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HB Koge vs FC Helsingor Result & Analysis

Date: 01/10/2023
Time: 11:00
Final 1-0
HB Koge
HB Koge
Vs
44%
26%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Helsingor
FC Helsingor
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HB Koge winâś“ Hit
43.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor winâś— Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-740W31W02L17L02L04L00D33D01L02LA·HIL21/07H·VEN28/07A·AC 04/08H·B 911/08H·HOB20/08A·SON23/08H·FC 27/08A·NAE04/09H·KOL14/09A·AAL22/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.901.401.801.532.00
vs Stronger (6)0.673.171.002.000.334.33
vs Similar (22)1.681.641.361.822.001.45
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Helsingor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC HelsingorFC Helsingor

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W20W12L11D13L16L04L13L00D34LH·NAE23/07H·B 930/07A·VEN05/08H·AAL11/08A·AC 18/08H·HIL23/08A·KOL26/08H·HOB03/09A·FC 17/09H·SON24/09
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.971.561.811.002.14
vs Stronger (12)1.422.501.862.430.802.60
vs Similar (14)1.501.791.711.711.291.86
vs Weaker (4)0.251.000.000.000.502.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0 âś“
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
HB Koge goals ↓
FC Helsingor goals →
01234
06.2%5.6%4.5%2.0%0.7%
17.2%12%7.4%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.2%6.1%2.7%0.9%
33.8%5.0%3.4%1.5%0.5%
41.6%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Koge goals (down), columns = FC Helsingor goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sonderjyske
2.12
Aalborg
2.03
Hillerød
1.53
Kolding IF
1.53
Hobro
1.47
FC Fredericia
1.47
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
AC Horsens
1.34
B 93
1.22
HB Koge
1.06
Naestved
0.84
FC Helsingor
0.50
HB Koge is 0.56 points better than FC Helsingor in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 0.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sonderjyske
2.22
Aalborg
2.06
Hillerød
1.81
Kolding IF
1.62
FC Fredericia
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.41
B 93
1.41
HB Koge
1.34
Hobro
1.31
AC Horsens
1.16
Naestved
1.03
FC Helsingor
1.00
HB Koge is 0.34 goals better than FC Helsingor in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sonderjyske
0.91
Aalborg
1.19
Hobro
1.25
Hillerød
1.28
FC Fredericia
1.31
AC Horsens
1.41
Kolding IF
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.56
Naestved
1.66
B 93
1.72
FC Helsingor
2.03
HB Koge
2.06
HB Koge is 0.03 goals worse than FC Helsingor in terms of goals conceded per game (2.06 vs 2.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L02L12L00D02L00D12L00D01LA·HIL21/07H·VEN28/07A·AC 04/08H·B 911/08H·HOB20/08A·SON23/08H·FC 27/08A·NAE04/09H·KOL14/09A·AAL22/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.470.670.601.13
vs Stronger (6)0.171.330.330.670.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.770.550.640.820.91
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Helsingor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC HelsingorFC Helsingor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W00D02L02L02L02L00D02LH·NAE23/07H·B 930/07A·VEN05/08H·AAL11/08A·AC 18/08H·HIL23/08A·KOL26/08H·HOB03/09A·FC 17/09H·SON24/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.500.690.571.07
vs Stronger (12)0.421.250.431.000.401.60
vs Similar (14)0.710.710.710.570.710.86
vs Weaker (4)0.250.250.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W30W00D05L02L02L00D21W01L01LA·HIL21/07H·VEN28/07A·AC 04/08H·B 911/08H·HOB20/08A·SON23/08H·FC 27/08A·NAE04/09H·KOL14/09A·AAL22/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.000.931.130.930.87
vs Stronger (6)0.501.830.671.330.332.33
vs Similar (22)1.000.860.821.181.180.55
vs Weaker (2)1.500.003.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Helsingor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC HelsingorFC Helsingor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W02L11D11D14L02L11D00D32WH·NAE23/07H·B 930/07A·VEN05/08H·AAL11/08A·AC 18/08H·HIL23/08A·KOL26/08H·HOB03/09A·FC 17/09H·SON24/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.101.061.120.431.07
vs Stronger (12)1.001.251.431.430.401.00
vs Similar (14)0.791.071.001.140.571.00
vs Weaker (4)0.000.750.000.000.001.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Helsingor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.0%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
HK wins
0
Draws
1
FH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HB Koge vs FC Helsingor · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/23AFC Helsingor Vs HK1-4
27/08/22HHK Vs FC Helsingor2-4

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/23AAalborg Vs HK2-0
14/09/23HHK Vs Kolding IF0-1
04/09/23ANaestved Vs HK3-3
27/08/23HHK Vs FC Fredericia0-0
23/08/23ASonderjyske Vs HK4-0
20/08/23HHK Vs Hobro0-2
11/08/23HHK Vs B 931-7
04/08/23AAC Horsens Vs HK2-0
28/07/23HHK Vs Vendsyssel FF3-1
21/07/23AHillerød Vs HK0-4

FC HelsingorFC Helsingor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23HFH Vs Sonderjyske3-4
17/09/23AFC Fredericia Vs FH0-0
03/09/23HFH Vs Hobro1-3
26/08/23AKolding IF Vs FH4-0
23/08/23HFH Vs Hillerød1-6
18/08/23AAC Horsens Vs FH3-1
11/08/23HFH Vs Aalborg1-1
05/08/23AVendsyssel FF Vs FH2-1
30/07/23HFH Vs B 932-0
23/07/23HFH Vs Naestved2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.24
HomeWLLDL1.10
AwayWLLDL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%29%43%
AVG goals3.193.053.33
Over 1.5 %74%71%76%
Over 2.5 %55%57%52%
Over 3.5 %45%48%43%
Scored1.451.381.52
Conceded1.741.671.81
BTTS48%52%43%
Clean Sheet26%29%24%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Helsingor
FC Helsingor
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.19
HomeWDLLL1.41
AwayLLLLD0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%41%30%
AVG goals3.313.453.15
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %62%59%65%
Over 3.5 %43%41%45%
Scored1.401.551.25
Conceded1.901.911.90
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet29%32%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SonderjyskeSonderjyske3268
62%
2.1
7129+42
3.1
84%
62%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3362.20.9
-
2AalborgAalborg3265
59%
2.0
6638+28
3.2
84%
69%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2262.11.2
-
3HillerødHillerød3249
41%
1.5
5841+17
3.1
78%
59%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.3
-
4Kolding IFKolding IF3249
44%
1.5
5246+6
3.1
78%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3247
41%
1.5
4642+4
2.8
75%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.41.3
-
6HobroHobro3247
44%
1.5
4240+2
2.6
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.31.2
-
7Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3243
34%
1.3
4550-5
3.0
75%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8AC HorsensAC Horsens3243
38%
1.3
3745-8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.21.4
-
9B 93B 933239
34%
1.2
4555-10
3.1
75%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
4366-23
3.4
81%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.32.1
-
11NaestvedNaestved3227
16%
0.8
3353-20
2.7
69%
47%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
12FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3216
6%
0.5
3265-33
3.0
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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