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HB Koge vs Hillerød Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 17:00
HB Koge
HB Koge
Vs
38%
27%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The match between HB Koge and Hillerød is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win at 38%. The draw probability sits at 27% and the away side’s chances are 35%. The average goal expectation is 2.8, but the most likely total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest. HB Koge, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.43 conceded, while Hillerød, on the road, averages 1.54 scored and 1.92 conceded. Suggested picks from the model include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (97.4% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.0% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.8% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.8% with a 5% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.0% with a 4% edge). Both teams have shown recent form that keeps the outcome uncertain, with HB Koge coming off a draw and Hillerød on a two-game winning streak.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HB Koge win
37.9%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.61
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.69
Unibet
2.65
Dafabet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Draw
27.4%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.43
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Unibet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Hillerød win
34.7%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.44
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.53
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.48
Marathonbet
2.48
Dafabet
2.48

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L01L03L02L01L13L02L22D00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.531.211.431.061.62
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (29)1.171.481.211.431.131.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 – goals for & against
120-1203L21W01L23L120W45L11D01L40W31WA·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08H·HOB30/08
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.371.291.002.121.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.411.441.291.001.541.92
vs Weaker (3)4.670.67--4.670.67
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.7%
@ 1.19+0.3%
Under 1.5
21.3%
@ 4.31-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Pinnacle
4.49
BetVictor
4.40
Unibet
4.35
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.63-3.2%
Under 2.5
46.1%
@ 2.18+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Marathonbet
2.21
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.6%
@ 2.56-4.7%
Under 3.5
68.4%
@ 1.46+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.70
BetVictor
2.63
Pinnacle
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Unibet
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Both teams to score
Yes
58.6%
@ 1.51-2.4%
No
41.4%
@ 2.36+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
No
BetVictor
2.40
William Hil
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 6.30+6.0%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.95+3.6%
1-2
8.1%@ 8.45+2.9%
1-0
7.3%@ 10.01+2.9%
0-0
7.0%@ 12.05+3.4%
0-1
6.9%@ 9.56+2.3%
2-0
6.2%@ 13.79+3.0%
2-2
5.9%@ 10.26+1.6%
HB Koge goals ↓
Hillerød goals →
01234
07.0%6.9%5.6%2.6%0.9%
17.3%13%8.1%3.8%1.3%
26.2%8.6%5.9%2.7%0.9%
33.0%4.2%2.9%1.3%0.5%
41.1%1.5%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Koge goals (down), columns = Hillerød goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
HB Koge is 0.33 points worse than Hillerød in terms of average points per game (0.33 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
HB Koge is 1.17 goals worse than Hillerød in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
HB Koge and Hillerød are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HB Koge or Draw
65.3%
Avg Implied 62.0% · @ 1.50
Edge
+3.3%
38%
27%
35%
covers HB Koge + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
HB Koge or Hillerød
72.6%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.7%
38%
27%
35%
covers HB Koge + Hillerød
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Hillerød
62.1%
Avg Implied 64.8% · @ 1.44
Edge
-2.7%
38%
27%
35%
covers Draw + Hillerød
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.44

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HB Koge over/under 0.5
Over
76.7%
@ 1.22+1.0%
Under
23.3%
@ 3.80-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.84
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.75
HB Koge over/under 1.5
Over
42.7%
@ 2.14-0.9%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.65+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Superbet
2.17
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
HB Koge over/under 2.5
Over
18.0%
@ 4.57-2.3%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.16+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
HB Koge over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
@ 10.44-3.0%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.04+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Hillerød over/under 0.5
Over
74.9%
@ 1.21-1.9%
Under
25.1%
@ 4.01+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.30
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Hillerød over/under 1.5
Over
40.2%
@ 2.05-5.2%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.71+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Under
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Hillerød over/under 2.5
Over
16.2%
@ 4.30-5.4%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.18+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Hillerød over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
@ 9.44-4.8%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.04+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to HB Koge, so a minus line means HB Koge give that many goals of a start and Hillerød receive them. At -1, HB Koge must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HB Koge win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HB Koge)
HB Koge -2
7.0%
@ 9.08-2.6%
Draw -2
11.6%
@ 6.48-1.9%
Hillerød +2
81.4%
@ 1.13+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.25
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.20
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (HB Koge)
HB Koge -1
18.6%
@ 4.89+0.3%
Draw -1
19.3%
@ 4.42-0.9%
Hillerød +1
62.1%
@ 1.46+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Away
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Handicap +1 (HB Koge)
HB Koge +1
65.3%
@ 1.51+6.2%
Draw +1
18.3%
@ 4.24-2.7%
Hillerød -1
16.4%
@ 4.49-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.40
Handicap +2 (HB Koge)
HB Koge +2
83.6%
@ 1.15+6.1%
Draw +2
10.4%
@ 6.83-2.7%
Hillerød -2
5.9%
@ 9.60-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Unibet
6.40
Superbet
6.40
Away
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Superbet
8.80
Marathonbet
8.70

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L00D01L01L02L00D21W00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.570.500.560.69
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.620.570.500.600.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D02L20W21W01L01L10W20WA·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08H·HOB30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.570.360.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.560.480.570.360.540.62
vs Weaker (3)1.000.67--1.000.67
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.30-2.4%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 3.23+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.9%
@ 2.39-4.0%
Under 1.5
65.1%
@ 1.52+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Under
William Hil
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.9%
@ 5.44-6.2%
Under 2.5
89.1%
@ 1.12+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.30
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.6%
@ 1.93-2.4%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.79+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.8%
@ 5.89-4.0%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.75
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 16.17-4.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Hillerød over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.0%
@ 1.89-3.0%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.82+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Unibet
1.87
Under
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Hillerød over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.2%
@ 5.43-5.7%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.11+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.30
Superbet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Hillerød over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.1%
@ 15.08-4.2%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D03L01L00D11D02L01L00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.640.930.500.94
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.860.640.930.530.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HillerødHillerød

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1002L11D01L21W100W24L10W00D30W11DA·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08H·HOB30/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.870.710.641.501.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.850.960.710.641.001.31
vs Weaker (3)3.670.00--3.670.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.2%
@ 1.17-3.3%
Under 0.5
23.8%
@ 4.54+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.2%
@ 1.83-5.5%
Under 1.5
54.8%
@ 1.88+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
Unibet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.2%
@ 3.51-7.2%
Under 2.5
80.8%
@ 1.26+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Betano
3.45
Marathonbet
3.36
Under
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.4%
@ 1.65-3.9%
Under
47.6%
@ 2.12+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Superbet
2.07
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.8%
@ 4.08-4.8%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.20+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.30
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.6%
@ 10.33-4.4%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Hillerød over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.7%
@ 1.61-5.8%
Under
48.3%
@ 2.18+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Hillerød over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.5%
@ 3.91-8.2%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.21+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
3.95
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Hillerød over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
@ 9.81-5.0%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.1%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
--+4.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.9%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
--+4.2%
Under 6.597.4%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-+3.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.5%1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-+5.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.4%1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
--+4.4%
Away under 3.5 goals94.8%1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-+4.8%
Home under 3.5 goals94.0%1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-+3.0%
Under 5.593.2%1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+4.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals89.1%1.12
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+6.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.8%1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
+5.7%
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.2%1.10
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+4.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.5%1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+8.2%
Under 4.584.2%1.17
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Pinnacle
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
+4.6%
Away under 2.5 goals83.8%1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+5.4%
Home +2 handicap83.6%1.15
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+6.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.2%1.20
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
+4.8%
Home under 2.5 goals82.0%1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
+2.3%
Away +2 handicap81.4%1.13
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
--+4.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals80.8%1.26
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+7.2%
Over 1.578.7%1.19
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
+0.3%
Home over 0.5 goals76.7%1.22
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+1.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals76.2%1.17
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
-3.3%
Away over 0.5 goals74.9%1.21
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.21
-1.9%
Home or Away72.6%1.27
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
-0.7%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
HB Koge and Hillerød have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
HB Koge and Hillerød have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
HB Koge and Hillerød have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
HB Koge and Hillerød have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
HK wins
3
Draws
5
HIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HB Koge vs Hillerød · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/25HHK Vs Hillerød1-1
23/08/25AHillerød Vs HK3-1
25/04/25AHillerød Vs HK3-0
13/04/25HHK Vs Hillerød0-2
02/12/24HHK Vs Hillerød1-5
16/08/24AHillerød Vs HK4-2
05/05/24HHK Vs Hillerød1-1
19/04/24AHillerød Vs HK1-1

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AAalborg Vs HK0-0
23/08/26HHK Vs Kolding IF2-2
15/08/26HHK Vs Hvidovre0-2
08/08/26AAarhus Fremad Vs HK3-1
04/08/26ABrønshøj Vs HK1-0
31/07/26HHK Vs Vejle0-2
25/07/26AFC Fredericia Vs HK3-0
30/05/26AAalborg Vs HK1-0
24/05/26HHK Vs Hobro0-1
16/05/26AMiddelfart Vs HK0-4

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HHIL Vs Hobro3-1
25/08/26AAvarta Vs HIL0-4
20/08/26AVendsyssel FF Vs HIL1-0
15/08/26HHIL Vs Aarhus Fremad1-1
09/08/26AVejle Vs HIL5-4
06/08/26AVaeggerlose Vs HIL0-12
01/08/26HHIL Vs Esbjerg2-3
24/07/26AAalborg Vs HIL1-0
31/05/26HHIL Vs Hvidovre2-1
25/05/26AKolding IF Vs HIL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.10
HomeWLLLD1.33
AwayLLLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.782.503.04
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %52%33%69%
Over 3.5 %32%17%46%
Scored1.181.171.19
Conceded1.601.331.85
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.58
HomeDWLDW1.88
AwayLWLLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%54%35%
AVG goals3.283.003.54
Over 1.5 %80%83%77%
Over 2.5 %64%58%69%
Over 3.5 %40%33%46%
Scored1.901.881.92
Conceded1.381.121.62
BTTS62%67%58%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches