Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Haifa Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 46% chance for Hapoel Haifa, a 28% chance for Hapoel Tel Aviv, and a 26% chance of a draw. The expected total is 2.9 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. Hapoel Tel Aviv, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Hapoel Haifa, on the road, averages 1.73 goals scored and 1.09 conceded against similar opposition. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 80.2%, Over 1.5 at 80.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 73.8%, and Under 10.5 corners at 70.2%. Both teams have recently drawn their last matches, with Hapoel Tel Aviv coming off a 0-0 draw against Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Haifa likewise ending their previous game 0-0.

The match finished 0-1 in favour of Hapoel Haifa, confirming the model’s pre-match favourite of an away win with a 46% probability. The win extends Haifa’s recent run of two victories after a draw, while Tel Aviv’s form remains mixed. The model’s suggested picks performed largely well: Over 2.5 cards hit at 80.2%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 80.0%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 77.5%, and Under 10.5 corners hit at 70.2%. The other selections missed: Over 1.5 goals at 80.2% and Under 5.5 cards at 73.8%. The most likely score of 1-1 with 12.3% probability proved wrong, as did the model’s expectation of 2.9 total goals. Overall, the model’s call and most of its picks were accurate, though a few predictions fell short.