This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.47
2.20
1.13
1.33
1.80
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
3.50
1.33
3.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (7)
2.43
1.14
2.75
0.75
2.00
1.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.71
0.88
2.25
0.62
1.22
1.11
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.5%
Under 2.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1 ✓
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.6%
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals ↓
Maccabi Haifa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
8.9%
7.0%
3.2%
1.1%
1
7.8%
14%
8.6%
4.0%
1.4%
2
5.6%
7.7%
5.3%
2.4%
0.8%
3
2.3%
3.1%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (down), columns = Maccabi Haifa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.14
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.03
Beitar Jerusalem
1.30
Maccabi Netanya
1.25
Hapoel Katamon
1.25
Hapoel Haifa
1.24
Ashdod
1.19
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Bnei Sakhnin
1.12
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.03
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.76
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 1.21 points worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Haifa
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.92
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.81
Beitar Jerusalem
1.58
Maccabi Netanya
1.22
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Bnei Sakhnin
1.18
Ashdod
1.14
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.12
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Hadera
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.06
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.97
Sektzia Nes Tziona
0.94
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.99 goals worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 2.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Tel Aviv
0.64
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.81
Maccabi Haifa
0.94
Hapoel Haifa
1.06
Hapoel Katamon
1.22
Ashdod
1.28
Bnei Sakhnin
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.48
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.55
Hapoel Hadera
1.61
Maccabi Netanya
1.61
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.64
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Beitar Jerusalem
1.76
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.60 goals worse than Maccabi Haifa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 0.94).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bnei Sakhnin
68%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
61%
Maccabi Netanya
53%
Beitar Jerusalem
47%
Sektzia Nes Tziona
42%
Hapoel Haifa
34%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv
For 4.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 15.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Haifa
For 6.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 8.2 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
9.3
7.7
11.2
2.0
2.0
2.0
25.0
25.0
-
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
11.0
-
2.0
4.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
9.0
7.3
10.2
1.5
1.0
1.9
25.0
25.0
-
vs Weaker (10)
9.4
7.0
13.0
2.7
2.8
2.6
-
-
-
% over line
46%
29%
67%
28%
33%
23%
100%
100%
-
% under line
54%
71%
33%
72%
67%
77%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
10.4
10.1
10.7
2.5
2.2
2.8
22.9
23.0
22.8
vs Stronger (10)
9.0
9.2
8.8
4.5
4.4
4.6
23.1
23.5
22.8
vs Similar (9)
10.3
10.0
11.0
3.4
3.4
3.5
21.0
21.0
-
vs Weaker (18)
12.8
12.5
13.0
0.9
0.3
1.4
-
-
-
% over line
59%
45%
73%
32%
26%
39%
56%
60%
50%
% under line
41%
55%
27%
68%
74%
61%
44%
40%
50%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beitar Jerusalem
10.8
Maccabi Haifa
10.4
Bnei Sakhnin
10.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
10.0
Maccabi Netanya
9.8
Sektzia Nes Tziona
9.6
Maccabi Tel Aviv
9.5
Hapoel Hadera
9.5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
8.8
Hapoel Beer Sheva
8.5
Ashdod
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beitar Jerusalem
6.1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.5
Hapoel Hadera
5.4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.3
Maccabi Netanya
5.2
Hapoel Haifa
5.0
Maccabi Haifa
4.8
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ashdod
4.7
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4.5
Sektzia Nes Tziona
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bnei Sakhnin
30.0
Hapoel Haifa
27.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
25.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
24.7
Sektzia Nes Tziona
24.0
Maccabi Haifa
22.9
Beitar Jerusalem
21.0
Maccabi Netanya
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.1%
Under 9.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.6%
Under 3.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.6%
Under 21.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.80
0.50
0.67
0.62
0.92
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
1.15
0.83
1.00
0.57
1.29
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.50
0.20
0.40
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
1.20
0.47
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.17
1.33
0.67
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.71
1.50
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.59
0.53
1.00
0.38
0.22
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.84
0.75
0.75
0.38
0.92
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.85
1.00
1.00
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
0.40
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.77
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
2.33
0.00
2.33
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (7)
1.29
0.43
1.25
0.25
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (17)
1.12
0.35
1.25
0.25
1.00
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Tel Aviv · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chico67%
Falcão33%
Fernand Mayembo33%
Marcus Coco33%
Omri Altman33%
Andrian Kraev33%
Doron Leidner33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roee Alkokin33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Maccabi Haifa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tjaronn Chery38%
Abdoulaye Seck17%
Daniel Sundgren17%
Frantzdy Pierrot12%
Omer Atzili12%
Dean David12%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Mavis Tchibota0%
Josh Cohen0%
Pierre Cornud0%
Mohammad Abu Fani0%
Dolev Haziza0%
Nikita Rukavytsya0%
Neta Lavi0%
Sun Menahem0%
Sean Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed El Fazaz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sun Menahem40%
Omer Atzili38%
Abdoulaye Seck33%
Mavis Tchibota25%
Neta Lavi25%
Dolev Haziza20%
Daniel Sundgren17%
Pierre Cornud14%
Mohammad Abu Fani14%
Frantzdy Pierrot12%
Tjaronn Chery12%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Josh Cohen0%
Nikita Rukavytsya0%
Dean David0%
Sean Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed El Fazaz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dolev Haziza40%
Frantzdy Pierrot25%
Pierre Cornud14%
Tjaronn Chery12%
Omer Atzili12%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Daniel Sundgren0%
Mavis Tchibota0%
Josh Cohen0%
Mohammad Abu Fani0%
Nikita Rukavytsya0%
Neta Lavi0%
Sun Menahem0%
Dean David0%
Sean Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed El Fazaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tjaronn Chery50%
Omer Atzili25%
Frantzdy Pierrot12%
Dylan Batubinsika0%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Daniel Sundgren0%
Mavis Tchibota0%
Josh Cohen0%
Pierre Cornud0%
Mohammad Abu Fani0%
Dolev Haziza0%
Nikita Rukavytsya0%
Neta Lavi0%
Sun Menahem0%
Dean David0%
Sean Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed El Fazaz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's squad is €9m less valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€18m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's attack is €4m more valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€11m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's midfield is €7m less valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€2m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's defence is €6m less valuable than Maccabi Haifa's (€5m vs €10m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Netanya
Ashdod
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Hapoel Hadera
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Sektzia Nes Tziona