This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
0.50
2.31
0.31
1.93
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.00
0.40
1.67
0.33
2.50
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
2.16
0.52
2.46
0.31
1.83
0.75
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.3%
Under 1.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.9%
Under 2.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.0%
Under 3.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2 ✓
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
Hapoel Petah Tikva goals ↓
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.6%
6.5%
2.6%
0.8%
1
9.6%
14%
7.8%
3.1%
0.9%
2
6.5%
7.8%
4.7%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.6%
3.1%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Petah Tikva goals (down), columns = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.47
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.31
Ashdod
1.20
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.16 points worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.75
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.56
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.19 goals worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.58
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Hapoel Petah Tikva is 0.20 goals worse than Hapoel Tel Aviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Petah Tikva or Draw✗ Miss
65.2%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers Hapoel Petah Tikva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva or Hapoel Tel Aviv✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers Hapoel Petah Tikva + Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hapoel Tel Aviv✓ Hit
65.1%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers Draw + Hapoel Tel Aviv
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.8%
Under
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.7%
Under
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.8%
Under
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.6%
Under
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Petah Tikva, so a minus line means Hapoel Petah Tikva give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Tel Aviv receive them. At -1, Hapoel Petah Tikva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Petah Tikva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hapoel Petah Tikva)Actual: Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Petah Tikva -2
5.0%
Draw -2
10.3%
Hapoel Tel Aviv +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Hapoel Petah Tikva)Actual: Hapoel Tel Aviv
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.20
1.19
0.06
0.93
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.60
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.96
0.24
1.15
0.08
0.75
0.42
Clean sheet %
83% (+60pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.30
1.13
0.33
0.93
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.39
1.00
0.50
0.90
0.30
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.17
1.29
0.14
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.30
1.12
0.25
1.00
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (25)
1.20
0.28
1.31
0.23
1.08
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stav Torial33%
Roy Korine31%
Loizos Loizou23%
Daniel Dapaah22%
Ziv Morgan20%
Omri Levi19%
Amit Lemkin11%
Chico9%
Roee Alkokin8%
Xande Silva8%
Andrian Kraev5%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Shahar Piven0%
Anas Mahamid0%
Liran Rotman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Yazen Nassar0%
Doron Leidner0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Tal Archel0%
Ariel Cohen0%
Ran Binyamin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Daniel Dappa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Coco40%
Andrian Kraev33%
Yazen Nassar33%
Ran Binyamin29%
Emmanuel Boateng25%
Anas Mahamid25%
Liran Rotman25%
Doron Leidner24%
Xande Silva23%
Chico22%
Falcão22%
Fernand Mayembo20%
Omri Levi19%
Tal Archel18%
El Yam Kancepolsky17%
Shahar Piven12%
Roy Korine12%
Amit Lemkin11%
Daniel Dapaah11%
Loizos Loizou9%
Roee Alkokin4%
Assaf Tzur0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Stav Torial0%
Ariel Cohen0%
Mor Buskila0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liran Rotman25%
Stav Torial19%
Roee Alkokin17%
Andrian Kraev10%
Loizos Loizou9%
Xande Silva8%
Mor Buskila8%
Roy Korine6%
Doron Leidner6%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Levi0%
Shahar Piven0%
Anas Mahamid0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Yazen Nassar0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Tal Archel0%
Ariel Cohen0%
Ran Binyamin0%
Amit Lemkin0%
Daniel Dapaah0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Dapaah22%
Mor Buskila15%
Ran Binyamin14%
Emmanuel Boateng12%
Omri Levi10%
Stav Torial10%
Loizos Loizou9%
Falcão4%
Chico0%
Xande Silva0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Shahar Piven0%
Anas Mahamid0%
Liran Rotman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Roy Korine0%
Yazen Nassar0%
Doron Leidner0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Tal Archel0%
Ariel Cohen0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Amit Lemkin0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's squad is €12m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€6m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's attack is €9m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€2m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Tel Aviv have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Petah Tikva's defence is €3m less valuable than Hapoel Tel Aviv's (€2m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina