The encounter between Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Katamon is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 35% for a Hapoel Petah Tikva victory, 31% for a draw, and 33% for a Hapoel Katamon win, making the result finely balanced. The expected total of goals sits at 2.3, with the most probable total being two goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6% chance. Hapoel Petah Tikva, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 0.83 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Hapoel Katamon, on the road, averages 0.73 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%, edge 6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6%, edge 7%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%, edge 7%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%, edge 5%), and Under 5.5 (97.1%, edge 5%). Hapoel Petah Tikva has come off a defeat, while Hapoel Katamon has endured two straight losses, adding to the uncertainty of the match.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Hapoel Petah Tikva edged Hapoel Katamon 1-0, the win extending their recent run. The pre-match favourite, Home win, came with a 35% probability and the model’s call was correct. The final score matched the 1-0 outcome, confirming the favoured result. Every suggested pick performed as expected: Under 7.5 hit at 99.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.1%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.5%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.1%, and Under 5.5 hit at 97.1%. The model’s selections were largely accurate, reinforcing confidence in its form and probability assessments.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hapoel Petah Tikva win✓ Hit
35.5%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.57
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.71
10Bet
2.62
Betano
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.03
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.13
Bet365
3.10
Dafabet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Superbet
3.05
Hapoel Katamon win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.67
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.85
1xBet
2.76
Marathonbet
2.76
Superbet
2.72
Betano
2.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.57
1.31
1.31
1.00
1.76
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
2.11
1.67
2.67
0.83
1.83
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.39
0.89
0.89
1.11
1.89
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.27
0.93
1.27
1.00
1.27
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
2.29
1.00
2.75
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.96
0.91
0.73
1.00
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.35-0.8%
Under 1.5
32.2%
@ 2.95+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
Betfair
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.9%
@ 2.12-4.1%
Under 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.67+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.7%
@ 3.75-5.0%
Under 3.5
80.3%
@ 1.23+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.10
BetVictor
3.90
Pinnacle
3.84
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.6%
@ 1.83-3.1%
No
52.4%
@ 1.88+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
No
Betfair
1.95
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.50+6.6%
0-0
11.5%@ 7.57+5.7%
1-0 ✓
10.5%@ 7.17+4.4%
0-1
10.1%@ 7.15+4.0%
2-1
7.7%@ 9.04+2.9%
1-2
7.4%@ 9.30+2.7%
2-0
6.9%@ 11.65+3.1%
0-2
6.4%@ 12.12+2.8%
Hapoel Petah Tikva goals ↓
Hapoel Katamon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.9%
7.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.7%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Petah Tikva goals (down), columns = Hapoel Katamon goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.17 points better than Hapoel Katamon in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.55 goals better than Hapoel Katamon in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.28 goals worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Petah Tikva
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.7
Beitar Jerusalem
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Beitar Jerusalem
5.5
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.6
Beitar Jerusalem
28.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.8
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.3
Hapoel Haifa
25.9
Maccabi Netanya
25.1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25.0
Bnei Sakhnin
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.4%
@ 2.08-7.2%
Under 9.5
62.6%
@ 1.67+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Under
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.7%
Under 3.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.9%
Under 21.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Petah Tikva or Draw✓ Hit
66.6%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.41
Edge
+0.9%
35%
31%
33%
covers Hapoel Petah Tikva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Hapoel Petah Tikva or Hapoel Katamon✓ Hit
68.9%
Avg Implied 70.1% · @ 1.32
Edge
-1.2%
35%
31%
33%
covers Hapoel Petah Tikva + Hapoel Katamon
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Draw or Hapoel Katamon✗ Miss
64.5%
Avg Implied 64.3% · @ 1.44
Edge
+0.3%
35%
31%
33%
covers Draw + Hapoel Katamon
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.7%
@ 1.33-0.9%
Under
31.3%
@ 3.05+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.37
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
BetVictor
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.4%
@ 2.63-3.0%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.44+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Superbet
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Under
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 6.15-3.8%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
BetVictor
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 14.88-3.4%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.4%
@ 1.34-1.5%
Under
32.6%
@ 2.98+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.19
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Betano
2.95
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.8%
@ 2.72-3.4%
Under
69.2%
@ 1.42+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.72
1xBet
2.69
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 6.44-4.0%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.08+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Hapoel Katamon over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 16.00-3.2%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Petah Tikva, so a minus line means Hapoel Petah Tikva give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Katamon receive them. At -1, Hapoel Petah Tikva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Petah Tikva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.30
0.39
0.27
0.27
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.2%
@ 1.45+3.0%
Under 0.5
32.8%
@ 2.59-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.46
Under
Pinnacle
2.80
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.8%
@ 3.05-1.7%
Under 1.5
71.2%
@ 1.34+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.18
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.05
Under
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
BetVictor
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 7.96-1.9%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.05+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
BetVictor
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.70
William Hil
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.3%
@ 2.20+1.2%
Under
56.7%
@ 1.60-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.23
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
Under
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 7.05-3.0%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 18.62-3.2%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.4%
@ 2.24-1.1%
Under
59.6%
@ 1.58+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.27
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 7.33-3.3%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.06+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.80
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.85
0.85
0.47
1.12
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (18)
0.61
1.00
0.78
0.67
0.44
1.33
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.53
0.67
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.25
1.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.57
0.64
0.45
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.1%
@ 1.28+2.9%
Under 0.5
24.9%
@ 3.33-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Under
10Bet
3.40
1xBet
3.36
Marathonbet
3.36
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.0%
@ 2.28-2.7%
Under 1.5
62.0%
@ 1.57+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.35
William Hil
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
William Hil
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 4.88-4.7%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.13+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.20
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.3%
@ 1.84-1.7%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.85+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 5.11-2.8%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.13+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 13.38-4.2%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.2%
@ 1.86-1.4%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.84+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 5.22-4.9%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.12+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 13.50-4.5%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.07
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.6%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.9%
1.13
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.13
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.0%
1.22
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
+8.1%
-
Under 3.5
80.3%
1.23
Pinnacle
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Betfair
1.22
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.1%
1.28
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.25
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
74.0%
1.39
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
-
+7.8%
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.2%
1.34
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
BetVictor
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
+1.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Katamon have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Katamon have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Katamon have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's defence is €1m less valuable than Hapoel Katamon's (€2m vs €3m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →