This match between HB Koge and Kolding IF is finely balanced, with HB Koge's recent struggles, having lost their last 5 matches, a significant storyline going into this encounter. Despite this, the model still predicts a home win, with a 35% probability of HB Koge taking all three points, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 34% probability of Kolding IF emerging victorious.
The expected total goals stands at 2.3, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.6% probability.
HB Koge's home form against stronger opponents has seen them average 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match, while Kolding IF's away form against weaker opponents has seen them average 0.67 goals scored and 1 conceded per match.
The model's selection is the home win, with the suggested picks including Under 3.5, which has an 80.3% probability. The home win percentage is 35%, the draw percentage is 31%, and the away win percentage is 34%.
Results analysis
The match ended 2-2, a draw that stunned the pre-match favourite, HB Koge, who had been tipped to win with a 35 % probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. HB Koge’s recent form of DLLLL had only just returned to a draw, while Kolding IF also finished DLDLD, both ending on 2-2. The Pythia model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2 %) and Under 5.5 (97.1 %). The expected total of 2.3 goals and the most likely score of 1-1 (28 %) were also missed, as the game produced a higher tally than predicted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
HB Koge win✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.01
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.19
1xBet
3.12
Bet365
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Draw✓ Hit
31.2%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.39
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.58
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.45
Dafabet
3.45
Kolding IF win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.17
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Unibet
2.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HB Koge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.57
1.14
1.29
1.19
1.81
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (29)
1.21
1.52
1.14
1.29
1.27
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolding IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.33
1.20
1.27
1.27
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.08
1.42
1.31
1.31
0.85
1.54
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
4.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.22-8.5%
Under 1.5
32.2%
@ 3.91+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.17
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
888Sport
3.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.9%
@ 1.73-14.2%
Under 2.5
60.1%
@ 2.04+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.75
SBO
1.75
Betano
1.75
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
SBO
2.07
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.7%
@ 2.78-13.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
@ 1.39+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
888Sport
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
@ 1.58-10.8%
No
52.4%
@ 2.22+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
No
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.25
888Sport
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 6.16+7.5%
0-0
11.5%@ 10.81+7.5%
1-0
10.5%@ 10.04+6.1%
0-1
10.2%@ 8.18+4.8%
2-1
7.7%@ 9.72+3.2%
1-2
7.5%@ 7.91+2.0%
2-0
6.8%@ 14.92+3.9%
0-2
6.5%@ 10.66+2.4%
HB Koge goals ↓
Kolding IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.8%
7.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.6%
2.9%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Koge goals (down), columns = Kolding IF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
HB Koge is 0.67 points worse than Kolding IF in terms of average points per game (0.33 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
HB Koge is 0.83 goals worse than Kolding IF in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
HB Koge is 0.50 goals worse than Kolding IF in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HB Koge or Draw✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied 57.5% · @ 1.62
Edge
+8.8%
35%
31%
34%
covers HB Koge + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
William Hil
1.65
888Sport
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
HB Koge or Kolding IF✗ Miss
68.8%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
-4.3%
35%
31%
34%
covers HB Koge + Kolding IF
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Draw or Kolding IF✓ Hit
64.9%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.34
Edge
-4.5%
35%
31%
34%
covers Draw + Kolding IF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Superbet
1.35
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HB Koge over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
@ 1.30-3.1%
Under
31.5%
@ 3.25+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.24
HB Koge over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.1%
@ 2.46-5.7%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.49+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Betfair
2.50
888Sport
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Marathonbet
2.47
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Superbet
1.50
HB Koge over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 5.72-5.1%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.11+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
888Sport
6.00
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
BetVictor
5.75
Under
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
HB Koge over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 14.50-3.6%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
888Sport
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Kolding IF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.6%
@ 1.19-10.2%
Under
32.4%
@ 4.17+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
888Sport
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
1xBet
4.25
888Sport
4.20
Kolding IF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
31.1%
@ 2.00-15.5%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.74+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
888Sport
1.75
Kolding IF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 4.21-11.6%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.19+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.25
Under
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Kolding IF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 9.60-7.0%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.04+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.10
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HB Koge, so a minus line means HB Koge give that many goals of a start and Kolding IF receive them. At -1, HB Koge must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HB Koge win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HB Koge)Actual: Kolding IF
HB Koge -2
4.8%
@ 13.00-2.1%
Draw -2
10.3%
@ 8.40-0.5%
Kolding IF +2
84.9%
@ 1.10+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
7.80
Away
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Handicap -1 (HB Koge)Actual: Kolding IF
HB Koge -1
15.1%
@ 5.93+0.0%
Draw -1
20.0%
@ 4.70+1.0%
Kolding IF +1
64.9%
@ 1.35-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.20
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Superbet
5.70
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Superbet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Away
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Handicap +1 (HB Koge)Actual: HB Koge
HB Koge +1
66.2%
@ 1.61+10.6%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 3.98-3.0%
Kolding IF -1
14.3%
@ 4.09-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Away
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Handicap +2 (HB Koge)Actual: HB Koge
HB Koge +2
85.7%
@ 1.19+10.5%
Draw +2
9.8%
@ 6.22-4.6%
Kolding IF -2
4.5%
@ 8.64-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Away
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.50
Superbet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
Unibet
8.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HB Koge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.43
0.43
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.52
0.66
0.43
0.43
0.60
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolding IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.60
0.53
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.69
0.69
0.62
0.23
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.6%
@ 1.33-3.6%
Under 0.5
33.4%
@ 3.11+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.27
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.13
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
28.3%
@ 2.51-8.7%
Under 1.5
71.7%
@ 1.47+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
8.9%
@ 6.09-6.3%
Under 2.5
91.1%
@ 1.09+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.6%
@ 2.11+0.6%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.66-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Unibet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.1%
@ 6.88-2.4%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.08+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 20.17-3.0%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.8%
@ 1.85-9.2%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.85+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 5.34-7.5%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.12+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 14.75-4.9%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HB Koge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.71
0.86
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (29)
0.69
0.86
0.71
0.86
0.67
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolding IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.60
0.73
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.73
0.62
0.69
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.2%
@ 1.19-3.6%
Under 0.5
25.8%
@ 4.17+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Betano
4.25
Superbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
40.4%
@ 1.92-8.1%
Under 1.5
59.6%
@ 1.80+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
William Hil
1.80
888Sport
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.0%
@ 3.91-9.8%
Under 2.5
86.0%
@ 1.22+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.00
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
Under
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.3%
@ 1.78-1.7%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.93+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 4.86-3.1%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.14+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.85
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 12.62-4.7%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 1.60-12.2%
Under
54.1%
@ 2.22+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Under
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Superbet
2.17
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 3.81-10.2%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.23+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 9.75-6.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.04+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.1%
1.05
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.8%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.16
888Sport
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+6.3%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.5%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Unibet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
+11.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.0%
1.22
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+9.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.9%
1.23
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.7%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.9%
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.1%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.3%
1.39
Pinnacle
1.43
888Sport
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Betano
1.40
+13.7%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.2%
1.19
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.7%
1.47
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
+8.7%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
HB Koge and Kolding IF have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
HB Koge and Kolding IF have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
HB Koge and Kolding IF have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
HB Koge and Kolding IF have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →