This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.97
1.60
0.80
2.07
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
3.00
-
-
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (10)
1.20
0.90
1.29
0.86
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
2.22
0.78
1.88
0.75
2.50
0.80
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
Hapoel Katamon goals ↓
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
10%
8.6%
4.4%
1.7%
1
6.8%
13%
9.3%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.3%
6.6%
5.0%
2.5%
1.0%
3
1.5%
2.4%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Katamon goals (down), columns = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.22
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.17
Maccabi Haifa
1.69
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Hapoel Haifa
1.44
Hapoel Katamon
1.33
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.24
Bnei Sakhnin
1.15
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.12
Ashdod
1.06
Ironi Tiberias
1.06
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.82
Hapoel Katamon is 0.83 points worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 2.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
1.86
Beitar Jerusalem
1.61
Ashdod
1.45
Hapoel Katamon
1.42
Hapoel Haifa
1.42
Maccabi Netanya
1.42
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.09
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Hapoel Hadera
0.94
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.94
Ironi Tiberias
0.85
Bnei Sakhnin
0.82
Hapoel Katamon is 0.91 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 2.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.78
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.27
Hapoel Katamon
1.27
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.30
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.39
Maccabi Haifa
1.47
Beitar Jerusalem
1.50
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.52
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Ashdod
1.67
Hapoel Hadera
1.73
Hapoel Katamon is 0.24 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beitar Jerusalem
61%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
59%
Maccabi Haifa
57%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
55%
Bnei Sakhnin
49%
Maccabi Netanya
47%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
45%
Ashdod
44%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
43%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
For 4.9 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.1
8.8
3.7
3.3
4.1
23.5
22.3
24.7
vs Stronger (4)
6.8
8.0
6.3
4.8
3.0
5.3
27.2
29.0
26.7
vs Similar (15)
9.1
8.9
9.5
4.7
4.3
5.4
25.1
24.4
26.5
vs Weaker (31)
10.2
11.5
9.2
3.1
2.7
3.5
21.7
19.1
23.5
% over line
49%
59%
39%
60%
54%
67%
69%
56%
83%
% under line
51%
41%
61%
40%
46%
33%
31%
44%
17%
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
10.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.5
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.4
Beitar Jerusalem
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
9.2
Hapoel Hadera
9.1
Maccabi Haifa
9.0
Maccabi Netanya
9.0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.7
Ashdod
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.0
Maccabi Haifa
5.0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.0
Hapoel Hadera
4.9
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ashdod
4.7
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Hapoel Haifa
24.3
Maccabi Haifa
23.7
Maccabi Tel Aviv
23.3
Maccabi Netanya
23.1
Ashdod
22.9
Beitar Jerusalem
22.6
Bnei Sakhnin
22.3
Hapoel Hadera
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.4%
Under 9.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
76.5%
Under 3.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.3%
Under 21.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.67
0.53
0.59
0.38
0.77
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.46
0.62
0.50
0.57
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.27
0.93
0.20
1.20
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.20
0.86
0.29
0.67
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.22
0.11
1.00
0.12
1.40
0.10
Clean sheet %
80% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
1.06
0.35
0.38
0.85
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.33
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.36
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.67
0.60
0.87
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.70
0.43
0.57
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.00
0.67
0.88
0.62
1.10
0.70
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dor Turgeman43%
Weslley Patati32%
Dor Peretz24%
Eran Zahavi24%
Osher Davida18%
Ido Shahar15%
Nemanja Stojić12%
Gabi Kanikovski10%
Idan Nachmias9%
Elad Madmon8%
Hisham Layous7%
Sagiv Jehezkel6%
Henry Addo6%
Roy Revivo5%
Raz Shlomo4%
Joris van Overeem3%
Simon Sluga0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Roei Mashpati0%
Yonas Malede0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Stav Lemkin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sagiv Jehezkel44%
Joris van Overeem24%
Tyrese Asante24%
Nemanja Stojić22%
Weslley Patati21%
Issouf Sissokho21%
Dor Turgeman20%
Henry Addo18%
Raz Shlomo17%
Elad Madmon16%
Roei Mashpati14%
Stav Lemkin14%
Dor Peretz12%
Osher Davida12%
Eran Zahavi12%
Roy Revivo9%
Gabi Kanikovski7%
Ido Shahar5%
Idan Nachmias5%
Simon Sluga0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Yonas Malede0%
Hisham Layous0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Weslley Patati25%
Gabi Kanikovski23%
Osher Davida18%
Roy Revivo18%
Dor Peretz12%
Ido Shahar10%
Dor Turgeman10%
Eran Zahavi8%
Issouf Sissokho7%
Sagiv Jehezkel6%
Idan Nachmias5%
Stav Lemkin5%
Raz Shlomo4%
Joris van Overeem3%
Simon Sluga0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Roei Mashpati0%
Yonas Malede0%
Hisham Layous0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Henry Addo0%
Elad Madmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dor Peretz33%
Weslley Patati32%
Dor Turgeman27%
Eran Zahavi20%
Osher Davida18%
Ido Shahar10%
Elad Madmon8%
Henry Addo6%
Roy Revivo5%
Issouf Sissokho3%
Gabi Kanikovski3%
Simon Sluga0%
Joris van Overeem0%
Ofir Davidzada0%
Roei Mashpati0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Sagiv Jehezkel0%
Idan Nachmias0%
Yonas Malede0%
Hisham Layous0%
Nemanja Stojić0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Stav Lemkin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Katamon's squad is €29m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€6m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's attack is €12m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Katamon's midfield is €8m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's defence is €10m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€3m vs €13m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ashdod
Ironi Tiberias
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera