Karm Jaber33%
Gontie Junior Diomande33%
Heriberto Tavares25%
Itay Ben Shabat25%
Bakary Konate20%
Wilson Harris17%
Amit Cohen17%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa17%
Rotem Keller15%
Oz Bilu14%
Matheus Davó10%
Denis Kulikov7%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Maor Levi5%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matheus Davó35%
Heriberto Tavares20%
Wylan Cyprien17%
Maor Levi15%
Rotem Keller10%
Karm Jaber10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Amit Cohen6%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed6%
Oz Bilu5%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Yuval Sade0%
Omer Niron0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Basam Zaarura0%
Gontie Junior Diomande0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oz Bilu27%
Matheus Davó20%
Basam Zaarura13%
Aziz Ouattara Mohammed11%
Gontie Junior Diomande11%
Heriberto Tavares10%
Maor Levi10%
Maxim Plakushchenko6%
Yuval Sade6%
Amit Cohen6%
Wylan Cyprien0%
Wilson Harris0%
Niv Antman0%
Omer Niron0%
Karm Jaber0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Omri Shamir0%
Rotem Keller0%
Itay Ben Shabat0%
Luccas Paraizo Feitosa0%
Bakary Konate0%
Denis Kulikov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Katamon's squad is €5m less valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€6m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's attack is €2m less valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Katamon's midfield is €2m less valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's defence is €2m less valuable than Maccabi Netanya's (€3m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina