This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.30
1.94
1.06
2.21
1.57
vs Stronger (4)
2.25
2.75
3.00
1.00
2.00
3.33
vs Similar (20)
2.20
1.20
2.18
1.27
2.22
1.11
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.0%
Under 2.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.6%
Under 3.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.4%
No
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
7.0%
1-3 ✓
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
2-3
4.6%
Hapoel Petah Tikva goals ↓
Beitar Jerusalem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
4.7%
5.5%
3.6%
1.8%
1
3.6%
9.8%
8.8%
5.7%
2.8%
2
3.6%
7.1%
7.0%
4.6%
2.3%
3
1.9%
3.8%
3.7%
2.4%
1.2%
4
0.8%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Petah Tikva goals (down), columns = Beitar Jerusalem goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 1.00 points worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 2.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.83 goals worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.47 goals worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Petah Tikva
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Beitar Jerusalem
For 5.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 13.7 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
9.9
7.5
3.3
2.7
4.0
27.6
27.5
27.7
vs Stronger (6)
7.7
-
7.7
2.0
0.0
3.0
27.0
-
27.0
vs Similar (33)
8.0
8.9
7.5
3.9
3.5
4.3
27.9
27.9
27.8
vs Weaker (11)
10.7
12.2
7.5
2.2
1.8
3.3
26.8
26.5
27.5
% over line
32%
54%
17%
48%
40%
56%
87%
77%
94%
% under line
68%
46%
83%
52%
60%
44%
13%
23%
6%
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.1
Beitar Jerusalem
9.0
Hapoel Haifa
8.9
Maccabi Netanya
8.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Ashdod
8.5
Maccabi Haifa
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.7
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.4
Maccabi Haifa
5.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.3
Beitar Jerusalem
5.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.9
Bnei Sakhnin
4.9
Ashdod
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
27.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.4
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
26.9
Beitar Jerusalem
26.0
Hapoel Haifa
25.1
Bnei Sakhnin
24.6
Ashdod
24.6
Maccabi Netanya
24.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
24.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
81.0%
Under 3.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
89.6%
Under 21.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.37
1.06
0.31
1.14
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
1.05
0.38
1.22
0.22
0.92
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.20
1.50
0.25
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.75
0.62
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.60
0.73
0.73
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.69
0.94
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.81
0.89
1.00
0.58
0.67
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.80
0.50
0.75
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.67
1.19
0.44
1.50
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.45
0.60
1.45
0.55
1.44
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omer Atzili36%
Adi Menachem Yona31%
Yarden Shua29%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu20%
Yarden Cohen19%
Ori Dahan14%
Ziv Ben Shimol14%
Gil Cohen11%
Grigory Morozov11%
Dor Micha9%
Efmamjjasond González9%
Timothy Muzie8%
Brayan Carabalí8%
Boris Enow8%
Arial Mendy0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Dor Hugi0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Aílson Tavares0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Yarin Levi0%
Ravid Abergil0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roey Elimelech42%
Grigory Morozov37%
Ravid Abergil33%
Timothy Muzie32%
Brayan Carabalí31%
Boris Enow31%
Luka Gadrani30%
Aílson Tavares27%
Nana Antwi25%
Aviel Zargari25%
Yarden Cohen24%
Omer Atzili23%
Dor Micha18%
Efmamjjasond González18%
Arial Mendy17%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu16%
Ori Dahan14%
Yarin Levi10%
Miguel Silva4%
Yarden Shua4%
Dor Hugi0%
Gil Cohen0%
Adi Menachem Yona0%
Ziv Ben Shimol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Efmamjjasond González18%
Yarden Shua17%
Timothy Muzie16%
Grigory Morozov16%
Yarden Cohen14%
Omer Atzili14%
Nana Antwi12%
Yarin Levi10%
Dor Micha9%
Aílson Tavares9%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu8%
Boris Enow8%
Adi Menachem Yona6%
Dor Hugi5%
Luka Gadrani5%
Ziv Ben Shimol5%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Arial Mendy0%
Miguel Silva0%
Gil Cohen0%
Ori Dahan0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Ravid Abergil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili45%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu32%
Adi Menachem Yona25%
Arial Mendy17%
Yarden Shua12%
Timothy Muzie12%
Luka Gadrani10%
Efmamjjasond González9%
Brayan Carabalí4%
Miguel Silva0%
Grigory Morozov0%
Dor Micha0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
Dor Hugi0%
Yarden Cohen0%
Gil Cohen0%
Ori Dahan0%
Aviel Zargari0%
Aílson Tavares0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Yarin Levi0%
Ziv Ben Shimol0%
Ravid Abergil0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's squad is €11m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€6m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's attack is €7m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€2m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's midfield is €2m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's defence is €3m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€2m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina