Maccabi Tel Aviv is the clear favourite to win this match, with the model predicting an away win and a total of 2.9 expected goals. The expected number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total goals being exactly 2. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.8%.
Hapoel Katamon has struggled at home, scoring 0.8 goals per game against stronger opponents and conceding 1.4. Maccabi Tel Aviv, on the other hand, has excelled away from home, scoring 2.44 goals per game against weaker opponents and conceding 1.22.
The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (89.5%), Over 1.5 (79.5%), and Over 3.5 cards (77.9%). The model's preferred match result is an away win, with a 55% chance of success. The home win percentage is 20%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 55%.
Results analysis
The match saw Maccabi Tel Aviv extend their winning run, beating Hapoel Katamon 5-2. The model had picked an away win with a 55 % probability, and that call proved correct. The final score of 2-5 confirmed the favoured outcome. The model’s selections largely came in: Under 7.5 hit at 99 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.8 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 94.2 %, while Under 6.5 missed at 97.2 % and Under 5.5 missed at 92.6 %. The most likely score of 1-2 at 9.9 % was not reached, but the overall predictions were largely accurate.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hapoel Katamon win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied 14.9% · @ 6.14
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.89
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.49
Marathonbet
6.45
Dafabet
6.20
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.25
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.37
Superbet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Maccabi Tel Aviv win✓ Hit
55.1%
Avg Implied 63.6% · @ 1.44
Edge
-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Dafabet
1.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.17
0.86
1.00
1.06
1.31
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.86
0.67
2.00
1.25
1.75
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.96
0.91
0.73
1.00
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.33
1.57
1.14
2.06
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.36
2.00
1.00
1.80
1.67
2.17
vs Weaker (19)
2.11
0.95
1.89
0.78
2.30
1.10
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
@ 1.22+3.3%
Under 1.5
20.5%
@ 3.90-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.00
Pinnacle
3.97
1xBet
3.85
Superbet
3.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.73+1.3%
Under 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.03-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.77
Bet365
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.9%
@ 2.81-0.1%
Under 3.5
67.1%
@ 1.38+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.90
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
@ 1.87+6.1%
No
44.3%
@ 1.84-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Betfair
1.87
No
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%@ 7.58+5.9%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.34+3.9%
0-2
9.5%@ 6.54+2.7%
0-1
9.2%@ 6.50+2.4%
0-0
6.6%@ 11.82+2.9%
1-3
6.1%@ 10.89+2.0%
0-3
5.8%@ 9.47+1.2%
2-1
5.6%@ 17.56+3.1%
Hapoel Katamon goals ↓
Maccabi Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
9.2%
9.5%
5.8%
2.7%
1
4.7%
12%
9.9%
6.1%
2.8%
2
3.0%
5.6%
5.2%
3.2%
1.5%
3
1.1%
1.9%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Katamon goals (down), columns = Maccabi Tel Aviv goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Hapoel Katamon is 0.86 points worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Katamon is 1.27 goals worse than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (0.79 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Hapoel Katamon is 0.01 goals better than Maccabi Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.31).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
For 3.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 15.6 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.2
9.6
3.6
4.0
3.3
30.0
29.9
30.0
vs Stronger (1)
4.0
-
4.0
2.0
-
2.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (18)
9.0
8.1
10.0
4.2
4.9
3.4
29.1
29.1
29.1
vs Weaker (31)
9.1
8.3
9.9
3.4
3.5
3.3
30.8
30.8
30.9
% over line
40%
39%
41%
60%
62%
58%
97%
94%
100%
% under line
60%
61%
59%
40%
38%
42%
3%
6%
0%
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.7
Beitar Jerusalem
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Beitar Jerusalem
5.5
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.3
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.5
Beitar Jerusalem
28.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.6
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.4
Hapoel Haifa
25.9
Maccabi Netanya
25.1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25.0
Bnei Sakhnin
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Katamon or Draw✗ Miss
44.9%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.58
Edge
+8.8%
20%
25%
55%
covers Hapoel Katamon + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.61
Hapoel Katamon or Maccabi Tel Aviv✓ Hit
75.2%
Avg Implied 79.1% · @ 1.17
Edge
-3.9%
20%
25%
55%
covers Hapoel Katamon + Maccabi Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Draw or Maccabi Tel Aviv✓ Hit
79.9%
Avg Implied 84.9% · @ 1.09
Edge
-4.9%
20%
25%
55%
covers Draw + Maccabi Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.8%
@ 1.66+8.7%
Under
35.2%
@ 2.12-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
BetVictor
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.20
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.0%
@ 4.18+5.8%
Under
72.0%
@ 1.20-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 12.00+1.0%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.03-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Hapoel Katamon over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 51.00-97.8%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.3%
@ 1.10-0.4%
Under
15.7%
@ 6.05+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.30
BetVictor
6.00
Superbet
5.85
Betano
5.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
55.2%
@ 1.56-4.7%
Under
44.8%
@ 2.32+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
28.3%
@ 2.74-5.7%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.41+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.87
Marathonbet
2.81
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.70
Superbet
2.70
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
11.7%
@ 5.40-5.6%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.13+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.10
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Katamon, so a minus line means Hapoel Katamon give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Tel Aviv receive them. At -1, Hapoel Katamon must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Katamon win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hapoel Katamon)Actual: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Katamon -2
2.2%
@ 41.00-0.1%
Draw -2
5.5%
@ 19.00+0.5%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +2
92.3%
@ 1.02-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
41.00
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Handicap -1 (Hapoel Katamon)Actual: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Katamon -1
7.7%
@ 15.00+1.6%
Draw -1
12.4%
@ 7.50+0.2%
Maccabi Tel Aviv +1
79.9%
@ 1.12-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Away
Bet365
1.12
Handicap +1 (Hapoel Katamon)Actual: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Katamon +1
44.9%
@ 2.62+10.4%
Draw +1
22.8%
@ 3.58-2.4%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -1
32.3%
@ 2.23-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Handicap +2 (Hapoel Katamon)Actual: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Katamon +2
67.7%
@ 1.57+10.1%
Draw +2
17.2%
@ 4.42-3.2%
Maccabi Tel Aviv -2
15.1%
@ 4.12-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.52
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Away
Marathonbet
4.25
Bet365
4.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.47
0.36
0.50
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.67
1.33
0.50
0.25
vs Similar (23)
0.30
0.39
0.27
0.27
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.53
0.86
0.36
1.31
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.32
0.42
1.00
0.11
1.60
0.70
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.9%
@ 1.32+2.4%
Under 0.5
27.1%
@ 3.15-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.30
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.4%
@ 2.54-1.3%
Under 1.5
64.6%
@ 1.47+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Under
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
BetVictor
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.0%
@ 5.99-1.5%
Under 2.5
86.0%
@ 1.10+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.6%
@ 2.94+6.0%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.36-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.21
Marathonbet
2.93
Superbet
2.85
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 8.50-3.5%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.04+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.7%
@ 1.57-2.5%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.29+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.36
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.18
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
18.2%
@ 3.80-6.1%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.22+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
3.75
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 9.12-4.3%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.50
0.50
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.00
0.67
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.57
0.64
0.45
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.71
0.79
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.64
1.27
0.40
1.00
0.83
1.50
vs Weaker (19)
0.79
0.53
0.89
0.67
0.70
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.8%
@ 1.19+2.2%
Under 0.5
20.2%
@ 4.16-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
Betano
4.05
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.3%
@ 1.96-0.1%
Under 1.5
52.7%
@ 1.76+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 4.04-2.5%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.20+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.8%
@ 2.39+5.1%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.51-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 8.57+2.1%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.04-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
8.90
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.0%
@ 1.39-6.7%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.78+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.75
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
26.8%
@ 2.78-6.5%
Under
73.2%
@ 1.39+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.89
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.75
Betano
2.67
Under
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Maccabi Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
7.6%
@ 6.45-6.7%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.08+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.2%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+2.2%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.4%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+6.7%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
92.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
88.3%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.0%
1.10
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
84.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.3%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+0.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.8%
1.22
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
-
-
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
79.9%
1.09
BetVictor
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
79.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.19
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.16
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.20
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+2.5%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.5%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Betano
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.2%
1.17
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.2%
1.39
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
-
+6.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.9%
1.32
Betano
1.36
BetVictor
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
72.0%
1.20
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
-5.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
71.7%
1.41
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
+5.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dor Peretz67%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohamed Camara33%
Raz Shlomo33%
Issouf Sissokho33%
Dor Peretz0%
Ester Sokler0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Roy Revivo0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Camara33%
Dor Peretz33%
Roy Revivo33%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Osher Davida0%
Ido Shahar0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dor Peretz33%
Osher Davida33%
Ido Shahar33%
Roy Revivo33%
Mohamed Camara0%
Ester Sokler0%
Raz Shlomo0%
Issouf Sissokho0%
Tyrese Asante0%
Noam Ben Harosh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Hapoel Katamon's squad is €29m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€6m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's attack is €12m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Hapoel Katamon's midfield is €8m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€1m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Hapoel Katamon's defence is €10m less valuable than Maccabi Tel Aviv's (€3m vs €13m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →