This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.30
1.13
1.67
1.40
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
2.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
1.53
1.40
1.43
2.14
1.62
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
1.09
1.00
0.83
1.60
1.40
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.3%
Under 1.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
Under 2.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.7%
0-2 ✓
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.5%
Hapoel Petah Tikva goals ↓
Beitar Jerusalem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
9.3%
4.1%
1.4%
1
8.4%
14%
8.6%
3.8%
1.3%
2
4.5%
6.0%
4.0%
1.8%
0.6%
3
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Petah Tikva goals (down), columns = Beitar Jerusalem goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.36
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.69
Hapoel Haifa
1.64
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Bnei Sakhnin
1.25
Beitar Jerusalem
1.24
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.21
Maccabi Netanya
1.15
Ashdod
1.12
Hapoel Hadera
1.09
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.73
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.52 points worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
2.08
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.53
Beitar Jerusalem
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.15
Maccabi Netanya
1.09
Bnei Sakhnin
1.08
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Ashdod
0.88
Hapoel Hadera
0.85
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.76
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.61 goals worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of goals scored per game (0.76 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.69
Maccabi Haifa
0.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.18
Beitar Jerusalem
1.21
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Bnei Sakhnin
1.28
Hapoel Haifa
1.31
Ashdod
1.36
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Hapoel Hadera
1.48
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.33 goals worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Maccabi Haifa
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
56%
Maccabi Netanya
56%
Beitar Jerusalem
53%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
50%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
49%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
49%
Bnei Sakhnin
48%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Ashdod
42%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Petah Tikva
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Beitar Jerusalem
For 5.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (17)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.5
9.2
3.6
3.5
3.6
21.4
19.9
23.0
vs Stronger (5)
7.6
7.3
8.0
5.0
4.3
6.0
16.7
18.5
13.0
vs Similar (24)
9.4
9.6
9.3
4.2
3.6
4.6
22.6
18.8
25.3
vs Weaker (21)
9.9
10.2
9.3
2.6
3.2
1.9
21.3
22.0
20.0
% over line
57%
57%
58%
48%
44%
52%
57%
55%
60%
% under line
43%
43%
42%
52%
56%
48%
43%
45%
40%
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Maccabi Haifa
10.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10.0
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Beitar Jerusalem
9.5
Hapoel Haifa
9.4
Maccabi Netanya
9.3
Hapoel Hadera
9.3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Ashdod
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.2
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Maccabi Haifa
5.0
Beitar Jerusalem
4.8
Hapoel Hadera
4.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.6
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.6
Hapoel Haifa
4.6
Ashdod
4.5
Bnei Sakhnin
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.6
Hapoel Haifa
23.8
Maccabi Petah Tikva
23.2
Maccabi Haifa
22.8
Maccabi Netanya
22.6
Maccabi Tel Aviv
22.4
Ashdod
21.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
21.5
Bnei Sakhnin
21.4
Beitar Jerusalem
21.4
Hapoel Hadera
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.9%
Under 9.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.9%
Under 3.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
57.6%
Under 21.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.67
0.57
0.43
0.06
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.88
0.75
0.38
0.12
1.38
vs Weaker (8)
0.12
0.38
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.67
0.73
0.80
0.27
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.13
0.47
1.29
0.71
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (11)
0.36
0.45
0.00
0.50
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.64
0.50
0.62
0.88
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.67
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.75
0.88
0.50
0.88
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.47
0.93
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.93
0.14
1.43
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.64
1.00
0.33
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yarden Shua38%
Mayron George33%
Nehoray Dabush25%
Timothy Muzie17%
Amir Berkovich17%
Adi Menachem Yona15%
Fred Friday14%
Grigory Morozov10%
Ismaila Soro10%
Adi Gotlieb9%
Dor Micha6%
Ori Dahan5%
Plamen Galabov0%
Miguel Silva0%
Ben Bitton0%
Orel Dgani0%
Dan Azaria0%
Yuval Ashkenazi0%
Ofir Kriaf0%
Roei Ben Shimon0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Roy Sasson0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Nika Khorkheli0%
Trazie Thomas Zai0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Plamen Galabov30%
Grigory Morozov29%
Nika Khorkheli27%
Zohar Zasano25%
Orel Dgani22%
Dor Micha19%
Ofir Kriaf19%
Adi Gotlieb18%
Timothy Muzie17%
Ori Dahan10%
Adi Menachem Yona10%
Ismaila Soro10%
Yarden Shua10%
Mayron George7%
Miguel Silva5%
Fred Friday5%
Ben Bitton0%
Dan Azaria0%
Yuval Ashkenazi0%
Roei Ben Shimon0%
Amir Berkovich0%
Roy Sasson0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Trazie Thomas Zai0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ben Bitton20%
Adi Menachem Yona20%
Dor Micha19%
Yarden Shua14%
Fred Friday14%
Mayron George13%
Timothy Muzie6%
Miguel Silva5%
Plamen Galabov0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Orel Dgani0%
Ismaila Soro0%
Dan Azaria0%
Adi Gotlieb0%
Yuval Ashkenazi0%
Ofir Kriaf0%
Roei Ben Shimon0%
Ori Dahan0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Amir Berkovich0%
Roy Sasson0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Nika Khorkheli0%
Trazie Thomas Zai0%
Nehoray Dabush0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fred Friday18%
Mayron George13%
Nehoray Dabush12%
Timothy Muzie11%
Adi Menachem Yona10%
Yarden Shua10%
Nika Khorkheli9%
Dor Micha6%
Plamen Galabov0%
Miguel Silva0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Ben Bitton0%
Orel Dgani0%
Ismaila Soro0%
Dan Azaria0%
Adi Gotlieb0%
Yuval Ashkenazi0%
Ofir Kriaf0%
Roei Ben Shimon0%
Ori Dahan0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Amir Berkovich0%
Roy Sasson0%
Li On Mizrahi0%
Trazie Thomas Zai0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's squad is €11m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€6m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's attack is €7m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€2m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's midfield is €2m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's defence is €3m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€2m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Ashdod
Hapoel Hadera
Hapoel Tel Aviv