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Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam SC Result & Analysis

Date: 20/05/2026
Time: 15:45
Final 2-1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Vs
30%
27%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kiryat Yam SC
Kiryat Yam SC
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Hapoel Kfar Shalem a 30% win probability against Kiryat Yam SC in the Israel: Liga Leumit on 2026-05-20, with 27% for the draw and 44% for Kiryat Yam SC. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.6%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (80%).

Results analysis

Hapoel Kfar Shalem finished 2-1 against Kiryat Yam SC (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 30% home win, 27% draw and 44% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (80%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Kfar Shalem win✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kiryat Yam SC win✗ Miss
43.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W31W32W11D14L32W24L24L01L12LA·KAF03/04H·HAP07/04H·HAP10/04A·HAP14/04H·MAC17/04A·MAC24/04H·HAP30/04A·MAC05/05H·BNE08/05A·HAP15/05
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.831.642.071.621.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.201.930.831.501.442.22
vs Weaker (15)2.071.732.252.501.860.86
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kiryat Yam SC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L22D31W12L00D01L21W20W02LH·HAP30/03A·MAC03/04H·MAC10/04A·BNE14/04H·HAP17/04A·MAC27/04H·HAP01/05A·HAP05/05H·HAP11/05A·BNE15/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.271.291.501.121.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.221.221.271.361.171.08
vs Weaker (7)1.141.431.332.001.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Kfar Shalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.5%
Under 2.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.7%
2-1 ✓
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.9%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem goals ↓
Kiryat Yam SC goals →
01234
06.6%7.7%7.1%3.8%1.5%
15.9%13%9.2%4.9%2.0%
24.6%7.4%5.9%3.2%1.3%
32.0%3.2%2.6%1.4%0.6%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Kfar Shalem goals (down), columns = Kiryat Yam SC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.81
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.86
Hapoel Kfar Shalem is 0.05 points better than Kiryat Yam SC in terms of average points per game (1.51 vs 1.46).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.08
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.59
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Hadera
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Hapoel Kfar Shalem is 0.51 goals better than Kiryat Yam SC in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.14
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.57
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Hadera
1.65
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Kfar Shalem is 0.54 goals worse than Kiryat Yam SC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W01L01L10W21W20W01L11DA·KAF03/04H·HAP07/04H·HAP10/04A·HAP14/04H·MAC17/04A·MAC24/04H·HAP30/04A·MAC05/05H·BNE08/05A·HAP15/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.641.000.750.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.730.001.000.670.56
vs Weaker (15)1.000.731.121.000.860.43
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kiryat Yam SC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L20W02L00D00D00D00D01LH·HAP30/03A·MAC03/04H·MAC10/04A·BNE14/04H·HAP17/04A·MAC27/04H·HAP01/05A·HAP05/05H·HAP11/05A·BNE15/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.570.210.790.500.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.300.480.090.730.500.25
vs Weaker (7)0.570.860.671.000.500.75
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Kfar Shalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kiryat Yam SC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (34)
€7m
BY (40)
€4m
HRL (37)
€4m
HRG (33)
€4m
HA (47)
€3m
HKS (35)
€3m
HKS (37)
€3m
HR (46)
€3m
MH (38)
€3m
MKJ (41)
€2m
KYS (46)
€2m
HA (47)
€2m
KQ (37)
€2m
IM (33)
€1m
Hapoel Kfar Shalem and Kiryat Yam SC have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
HKS wins
0
Draws
1
KYS wins

Head-to-head

Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam SC · H/A from HKS
DateH/AGameScore
02/02/26HHKS Vs Kiryat Yam SC1-0
28/09/25AKiryat Yam SC Vs HKS2-0

Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs HKS2-1
08/05/26HHKS Vs Bnei Yehuda0-1
05/05/26AMaccabi Herzliya Vs HKS4-2
30/04/26HHKS Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba2-4
24/04/26AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs HKS2-3
17/04/26HHKS Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-4
14/04/26AHapoel Acre Vs HKS1-1
10/04/26HHKS Vs Hapoel Hadera3-2
07/04/26HHKS Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan3-1
03/04/26AKafr Qasim Vs HKS0-3

Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26ABnei Yehuda Vs KYS2-0
11/05/26HKYS Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba2-0
05/05/26AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs KYS1-2
01/05/26HKYS Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan0-1
27/04/26AMaccabi Herzliya Vs KYS0-0
17/04/26HKYS Vs Hapoel Afula1-2
14/04/26ABnei Yehuda Vs KYS1-3
10/04/26HKYS Vs Maccabi Petah Tikva2-2
03/04/26AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs KYS2-0
30/03/26HKYS Vs Hapoel Acre0-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.32
HomeWWLLL1.52
AwayWDWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals3.203.243.16
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %46%44%48%
Scored1.501.561.44
Conceded1.701.681.72
BTTS62%56%68%
Clean Sheet16%20%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Kiryat Yam SC
Kiryat Yam SC
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.51
HomeDDLLW1.53
AwayLWDWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%41%44%
AVG goals2.512.822.22
Over 1.5 %77%82%72%
Over 2.5 %43%53%33%
Over 3.5 %29%35%22%
Scored1.341.471.22
Conceded1.171.351.00
BTTS40%47%33%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3767
49%
1.8
7742+35
3.2
84%
62%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.11.1
-
2Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3764
49%
1.7
5941+18
2.7
78%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.61.1
-
3Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3762
46%
1.7
5544+11
2.7
78%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.51.2
-
4Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3757
41%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3756
43%
1.5
6763+4
3.5
86%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.81.7
-
6Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC3754
41%
1.5
4843+5
2.5
76%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.2
-
7Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6658+8
3.4
73%
59%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.81.6
-
8Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3750
35%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.41.4
-
9Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3750
35%
1.4
4244-2
2.3
73%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.2
-
10Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3749
35%
1.3
5054-4
2.8
86%
51%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.41.5
-
11Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3745
30%
1.2
3958-19
2.6
76%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.6
-
12Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3741
24%
1.1
4249-7
2.5
73%
41%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
13Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3740
22%
1.1
4048-8
2.4
73%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.3
-
14Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in3740
27%
1.1
3747-10
2.3
57%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.3
-
15Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3737
19%
1.0
4458-14
2.8
84%
51%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
16Hapoel HaderaHapoel Hadera3732
16%
0.9
4061-21
2.7
73%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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