This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.80
2.13
0.80
1.80
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.40
1.00
1.60
vs Weaker (20)
2.20
0.70
2.20
1.00
2.20
0.40
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.9%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.7%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.7%
1-2 ✓
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
6.0%
1-0
4.7%
Hapoel Katamon goals ↓
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
12%
12%
7.1%
3.3%
1
4.7%
12%
9.7%
6.0%
2.7%
2
2.4%
4.4%
4.1%
2.5%
1.1%
3
0.7%
1.2%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Katamon goals (down), columns = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.36
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.69
Hapoel Haifa
1.64
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Bnei Sakhnin
1.25
Beitar Jerusalem
1.24
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.21
Maccabi Netanya
1.15
Ashdod
1.12
Hapoel Hadera
1.09
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.73
Hapoel Katamon is 1.06 points worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 2.36).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
2.08
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.53
Beitar Jerusalem
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.15
Maccabi Netanya
1.09
Bnei Sakhnin
1.08
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Ashdod
0.88
Hapoel Hadera
0.85
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.76
Hapoel Katamon is 0.93 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 2.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.69
Maccabi Haifa
0.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.18
Beitar Jerusalem
1.21
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Bnei Sakhnin
1.28
Hapoel Haifa
1.31
Ashdod
1.36
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Hapoel Hadera
1.48
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Katamon is 0.49 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 0.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Maccabi Haifa
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
56%
Maccabi Netanya
56%
Beitar Jerusalem
53%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
50%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
49%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
49%
Bnei Sakhnin
48%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Ashdod
42%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
For 6.8 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.4
9.8
2.8
2.8
2.8
22.6
23.8
21.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
10.6
10.0
11.4
4.9
6.0
4.0
23.0
22.0
23.7
vs Weaker (37)
9.7
10.8
9.1
2.0
1.8
2.3
22.2
25.5
20.0
% over line
61%
67%
56%
42%
44%
40%
70%
75%
67%
% under line
39%
33%
44%
58%
56%
60%
30%
25%
33%
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Maccabi Haifa
10.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10.3
Bnei Sakhnin
10.1
Maccabi Netanya
10.0
Beitar Jerusalem
9.9
Hapoel Hadera
9.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
9.3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.5
Ashdod
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.2
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Beitar Jerusalem
5.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4.9
Hapoel Haifa
4.6
Ashdod
4.6
Hapoel Hadera
4.6
Bnei Sakhnin
4.6
Maccabi Petah Tikva
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.2
Hapoel Haifa
26.0
Bnei Sakhnin
26.0
Maccabi Haifa
23.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
21.3
Maccabi Netanya
20.0
Beitar Jerusalem
19.0
Hapoel Hadera
14.0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.6%
Under 9.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.1%
Under 3.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
34.4%
Under 21.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.70
0.27
0.53
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
1.23
0.17
0.83
0.29
1.57
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.29
0.33
0.33
0.38
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.27
1.07
0.20
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.20
0.15
1.10
0.20
1.30
0.10
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.47
1.00
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.69
0.67
1.00
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.76
0.33
1.00
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.07
0.60
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.20
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.00
0.55
1.10
0.80
0.90
0.30
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eran Zahavi55%
Yvann Maçon33%
Dor Peretz27%
Dan Biton20%
Gabi Kanikovski19%
Dor Turgeman18%
Milson18%
Ido Shahar16%
Yonas Malede11%
Kiko Bondoso10%
Yonatan Cohen8%
Derrick Luckassen6%
Idan Nachmias5%
Ofir Davidzada5%
Osher Davida4%
Roy Revivo3%
Nir Bitton0%
Orlando Mosquera0%
Joris van Overeem0%
Sheran Yeini0%
Enric Saborit0%
Eyal Golasa0%
Avishai Cohen0%
Eden Karzev0%
Roei Mashpati0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yvann Maçon67%
Raz Shlomo33%
Derrick Luckassen31%
Roy Revivo30%
Yonas Malede22%
Avishai Cohen17%
Enric Saborit16%
Idan Nachmias15%
Eden Karzev14%
Milson14%
Ofir Davidzada14%
Eran Zahavi12%
Dan Biton12%
Nir Bitton11%
Matan Baltaxa10%
Gabi Kanikovski9%
Dor Peretz9%
Roei Mashpati9%
Osher Davida7%
Joris van Overeem7%
Ido Shahar5%
Orlando Mosquera0%
Sheran Yeini0%
Yonatan Cohen0%
Eyal Golasa0%
Kiko Bondoso0%
Dor Turgeman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Biton28%
Gabi Kanikovski19%
Osher Davida18%
Eran Zahavi12%
Milson11%
Yonatan Cohen8%
Enric Saborit8%
Dor Turgeman6%
Ido Shahar5%
Idan Nachmias5%
Avishai Cohen4%
Joris van Overeem3%
Roy Revivo3%
Dor Peretz3%
Nir Bitton0%
Orlando Mosquera0%
Yvann Maçon0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Sheran Yeini0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Eyal Golasa0%
Eden Karzev0%
Roei Mashpati0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Yonas Malede0%
Kiko Bondoso0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eran Zahavi55%
Dor Peretz30%
Dan Biton16%
Eden Karzev7%
Osher Davida7%
Gabi Kanikovski6%
Dor Turgeman6%
Ido Shahar5%
Nir Bitton0%
Orlando Mosquera0%
Yvann Maçon0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Joris van Overeem0%
Sheran Yeini0%
Yonatan Cohen0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Enric Saborit0%
Eyal Golasa0%
Avishai Cohen0%
Roei Mashpati0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Idan Nachmias0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Yonas Malede0%
Kiko Bondoso0%
Milson0%
Roy Revivo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Katamon's squad is €29m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€6m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's attack is €12m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Katamon's midfield is €8m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's defence is €10m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€3m vs €13m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Ashdod
Hapoel Hadera
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Petah Tikva