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Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Result & Analysis

Date: 27/03/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Vs
30%
26%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win✓ Hit
43.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W22D21W00D22D11D04L32W22D20WH·IRO19/12A·KIR05/01H·MAC09/01A·HAP16/01H·HAP23/01A·HAP30/01H·HAP06/02A·KAF13/02H·HAP20/02A·HAP27/02
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.531.291.431.441.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.191.561.151.541.211.57
vs Weaker (3)3.001.333.000.003.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L10W23L01L10W00D44D50W11DH·HAP19/12A·HAP02/01H·KAF09/01A·HAP16/01H·HAP23/01H·IRO30/01A·MAC09/02H·BNE16/02A·HAP20/02H·HAP27/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.701.331.801.931.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.631.701.331.801.931.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1 ✓
7.0%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals ↓
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals →
01234
06.0%7.0%6.7%3.7%1.5%
15.5%12%9.1%5.1%2.1%
24.5%7.5%6.2%3.4%1.4%
32.0%3.4%2.8%1.6%0.7%
40.7%1.2%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals (down), columns = Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.81
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.86
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.38 points worse than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.08
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.59
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Hadera
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.59 goals worse than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.78).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.14
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.57
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Hadera
1.65
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W01L00D01L10W02L12L01L10WH·IRO19/12A·KIR05/01H·MAC09/01A·HAP16/01H·HAP23/01A·HAP30/01H·HAP06/02A·KAF13/02H·HAP20/02A·HAP27/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.360.860.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.410.740.230.920.570.57
vs Weaker (3)1.670.672.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W01L01L00D00D21W10W00DH·HAP19/12A·HAP02/01H·KAF09/01A·HAP16/01H·HAP23/01H·IRO30/01A·MAC09/02H·BNE16/02A·HAP20/02H·HAP27/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.600.600.730.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.670.630.600.600.730.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L20W00D21W01L02L20W21W10WH·IRO19/12A·KIR05/01H·MAC09/01A·HAP16/01H·HAP23/01A·HAP30/01H·HAP06/02A·KAF13/02H·HAP20/02A·HAP27/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.930.570.751.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.780.810.920.620.641.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L00D22D00D10W00D23L40W11DH·HAP19/12A·HAP02/01H·KAF09/01A·HAP16/01H·HAP23/01H·IRO30/01A·MAC09/02H·BNE16/02A·HAP20/02H·HAP27/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.070.731.201.200.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.971.070.731.201.200.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (25)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (11)
€3m
HRG (10)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (10)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
HNI wins
2
Draws
4
MKJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · H/A from HNI
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/25AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI3-1
25/04/25AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI1-1
21/02/25HHNI Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0-1
25/10/24AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI0-3
24/05/24AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI2-2
12/01/24AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI3-2
31/08/23HHNI Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-1
27/02/23AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI4-2

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26AHapoel Acre Vs HNI0-2
20/02/26HHNI Vs Hapoel Hadera2-2
13/02/26AKafr Qasim Vs HNI2-3
06/02/26HHNI Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan0-4
30/01/26AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs HNI1-1
23/01/26HHNI Vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-2
16/01/26AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HNI0-0
09/01/26HHNI Vs Maccabi Herzliya2-1
05/01/26AKiryat Yam SC Vs HNI2-2
19/12/25HHNI Vs Ironi Modi'in3-0

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26HMKJ Vs Hapoel Ra'anana1-1
20/02/26AHapoel Afula Vs MKJ0-5
16/02/26HMKJ Vs Bnei Yehuda4-4
09/02/26AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs MKJ0-0
30/01/26HMKJ Vs Ironi Modi'in1-0
23/01/26HMKJ Vs Hapoel Acre0-1
16/01/26AHapoel Hadera Vs MKJ3-2
09/01/26HMKJ Vs Kafr Qasim1-0
02/01/26AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs MKJ1-0
19/12/25HMKJ Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW0.96
HomeWWDLD1.04
AwayDDDWW0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%26%15%
AVG goals2.562.352.74
Over 1.5 %74%70%78%
Over 2.5 %44%43%44%
Over 3.5 %30%22%37%
Scored1.081.001.15
Conceded1.481.351.59
BTTS54%48%59%
Clean Sheet20%17%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWD1.10
HomeWLWDD1.12
AwayLLLDW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals2.962.962.96
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %34%29%38%
Scored1.381.251.50
Conceded1.581.711.46
BTTS62%58%65%
Clean Sheet24%21%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3767
49%
1.8
7742+35
3.2
84%
62%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.1
-
2Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3764
49%
1.7
5941+18
2.7
78%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
3Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3762
46%
1.7
5544+11
2.7
78%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
4Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3757
41%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
5Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3756
43%
1.5
6763+4
3.5
86%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.81.7
-
6Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC3754
41%
1.5
4843+5
2.5
76%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.31.2
-
7Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6658+8
3.4
73%
59%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.6
-
8Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3750
35%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.4
-
9Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3750
35%
1.4
4244-2
2.3
73%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3749
35%
1.3
5054-4
2.8
86%
51%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.5
-
11Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3745
30%
1.2
3958-19
2.6
76%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
12Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3741
24%
1.1
4249-7
2.5
73%
41%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
13Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3740
22%
1.1
4048-8
2.4
73%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.3
-
14Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in3740
27%
1.1
3747-10
2.3
57%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.3
-
15Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3737
19%
1.0
4458-14
2.8
84%
51%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
16Hapoel HaderaHapoel Hadera3732
16%
0.9
4061-21
2.7
73%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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