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Hapoel Ra'anana vs Kafr Qasim Result & Analysis

Date: 19/05/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 2-2
Hapoel Ra
Hapoel Ra'anana
Vs
30%
33%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring clash, as both sides average more than a goal conceded per game. The model favours an away win, with a 37% chance, followed by a draw at 33% and a home win at 30%. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% probability. Hapoel Ra'anana, playing at home, scores about 1.13 goals and concedes 1.47 against similar opposition, while Kafr Qasim, on the road, nets 1.15 and concedes only 1.0. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 with an 84.7% probability. The model’s selection for the match result is an away win. The home win probability is 30%, the draw probability is 33%, and the away win probability is 37%.

Results analysis

The 2-2 draw shocked the pre-match favourite, Kafr Qasim, who had been tipped to win with a 37% chance. The model’s call was wrong, as the match finished a stalemate. Hapoel Ra’anana, riding a three-game winning streak, kept the scoreline balanced, while Kafr Qasim, fresh from a 4-0 victory, failed to secure the win. The model’s sole other suggestion, Under 3.5 goals, missed despite an 84.7% probability. The final result left both sides with a draw, contradicting the prediction that the away side would triumph.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Ra'anana win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L11D10W00D41W01L00D21W33DA·BNE03/04H·MAC07/04H·HAP10/04H·IRO14/04A·HAP17/04H·HAP24/04H·MAC30/04A·HAP04/05A·HAP08/05A·HAP14/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.101.131.471.200.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.171.101.131.471.200.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L01L13L00D12L11D10W11D22DA·HAP30/03H·HAP03/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·IRO17/04H·HAP24/04A·IRO01/05H·HAP05/05H·HAP11/05H·MAC15/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.200.881.381.071.00
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.041.250.931.471.151.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.3%
Under 1.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.9%
Under 2.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.3%
Under 3.5
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
Hapoel Ra'anana goals ↓
Kafr Qasim goals →
01234
014%13%7.6%2.7%0.7%
111%15%7.3%2.7%0.7%
26.0%6.5%3.6%1.3%0.4%
31.9%2.1%1.1%0.4%0.1%
40.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Ra'anana goals (down), columns = Kafr Qasim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.81
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.00
Hapoel Hadera
0.86
Hapoel Ra'anana is 0.24 points better than Kafr Qasim in terms of average points per game (1.35 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.08
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.59
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Hadera
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Hapoel Ra'anana and Kafr Qasim are level in goals scored per game (both 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.14
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.57
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Hadera
1.65
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Ra'anana is 0.14 goals better than Kafr Qasim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D00D00D31W00D00D01L11DA·BNE03/04H·MAC07/04H·HAP10/04H·IRO14/04A·HAP17/04H·HAP24/04H·MAC30/04A·HAP04/05A·HAP08/05A·HAP14/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.400.400.470.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.430.400.400.470.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L01L03L00D01L01L10W01L01LA·HAP30/03H·HAP03/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·IRO17/04H·HAP24/04A·IRO01/05H·HAP05/05H·HAP11/05H·MAC15/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.250.880.500.43
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.680.270.930.540.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D10W00D10W01L00D20W22DA·BNE03/04H·MAC07/04H·HAP10/04H·IRO14/04A·HAP17/04H·HAP24/04H·MAC30/04A·HAP04/05A·HAP08/05A·HAP14/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.731.070.730.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.730.670.731.070.730.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D10W00D11D10W00D10W21WA·HAP30/03H·HAP03/04A·HAP10/04H·HAP14/04A·IRO17/04H·HAP24/04A·IRO01/05H·HAP05/05H·HAP11/05H·MAC15/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.620.500.570.57
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.570.670.530.620.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.584.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (34)
€7m
BY (40)
€4m
HRL (37)
€4m
HRG (33)
€4m
HA (47)
€3m
HKS (35)
€3m
HKS (37)
€3m
HR (46)
€3m
MH (38)
€3m
MKJ (41)
€2m
KYS (46)
€2m
HA (47)
€2m
KQ (37)
€2m
IM (33)
€1m
Hapoel Ra'anana and Kafr Qasim have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (0)
€0m
MPT (0)
€0m
BY (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HKS (0)
€0m
HR (0)
€0m
HRL (0)
€0m
IM (0)
€0m
KQ (0)
€0m
KYS (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MKJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
HR wins
3
Draws
1
KQ wins

Head-to-head

Hapoel Ra'anana vs Kafr Qasim · H/A from HR
DateH/AGameScore
09/02/26HHR Vs Kafr Qasim1-1
05/10/25AKafr Qasim Vs HR0-2
21/04/25HHR Vs Kafr Qasim1-1
24/01/25AKafr Qasim Vs HR1-1
19/09/24HHR Vs Kafr Qasim1-2

Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/05/26AHapoel Hadera Vs HR3-3
08/05/26AHapoel Acre Vs HR1-2
04/05/26AHapoel Afula Vs HR0-0
30/04/26HHR Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa0-1
24/04/26HHR Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit4-1
17/04/26AHapoel Nazareth Illit Vs HR0-0
14/04/26HHR Vs Ironi Modi'in1-0
10/04/26HHR Vs Hapoel Afula1-1
07/04/26HHR Vs Maccabi Petah Tikva1-2
03/04/26ABnei Yehuda Vs HR1-0

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26HKQ Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-2
11/05/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit1-1
05/05/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Acre1-0
01/05/26AIroni Modi'in Vs KQ1-1
24/04/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Hadera1-2
17/04/26AIroni Modi'in Vs KQ0-0
14/04/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan1-3
10/04/26AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs KQ1-0
03/04/26HKQ Vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem0-3
30/03/26AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs KQ0-2

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Ra
Hapoel Ra'anana
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWD1.32
HomeLDWWL1.16
AwayLDDWD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%28%40%
AVG goals2.162.481.84
Over 1.5 %66%76%56%
Over 2.5 %40%52%28%
Over 3.5 %14%20%8%
Scored1.041.081.00
Conceded1.121.400.84
BTTS46%64%28%
Clean Sheet32%20%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDD1.22
HomeLLWDD1.26
AwayDWLDD1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%26%
AVG goals2.302.562.00
Over 1.5 %70%78%61%
Over 2.5 %36%52%17%
Over 3.5 %20%22%17%
Scored1.101.191.00
Conceded1.201.371.00
BTTS48%52%43%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3767
49%
1.8
7742+35
3.2
84%
62%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.11.1
-
2Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3764
49%
1.7
5941+18
2.7
78%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.61.1
-
3Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3762
46%
1.7
5544+11
2.7
78%
54%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.51.2
-
4Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3757
41%
1.5
4644+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3756
43%
1.5
6763+4
3.5
86%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.81.7
-
6Kiryat Yam SCKiryat Yam SC3754
41%
1.5
4843+5
2.5
76%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.2
-
7Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6658+8
3.4
73%
59%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.81.6
-
8Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3750
35%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.41.4
-
9Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3750
35%
1.4
4244-2
2.3
73%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.2
-
10Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3749
35%
1.3
5054-4
2.8
86%
51%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.41.5
-
11Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3745
30%
1.2
3958-19
2.6
76%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.6
-
12Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3741
24%
1.1
4249-7
2.5
73%
41%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.3
-
13Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3740
22%
1.1
4048-8
2.4
73%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.3
-
14Ironi ModiIroni Modi'in3740
27%
1.1
3747-10
2.3
57%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.3
-
15Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3737
19%
1.0
4458-14
2.8
84%
51%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
16Hapoel HaderaHapoel Hadera3732
16%
0.9
4061-21
2.7
73%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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