This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.43
1.94
1.81
1.43
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.83
1.83
0.83
2.50
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (17)
2.41
1.12
2.60
1.40
2.14
0.71
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.0%
Under 2.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.9%
Under 3.5
71.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
0-3
6.0%
1-3 ✓
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
Hapoel Katamon goals ↓
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
11%
10%
6.0%
2.6%
1
5.2%
12%
9.8%
5.7%
2.5%
2
3.1%
5.4%
4.7%
2.7%
1.2%
3
1.0%
1.7%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Katamon goals (down), columns = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Hapoel Katamon is 0.86 points worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Katamon is 1.27 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Hapoel Katamon is 0.01 goals better than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
For 4.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 16.0 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.3
8.9
3.5
3.6
3.4
28.2
27.2
29.3
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
14.0
4.0
1.5
1.0
2.0
26.0
22.0
30.0
vs Similar (17)
8.6
7.5
9.5
3.9
3.8
4.0
27.5
28.3
26.9
vs Weaker (31)
8.4
8.2
8.8
3.4
3.6
3.1
29.1
27.0
32.5
% over line
34%
35%
33%
52%
58%
46%
84%
82%
87%
% under line
66%
65%
67%
48%
42%
54%
16%
18%
13%
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.5
Bnei Sakhnin
9.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Beitar Jerusalem
9.1
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Maccabi Netanya
8.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.6
Ashdod
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.7
Hapoel Haifa
5.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.4
Maccabi Haifa
5.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.2
Beitar Jerusalem
5.0
Bnei Sakhnin
5.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.8
Ashdod
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
27.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.6
Maccabi Haifa
27.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
26.6
Beitar Jerusalem
25.8
Hapoel Haifa
24.9
Maccabi Netanya
24.5
Ashdod
24.4
Bnei Sakhnin
24.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.8%
Under 9.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.1%
Under 3.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
92.8%
Under 21.5
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.71
0.36
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.00
2.00
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.33
0.77
0.23
0.64
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.75
0.75
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.25
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.17
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.41
1.00
0.40
0.71
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.57
0.64
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.80
1.80
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.58
0.54
0.46
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
1.19
1.06
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.83
0.50
1.17
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
1.53
0.71
1.60
1.00
1.43
0.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dor Peretz42%
Saied Abu Farchi23%
Ido Shahar23%
Ion Nicolaescu14%
Kervin Andrade12%
Hélio Varela10%
Emir Sahiti8%
Osher Davida8%
Sagiv Jehezkel7%
Itamar Noy7%
Heitor4%
Elad Madmon4%
Roy Revivo3%
Tyrese Asante3%
Mohamed Camara0%
Roi Mishpati0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Yonas Malede0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Ben Lederman0%
Itai Ben Hamo0%
Ofek Melika0%
Noam Ben Harush0%
Ilay Ben Simon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Belić42%
Mohamed Camara38%
Issouf Sissokho35%
Ben Lederman30%
Tyrese Asante27%
Emir Sahiti25%
Sagiv Jehezkel22%
Roy Revivo21%
Saied Abu Farchi20%
Dor Peretz19%
Raz Shlomo17%
Itamar Noy15%
Itai Ben Hamo12%
Heitor12%
Kervin Andrade12%
Osher Davida8%
Elad Madmon8%
Hélio Varela7%
Ido Shahar6%
Ofek Melika5%
Noam Ben Harush5%
Ion Nicolaescu0%
Roi Mishpati0%
Yonas Malede0%
Ilay Ben Simon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Roy Revivo31%
Emir Sahiti25%
Sagiv Jehezkel15%
Ion Nicolaescu14%
Itai Ben Hamo12%
Ben Lederman10%
Issouf Sissokho9%
Tyrese Asante7%
Hélio Varela7%
Dor Peretz6%
Raz Shlomo4%
Osher Davida4%
Kervin Andrade4%
Saied Abu Farchi3%
Ido Shahar3%
Mohamed Camara0%
Roi Mishpati0%
Yonas Malede0%
Itamar Noy0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Heitor0%
Ofek Melika0%
Noam Ben Harush0%
Elad Madmon0%
Ilay Ben Simon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dor Peretz29%
Ion Nicolaescu14%
Sagiv Jehezkel11%
Saied Abu Farchi10%
Osher Davida8%
Kervin Andrade8%
Ido Shahar6%
Elad Madmon4%
Hélio Varela3%
Mohamed Camara0%
Emir Sahiti0%
Roi Mishpati0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Yonas Malede0%
Itamar Noy0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Ben Lederman0%
Itai Ben Hamo0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Heitor0%
Roy Revivo0%
Ofek Melika0%
Noam Ben Harush0%
Ilay Ben Simon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Katamon's squad is €29m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€6m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's attack is €12m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Katamon's midfield is €8m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's defence is €10m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€3m vs €13m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina