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HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/10/2026
Time: 12:00
HB Koge
HB Koge
Vs
68%
19%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AB Copenhagen
AB Copenhagen
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

HB Koge are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 68% chance of a home win, 19% for a draw and 13% for an away victory, and the pick is a home win. The average goal tally is 3.3, so the expected total is three goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 for HB Koge, with a 10.1% probability. HB Koge’s home form shows they score an average of 1.5 goals and concede 1.67 against opponents of a stronger tier, while AB Copenhagen’s away form shows 1.5 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against stronger opposition. The model’s selections include: Away under 3.5 goals 98.4%; Under 7.5 98.0%; Home +2 handicap 95.6%; Under 6.5 94.8%; Away under 2.5 goals 92.8%; Home over 0.5 goals 90.6%; Under 5.5 88.0%; Home or Draw 87.2%. HB Koge’s recent five matches contain two draws and three losses, coming off a 0-0 draw with Aalborg, while AB Copenhagen’s last five include a loss, a win and a draw, coming off a 1-2 defeat to Kolding IF. The venue advantage for HB Koge, combined with AB Copenhagen’s struggle on the road against stronger teams, underpins the high probability of a home win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HB Koge win
67.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen win
12.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L01L03L02L01L13L02L22D00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.531.211.431.061.62
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (29)1.171.481.211.431.131.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W11D22D11D21W01L30W11D42W12LA·RUD05/08H·B 909/09A·VEJ24/07H·FC 31/07A·HOL04/08A·HOB08/08A·VEN16/08H·HVI22/08A·BRØ25/08A·KOL29/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.171.001.002.111.22
vs Stronger (9)1.331.441.001.001.501.67
vs Similar (3)3.330.33--3.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.5%
Under 2.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.4%
Under 3.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
HB Koge goals ↓
AB Copenhagen goals →
01234
04.4%2.6%1.7%0.5%0.1%
17.7%9.0%3.9%1.2%0.3%
210%9.7%4.6%1.5%0.4%
38.0%7.6%3.6%1.2%0.3%
44.7%4.5%2.2%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Koge goals (down), columns = AB Copenhagen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
HB Koge is 0.67 points worse than AB Copenhagen in terms of average points per game (0.33 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
HB Koge is 0.83 goals worse than AB Copenhagen in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
HB Koge is 0.83 goals worse than AB Copenhagen in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HB Koge or Draw
87.2%
Avg Implied -
68%
19%
13%
covers HB Koge + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Koge or AB Copenhagen
80.6%
Avg Implied -
68%
19%
13%
covers HB Koge + AB Copenhagen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AB Copenhagen
32.1%
Avg Implied -
68%
19%
13%
covers Draw + AB Copenhagen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HB Koge over/under 0.5
Over
90.6%
Under
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5
Over
68.4%
Under
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5
Over
42.1%
Under
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 3.5
Over
21.4%
Under
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 0.5
Over
61.6%
Under
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 1.5
Over
24.8%
Under
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 2.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to HB Koge, so a minus line means HB Koge give that many goals of a start and AB Copenhagen receive them. At -1, HB Koge must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HB Koge win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HB Koge)
HB Koge -2
25.9%
Draw -2
20.2%
AB Copenhagen +2
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (HB Koge)
HB Koge -1
46.1%
Draw -1
21.8%
AB Copenhagen +1
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (HB Koge)
HB Koge +1
87.2%
Draw +1
8.3%
AB Copenhagen -1
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (HB Koge)
HB Koge +2
95.6%
Draw +2
3.3%
AB Copenhagen -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L00D01L01L02L00D21W00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.570.500.560.69
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.620.570.500.600.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D10W20W00D30W01L21W02LA·RUD05/08H·B 909/09A·VEJ24/07H·FC 31/07A·HOL04/08A·HOB08/08A·VEN16/08H·HVI22/08A·BRØ25/08A·KOL29/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.080.500.670.671.220.44
vs Stronger (9)0.780.670.670.670.830.67
vs Similar (3)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D03L01L00D11D02L01L00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.640.930.500.94
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.860.640.930.530.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D11D01L01L01L00D10W21W10WA·RUD05/08H·B 909/09A·VEJ24/07H·FC 31/07A·HOL04/08A·HOB08/08A·VEN16/08H·HVI22/08A·BRØ25/08A·KOL29/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.670.330.330.890.78
vs Stronger (9)0.560.780.330.330.671.00
vs Similar (3)1.330.33--1.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals98.4%-------
Under 7.598.0%-------
Home +2 handicap95.6%-------
Under 6.594.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals92.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals90.6%-------
Under 5.588.0%-------
Home or Draw87.2%-------
Home +1 handicap87.2%-------
Over 1.585.2%-------
Home or Away80.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals78.6%-------
Under 4.575.9%-------
Away under 1.5 goals75.2%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
HB Koge's squad is €4m more valuable than AB Copenhagen's (€5m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
HB Koge's attack is €1m more valuable than AB Copenhagen's (€1m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
HB Koge's midfield is €2m more valuable than AB Copenhagen's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
HB Koge's defence is €2m more valuable than AB Copenhagen's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
HK wins
0
Draws
0
AC wins

Head-to-head

HB Koge vs AB Copenhagen · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AAalborg Vs HK0-0
23/08/26HHK Vs Kolding IF2-2
15/08/26HHK Vs Hvidovre0-2
08/08/26AAarhus Fremad Vs HK3-1
04/08/26ABrønshøj Vs HK1-0
31/07/26HHK Vs Vejle0-2
25/07/26AFC Fredericia Vs HK3-0
30/05/26AAalborg Vs HK1-0
24/05/26HHK Vs Hobro0-1
16/05/26AMiddelfart Vs HK0-4

AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AKolding IF Vs AC2-1
25/08/26ABrønshøj Vs AC2-4
22/08/26HAC Vs Hvidovre1-1
16/08/26AVendsyssel FF Vs AC0-3
08/08/26AHobro Vs AC1-0
04/08/26AHolbæk B&I Vs AC1-2
31/07/26HAC Vs FC Fredericia1-1
24/07/26AVejle Vs AC2-2
09/09/25HAC Vs B 931-1
05/08/25ARudersdal Vs AC1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.10
HomeWLLLD1.33
AwayLLLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.782.503.04
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %52%33%69%
Over 3.5 %32%17%46%
Scored1.181.171.19
Conceded1.601.331.85
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---
AB Copenhagen
AB Copenhagen
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.58
HomeDDD1.00
AwayWLWWL1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%0%56%
AVG goals3.002.003.33
Over 1.5 %92%100%89%
Over 2.5 %58%0%78%
Over 3.5 %33%0%44%
Scored1.831.002.11
Conceded1.171.001.22
BTTS67%100%56%
Clean Sheet17%0%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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