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Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-2
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Vs
36%
32%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Hapoel Nazareth Illit a 36% win probability against Hapoel Acre in the Israel: Liga Leumit on 2026-05-25, with 32% for the draw and 33% for Hapoel Acre. The model estimates around 2.2 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.7%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (82%).

Results analysis

Hapoel Nazareth Illit finished 2-2 against Hapoel Acre (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 36% home win, 32% draw and 33% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (82%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre win✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D15L31W00D14L20W02L11D12L02LH·BNE31/03A·MAC03/04A·HAP14/04H·HAP17/04A·HAP24/04H·HAP30/04A·MAC04/05A·KAF11/05A·HAP15/05H·IRO19/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.471.211.141.251.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.161.521.181.181.141.79
vs Weaker (5)1.601.201.331.002.001.50
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W13L11D23L00D41W01L12L10W00DH·MAC06/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·HAP17/04A·MAC24/04H·HAP30/04A·KAF05/05H·HAP08/05A·IRO14/05H·HAP19/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.271.061.251.001.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.961.321.001.310.921.33
vs Weaker (5)1.401.001.331.001.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals ↓
Hapoel Acre goals →
01234
012%10%6.3%2.3%0.6%
111%15%7.2%2.6%0.7%
27.1%7.6%4.1%1.5%0.4%
32.7%2.9%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.8%0.8%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals (down), columns = Hapoel Acre goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.81
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.86
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.08 points worse than Hapoel Acre in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.08
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.59
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Hadera
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.11 goals better than Hapoel Acre in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.14
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.57
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Hadera
1.65
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.27 goals worse than Hapoel Acre in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L21W00D13L10W01L10W01L02LH·BNE31/03A·MAC03/04A·HAP14/04H·HAP17/04A·HAP24/04H·HAP30/04A·MAC04/05A·KAF11/05A·HAP15/05H·IRO19/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.360.860.690.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.440.800.180.820.640.79
vs Weaker (5)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Acre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W21W00D01L01L10W10W00DH·MAC06/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·HAP17/04A·MAC24/04H·HAP30/04A·KAF05/05H·HAP08/05A·IRO14/05H·HAP19/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.310.620.640.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.480.600.380.620.580.58
vs Weaker (5)0.400.600.000.671.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Acre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (34)
€7m
BY (40)
€4m
HRL (37)
€4m
HRG (33)
€4m
HA (47)
€3m
HKS (35)
€3m
HKS (37)
€3m
HR (46)
€3m
MH (38)
€3m
MKJ (41)
€2m
KYS (46)
€2m
HA (47)
€2m
KQ (37)
€2m
IM (33)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
HNI wins
1
Draws
4
HA wins

Head-to-head

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Acre · H/A from HNI
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26AHapoel Acre Vs HNI0-2
24/10/25HHNI Vs Hapoel Acre1-1
16/05/25HHNI Vs Hapoel Acre1-3
04/02/25AHapoel Acre Vs HNI2-0
06/10/24HHNI Vs Hapoel Acre1-2
18/03/24HHNI Vs Hapoel Acre2-0
08/12/23AHapoel Acre Vs HNI1-3
06/01/23AHapoel Acre Vs HNI3-2

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/26HHNI Vs Ironi Modi'in0-2
15/05/26AHapoel Afula Vs HNI2-1
11/05/26AKafr Qasim Vs HNI1-1
04/05/26AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI2-0
30/04/26HHNI Vs Hapoel Hadera2-0
24/04/26AHapoel Ra'anana Vs HNI4-1
17/04/26HHNI Vs Hapoel Ra'anana0-0
14/04/26AHapoel Afula Vs HNI1-3
03/04/26AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs HNI5-1
31/03/26HHNI Vs Bnei Yehuda1-1

Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/26HHA Vs Hapoel Hadera0-0
14/05/26AIroni Modi'in Vs HA0-1
08/05/26HHA Vs Hapoel Ra'anana1-2
05/05/26AKafr Qasim Vs HA1-0
30/04/26HHA Vs Hapoel Afula4-1
24/04/26AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HA0-0
17/04/26AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs HA3-2
14/04/26HHA Vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem1-1
10/04/26AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HA3-1
06/04/26HHA Vs Maccabi Herzliya3-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.00
HomeLDDWL1.09
AwayWLLDL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%26%15%
AVG goals2.502.222.74
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %42%35%48%
Over 3.5 %28%17%37%
Scored1.081.001.15
Conceded1.421.221.59
BTTS56%43%67%
Clean Sheet22%22%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.32
HomeWDWLD1.50
AwayLLDLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%29%
AVG goals2.362.192.54
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %44%31%58%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.161.151.17
Conceded1.201.041.38
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3767
49%
1.8
7742+35
3.2
84%
62%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.11.1
-
2Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3764
49%
1.7
5941+18
2.7
78%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.61.1
-
3Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3762
46%
1.7
5544+11
2.7
78%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.51.2
-
4Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3757
41%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3756
43%
1.5
6763+4
3.5
86%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.81.7
-
6Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC3754
41%
1.5
4843+5
2.5
76%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.2
-
7Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6658+8
3.4
73%
59%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.81.6
-
8Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3750
35%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.41.4
-
9Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3750
35%
1.4
4244-2
2.3
73%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.2
-
10Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3749
35%
1.3
5054-4
2.8
86%
51%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.41.5
-
11Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3745
30%
1.2
3958-19
2.6
76%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.6
-
12Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3741
24%
1.1
4249-7
2.5
73%
41%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
13Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3740
22%
1.1
4048-8
2.4
73%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.3
-
14Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in3740
27%
1.1
3747-10
2.3
57%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.3
-
15Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3737
19%
1.0
4458-14
2.8
84%
51%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
16Hapoel HaderaHapoel Hadera3732
16%
0.9
4061-21
2.7
73%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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