Hapoel Katamon vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Result & Analysis

The clash between Hapoel Katamon and Maccabi Petah Tikva is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 39% for a Hapoel Katamon victory, 31% for a draw and 30% for a Maccabi Petah Tikva triumph, making the home side the slight favourite. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.5% chance. Hapoel Katamon, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 0.64 goals scored and 0.82 conceded, while Maccabi Petah Tikva, on the road, averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7%), Under 5.5 (97.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 4.5 (91.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.9%) and Home +2 handicap (87.9%). Each selection carries its own probability, and the model’s single most likely outcome remains a home win.

The win extends Hapoel Katamon’s run after two straight defeats, while Maccabi Petah Tikva’s four-game winning streak ended. The final score was 1-0, a home win that matched the model’s favourite, which was called with a 39% probability. The model’s call was correct. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.7%, Under 5.5 hit at 97.0%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.2%, Under 4.5 hit at 91.6%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 90.9%, and Home +2 handicap hit at 87.9%. The match confirmed the model’s predictions across the board.