This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.53
1.06
1.19
0.93
1.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
2.00
1.17
1.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (18)
1.11
1.22
1.00
1.00
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
0-0 ✓
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.5%
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals ↓
Hapoel Katamon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
8.0%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.3%
14%
7.5%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.6%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.3%
3.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (down), columns = Hapoel Katamon goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.36
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.69
Hapoel Haifa
1.64
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Bnei Sakhnin
1.25
Beitar Jerusalem
1.24
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.21
Maccabi Netanya
1.15
Ashdod
1.12
Hapoel Hadera
1.09
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.73
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.27 points worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.08
Maccabi Haifa
2.08
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.53
Beitar Jerusalem
1.36
Hapoel Haifa
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.15
Maccabi Netanya
1.09
Bnei Sakhnin
1.08
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Ashdod
0.88
Hapoel Hadera
0.85
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.76
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.09 goals worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.69
Maccabi Haifa
0.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.18
Beitar Jerusalem
1.21
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.22
Bnei Sakhnin
1.28
Hapoel Haifa
1.31
Ashdod
1.36
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Hapoel Hadera
1.48
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.55
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.36 goals worse than Hapoel Katamon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Maccabi Haifa
58%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
56%
Maccabi Netanya
56%
Beitar Jerusalem
53%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
50%
Hapoel Beer Sheva
49%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
49%
Bnei Sakhnin
48%
Hapoel Haifa
46%
Ashdod
42%
Hapoel Hadera
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv
For 4.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Katamon
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.6
9.7
3.6
3.5
3.6
21.2
21.1
21.3
vs Stronger (3)
10.3
10.5
10.0
3.7
3.5
4.0
16.0
-
16.0
vs Similar (27)
9.6
9.7
9.5
3.4
3.2
3.6
22.0
21.3
23.3
vs Weaker (20)
8.1
6.4
9.9
3.7
3.8
3.6
20.8
20.8
21.0
% over line
53%
47%
58%
48%
48%
48%
50%
40%
67%
% under line
47%
53%
42%
52%
52%
52%
50%
60%
33%
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (19)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Maccabi Haifa
10.3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10.0
Hapoel Haifa
9.6
Maccabi Netanya
9.5
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Beitar Jerusalem
9.4
Hapoel Hadera
9.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
9.1
Ashdod
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.2
Maccabi Haifa
5.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.1
Beitar Jerusalem
4.9
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.9
Ashdod
4.8
Hapoel Haifa
4.7
Hapoel Hadera
4.6
Bnei Sakhnin
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
25.6
Hapoel Haifa
23.8
Maccabi Petah Tikva
23.2
Maccabi Netanya
22.8
Maccabi Haifa
22.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
22.3
Ashdod
21.4
Beitar Jerusalem
21.2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
21.2
Bnei Sakhnin
20.9
Hapoel Hadera
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.4%
Under 9.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.1%
Under 21.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.33
0.67
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.33
0.17
0.50
1.00
0.17
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.50
0.44
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.17
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.67
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.44
0.60
0.30
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.00
0.80
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.44
0.75
0.62
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.83
1.50
0.83
0.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Katamon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Katamon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.56
0.75
0.36
0.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.83
0.83
0.83
0.00
0.83
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.78
0.40
0.70
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Katamon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Omri Altman20%
Mavis Tchibota16%
Or Blorian12%
Alen Ožbolt10%
Hisham Layous10%
Elian Rohana9%
Liad Ramot8%
Tal Archel6%
Ran Binyamin5%
Bryan Passi5%
José Rodríguez0%
Emilijus Zubas0%
David Cuperman0%
Dan Einbinder0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Alon Azugi0%
Aviv Salem0%
Raz Meir0%
Ihab Ganaem0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Roy Baranes0%
Noam Bonnet0%
Stav Torial0%
Omer Senior0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Or Israelov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Noam Bonnet50%
José Rodríguez43%
Raz Meir38%
Yahav Gurfinkel36%
Aviv Salem25%
El Yam Kancepolsky25%
Or Blorian24%
Mavis Tchibota21%
Omri Altman20%
Ihab Ganaem20%
Tal Archel18%
Emilijus Zubas17%
Alon Azugi12%
Ziv Morgan12%
Dan Einbinder11%
Alen Ožbolt10%
Stav Torial10%
Hisham Layous10%
Liad Ramot8%
Ran Binyamin5%
Bryan Passi0%
David Cuperman0%
Elian Rohana0%
Roy Baranes0%
Omer Senior0%
Or Israelov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stav Torial30%
Hisham Layous19%
Alon Azugi12%
Raz Meir12%
Alen Ožbolt10%
Omer Senior7%
Omri Altman7%
Mavis Tchibota5%
Dan Einbinder5%
Ran Binyamin5%
Bryan Passi0%
José Rodríguez0%
Emilijus Zubas0%
David Cuperman0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Elian Rohana0%
Aviv Salem0%
Ihab Ganaem0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Roy Baranes0%
Or Blorian0%
Noam Bonnet0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Or Israelov0%
Liad Ramot0%
Tal Archel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omri Altman13%
Or Blorian12%
Alen Ožbolt10%
Ihab Ganaem10%
Stav Torial10%
Elian Rohana9%
Mavis Tchibota5%
Ran Binyamin5%
Hisham Layous5%
Bryan Passi0%
José Rodríguez0%
Emilijus Zubas0%
David Cuperman0%
Dan Einbinder0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Alon Azugi0%
Aviv Salem0%
Raz Meir0%
Ziv Morgan0%
Roy Baranes0%
Noam Bonnet0%
Omer Senior0%
El Yam Kancepolsky0%
Or Israelov0%
Liad Ramot0%
Tal Archel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's squad is €12m more valuable than Hapoel Katamon's (€18m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's attack is €9m more valuable than Hapoel Katamon's (€11m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Hapoel Katamon have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's defence is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Katamon's (€5m vs €3m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Ashdod
Hapoel Hadera
Hapoel Petah Tikva