Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Result & Analysis

The contest between Hapoel Ramat Gan and Maccabi Petah Tikva is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home side Hapoel Ramat Gan, who have been struggling with a last-five record of LLDLD and a recent 1-2 loss to Hapoel Beer Sheva, average 1.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded against similar opponents. Maccabi Petah Tikva, riding a four-game winning streak and averaging 2.45 goals scored while conceding 1.36, are slightly stronger on the road. The expected total of 3.1 goals suggests a lively match, yet the most probable total is 2 goals, with a 1-1 scoreline the single most likely outcome at 12% probability. The model assigns a 34% chance of a home win, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 40% chance of an away win. The only selection offered is Over 1.5 goals, with an 82.3% probability.

The pre-match favourite, Maccabi Petah Tikva, was tipped to win with a 40% chance, yet the match ended in a 1-1 draw, so the model’s pick was wrong. The game saw the home side, Hapoel Ramat Gan, after two straight defeats, and the away side, Maccabi Petah Tikva, on a four-game winning run, fail to separate themselves. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely score of 1-1, which had a 12% probability. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 82.3% probability. The outcome was a surprise, as the predicted winner did not materialise.