Hapoel Tel Aviv are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 71% chance of a home win, 20% for a draw and 9% for an away victory. The prediction that the most likely result is a home win is driven by Tel Aviv’s dominant home form, scoring an average of one goal per match while conceding none against weaker opposition, versus Ramat Gan’s weaker away record, conceding two goals on average against stronger teams. The expected total of 2.7 goals translates into a 25% probability that the match will end with exactly two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 14.5% chance. The model’s selections include Away under 3.5 goals (99.6%), Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0%), Under 6.5 (97.8% with a 3% edge), Home +2 handicap (97.7% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (97.5% with a 5% edge) and Over 19.5 fouls (95.5%). The recent form notes that Tel Aviv are coming off a win, while Ramat Gan are after two straight defeats.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv win
71.3%
Avg Implied 65.0% · @ 1.41
Edge
+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Draw
20.0%
Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.28
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.45
Pinnacle
4.38
10Bet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Hapoel Ramat Gan win
8.8%
Avg Implied 13.7% · @ 6.68
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
1xBet
6.84
Marathonbet
6.80
Betfair
6.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.90
1.62
0.54
1.00
1.18
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.45
0.95
1.90
0.50
1.08
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.17
1.67
1.13
1.73
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.33
2.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.68
0.96
1.62
0.92
1.75
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.5%
@ 1.21+0.0%
Under 1.5
23.5%
@ 3.94-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.83
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.72-3.1%
Under 2.5
48.6%
@ 2.05+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
BetVictor
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.2%
@ 2.75-4.3%
Under 3.5
70.8%
@ 1.39+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
BetVictor
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Both teams to score
Yes
41.4%
@ 1.89-7.6%
No
58.6%
@ 1.81+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
No
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.5%@ 6.38+7.6%
1-0
12.9%@ 6.56+6.2%
3-0
10.2%@ 8.83+5.3%
1-1
9.4%@ 7.86+3.8%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.68+3.3%
0-0
7.4%@ 11.62+3.6%
3-1
6.3%@ 10.53+2.2%
4-0
5.4%@ 15.50+2.6%
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals ↓
Hapoel Ramat Gan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
3.2%
1.3%
0.3%
0.0%
1
13%
9.4%
2.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
15%
9.0%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
10%
6.3%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
5.4%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (down), columns = Hapoel Ramat Gan goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.67 points better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.38 goals better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.83 goals better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv
For 3.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Ramat Gan
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
9.0
7.7
3.5
3.5
3.4
29.7
28.6
30.8
vs Stronger (7)
8.8
14.5
5.0
3.1
2.3
3.8
28.4
27.5
29.0
vs Similar (36)
8.2
8.5
8.0
3.6
3.9
3.3
30.1
29.0
31.3
vs Weaker (7)
8.2
6.5
10.0
3.1
2.8
3.7
29.2
27.5
31.0
% over line
35%
40%
31%
44%
42%
46%
90%
87%
94%
% under line
65%
60%
69%
56%
58%
54%
10%
13%
6%
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Hapoel Haifa
8.8
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.6
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Beitar Jerusalem
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Beitar Jerusalem
5.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.3
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.5
Beitar Jerusalem
29.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Maccabi Haifa
27.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.6
Hapoel Haifa
26.1
Maccabi Netanya
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.3%
Under 9.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.0%
Under 3.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
90.0%
Under 21.5
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hapoel Tel Aviv or Draw
91.2%
Avg Implied 86.0% · @ 1.08
Edge
+5.2%
71%
20%
9%
covers Hapoel Tel Aviv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Hapoel Tel Aviv or Hapoel Ramat Gan
80.0%
Avg Implied 79.7% · @ 1.17
Edge
+0.4%
71%
20%
9%
covers Hapoel Tel Aviv + Hapoel Ramat Gan
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Draw or Hapoel Ramat Gan
28.7%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.71
Edge
-5.6%
71%
20%
9%
covers Draw + Hapoel Ramat Gan
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.82
10Bet
2.80
William Hil
2.75
Betfair
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5
Over
87.9%
@ 1.09+2.4%
Under
12.1%
@ 6.41-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5
Over
62.3%
@ 1.53+1.2%
Under
37.7%
@ 2.40-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.36
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5
Over
35.3%
@ 2.64+0.1%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.44-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 3.5
Over
16.3%
@ 5.04-2.2%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.15+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.75
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 0.5
Over
46.2%
@ 1.69-8.7%
Under
53.8%
@ 2.06+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.19
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 1.5
Over
12.8%
@ 4.41-8.3%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.18+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.25
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 2.5
Over
2.5%
@ 12.83-4.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
1xBet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 3.5
Over
0.4%
@ 51.00-99.6%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hapoel Tel Aviv, so a minus line means Hapoel Tel Aviv give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Ramat Gan receive them. At -1, Hapoel Tel Aviv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hapoel Tel Aviv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hapoel Tel Aviv)
Hapoel Tel Aviv -2
25.2%
@ 3.84+1.7%
Draw -2
22.0%
@ 4.22+0.7%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +2
52.8%
@ 1.63-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.92
10Bet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
10Bet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.56
Handicap -1 (Hapoel Tel Aviv)
Hapoel Tel Aviv -1
47.2%
@ 2.12+4.8%
Draw -1
24.1%
@ 3.63-0.6%
Hapoel Ramat Gan +1
28.7%
@ 2.72-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.17
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Away
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.64
Handicap +1 (Hapoel Tel Aviv)
Hapoel Tel Aviv +1
91.2%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Draw +1
6.5%
@ 9.50-3.4%
Hapoel Ramat Gan -1
2.3%
@ 19.00-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.50
Away
Bet365
19.00
Handicap +2 (Hapoel Tel Aviv)
Hapoel Tel Aviv +2
97.7%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Draw +2
1.9%
@ 23.00-2.3%
Hapoel Ramat Gan -2
0.4%
@ 51.00-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
23.00
Away
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.37
0.54
0.15
0.29
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.36
0.70
0.10
0.33
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.60
0.53
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.36
0.62
0.46
0.67
0.25
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.3%
@ 1.32-3.1%
Under 0.5
32.7%
@ 3.14+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
BetVictor
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.9%
@ 2.52-4.0%
Under 1.5
67.1%
@ 1.47+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.65
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Betano
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 5.96-1.7%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.10+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.95
Marathonbet
5.95
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HT
Over
54.7%
@ 1.55-5.1%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.31+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Under
10Bet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.34
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.25
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.6%
@ 3.65-7.7%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.24+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.7%
@ 9.10-4.4%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.7%
@ 3.02+1.0%
Under
68.3%
@ 1.34-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.26
Marathonbet
3.04
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.3%
@ 10.00-3.0%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.02+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.53
1.08
0.38
0.71
0.65
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.59
1.20
0.40
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.73
1.07
0.60
1.07
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.04
0.60
1.00
0.46
1.08
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.19-5.9%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 4.13+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Betano
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.5%
@ 1.93-3.6%
Under 1.5
55.5%
@ 1.78+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.3%
@ 3.86-2.6%
Under 2.5
78.7%
@ 1.21+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Marathonbet
3.88
1xBet
3.88
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.3%
@ 1.37-9.3%
Under
41.7%
@ 2.85+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Under
10Bet
2.88
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2H
Over
27.9%
@ 2.71-6.2%
Under
72.1%
@ 1.40+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.76
1xBet
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.60
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.9%
@ 6.33-8.7%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.08+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
10Bet
6.50
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
41.2%
@ 2.47+3.7%
Under
58.8%
@ 1.48-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.47
Betano
2.42
Under
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.3%
@ 8.82+0.8%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.03-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.30
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Home +2 handicap
97.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
Under 5.5
94.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
+3.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+8.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.0%
Home or Draw
91.2%
1.08
BetVictor
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+5.2%
Home +1 handicap
91.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
Over 21.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-0.8%
Home over 0.5 goals
87.9%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.05
+2.4%
Away under 1.5 goals
87.2%
1.18
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+8.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.07
+1.7%
Under 4.5
85.8%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.10
+4.1%
Under 11.5 corners
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.7%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-
+2.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.4%
1.24
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.21
-
+7.7%
Over 23.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.0%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+0.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.7%
1.21
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+2.6%
Over 3.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.5%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+0.0%
Under 10.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.1%
1.40
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
-
+6.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
71.8%
1.19
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
-5.9%
Home win
71.3%
1.41
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
+6.3%
Under 3.5
70.8%
1.39
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
+4.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Roee Alkokin25%
D. Owusu25%
D. Dappa25%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
F. Mayembo0%
M. Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
A. Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
S. Torial0%
Mor Buskila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Torial67%
Chico50%
Falcão50%
M. Coco50%
Omri Altman33%
F. Mayembo25%
Andrian Kraev25%
Doron Leidner25%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
A. Tzur0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
D. Owusu0%
D. Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. Torial33%
Emmanuel Boateng25%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
F. Mayembo0%
M. Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
A. Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
D. Owusu0%
D. Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roee Alkokin25%
D. Owusu25%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
F. Mayembo0%
M. Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
A. Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
S. Torial0%
Mor Buskila0%
D. Dappa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's squad is €12m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€18m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's attack is €9m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€11m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's midfield is €1m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's defence is €3m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€5m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Beitar Jerusalem