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HB Koge vs Vendsyssel FF Result & Analysis

Date: 28/07/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 3-1
HB Koge
HB Koge
Vs
45%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HB Koge winâś“ Hit
45.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF winâś— Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-653W16L20W10W31W22D01L20W42W40WA·NYK09/04A·FC 16/04H·HIL23/04A·FRE28/04H·NYK06/05H·FC 13/05A·HIL19/05A·HOB26/05H·FRE02/06A·HIL21/07
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.531.711.571.751.50
vs Stronger (5)0.803.201.002.330.504.50
vs Similar (24)2.001.211.911.362.081.08
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D00D21W01L32W20W23L34L11DH·VEJ10/04A·SON14/04A·HVI22/04H·NAE30/04H·SON06/05A·NAE14/05H·FC 20/05H·HVI27/05A·VEJ04/06H·SON21/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.331.600.931.131.73
vs Stronger (28)1.321.321.640.861.001.79
vs Similar (2)2.001.501.002.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.3%
Under 2.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.9%
No
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
3-1 âś“
5.3%
HB Koge goals ↓
Vendsyssel FF goals →
01234
05.7%5.2%4.2%1.9%0.6%
16.9%12%7.3%3.3%1.1%
26.9%9.3%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.0%5.3%3.6%1.6%0.5%
41.7%2.3%1.6%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Koge goals (down), columns = Vendsyssel FF goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sonderjyske
2.12
Aalborg
2.03
Hillerød
1.53
Kolding IF
1.53
Hobro
1.47
FC Fredericia
1.47
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
AC Horsens
1.34
B 93
1.22
HB Koge
1.06
Naestved
0.84
FC Helsingor
0.50
HB Koge is 0.28 points worse than Vendsyssel FF in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sonderjyske
2.22
Aalborg
2.06
Hillerød
1.81
Kolding IF
1.62
FC Fredericia
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.41
B 93
1.41
HB Koge
1.34
Hobro
1.31
AC Horsens
1.16
Naestved
1.03
FC Helsingor
1.00
HB Koge is 0.06 goals worse than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sonderjyske
0.91
Aalborg
1.19
Hobro
1.25
Hillerød
1.28
FC Fredericia
1.31
AC Horsens
1.41
Kolding IF
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.56
Naestved
1.66
B 93
1.72
FC Helsingor
2.03
HB Koge
2.06
HB Koge is 0.50 goals worse than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals conceded per game (2.06 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L00D10W21W01L01L20W12L10WA·NYK09/04A·FC 16/04H·HIL23/04A·FRE28/04H·NYK06/05H·FC 13/05A·HIL19/05A·HOB26/05H·FRE02/06A·HIL21/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.640.640.690.75
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.330.670.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.790.580.730.640.850.54
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D10W00D11D10W21W11D10WH·VEJ10/04A·SON14/04A·HVI22/04H·NAE30/04H·SON06/05A·NAE14/05H·FC 20/05H·HVI27/05A·VEJ04/06H·SON21/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.870.330.470.93
vs Stronger (28)0.640.610.930.290.360.93
vs Similar (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W14L20W00D10W21W00D00D30W30WA·NYK09/04A·FC 16/04H·HIL23/04A·FRE28/04H·NYK06/05H·FC 13/05A·HIL19/05A·HOB26/05H·FRE02/06A·HIL21/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.070.931.060.75
vs Stronger (5)0.602.000.671.670.502.50
vs Similar (24)1.210.621.180.731.230.54
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D00D11D01L21W10W02L23L01LH·VEJ10/04A·SON14/04A·HVI22/04H·NAE30/04H·SON06/05A·NAE14/05H·FC 20/05H·HVI27/05A·VEJ04/06H·SON21/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.730.600.670.80
vs Stronger (28)0.680.710.710.570.640.86
vs Similar (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.2%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
HB Koge's squad is €4m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€5m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
HB Koge and Vendsyssel FF have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
HB Koge's midfield is €1m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
HB Koge's defence is €2m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
HK wins
0
Draws
2
VF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HB Koge vs Vendsyssel FF · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
23/10/22AVendsyssel FF Vs HK1-0
31/07/22HHK Vs Vendsyssel FF1-2

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/07/23AHillerød Vs HK0-4
02/06/23HHK Vs Fremad Amager4-2
26/05/23AHobro Vs HK0-2
19/05/23AHillerød Vs HK1-0
13/05/23HHK Vs FC Fredericia2-2
06/05/23HHK Vs Nykobing FC3-1
28/04/23AFremad Amager Vs HK0-1
23/04/23HHK Vs Hillerød2-0
16/04/23AFC Fredericia Vs HK6-1
09/04/23ANykobing FC Vs HK3-5

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/07/23HVF Vs Sonderjyske1-1
04/06/23AVejle Vs VF4-3
27/05/23HVF Vs Hvidovre2-3
20/05/23HVF Vs FC Helsingor2-0
14/05/23ANaestved Vs VF2-3
06/05/23HVF Vs Sonderjyske0-1
30/04/23HVF Vs Naestved2-1
22/04/23AHvidovre Vs VF0-0
14/04/23ASonderjyske Vs VF1-1
10/04/23HVF Vs Vejle0-0

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.42
HomeLWWDW1.19
AwayLWLWW1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%31%53%
AVG goals3.183.063.29
Over 1.5 %73%75%71%
Over 2.5 %58%62%53%
Over 3.5 %45%50%41%
Scored1.641.561.71
Conceded1.551.501.59
BTTS52%56%47%
Clean Sheet30%31%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.42
HomeWLWLD1.76
AwayDDDWL1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%53%25%
AVG goals2.822.762.88
Over 1.5 %76%76%75%
Over 2.5 %55%53%56%
Over 3.5 %33%24%44%
Scored1.481.761.19
Conceded1.331.001.69
BTTS58%59%56%
Clean Sheet27%35%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SonderjyskeSonderjyske3268
62%
2.1
7129+42
3.1
84%
62%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3362.20.9
-
2AalborgAalborg3265
59%
2.0
6638+28
3.2
84%
69%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2262.11.2
-
3HillerødHillerød3249
41%
1.5
5841+17
3.1
78%
59%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.3
-
4Kolding IFKolding IF3249
44%
1.5
5246+6
3.1
78%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3247
41%
1.5
4642+4
2.8
75%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.41.3
-
6HobroHobro3247
44%
1.5
4240+2
2.6
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.31.2
-
7Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3243
34%
1.3
4550-5
3.0
75%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8AC HorsensAC Horsens3243
38%
1.3
3745-8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.21.4
-
9B 93B 933239
34%
1.2
4555-10
3.1
75%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
4366-23
3.4
81%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.32.1
-
11NaestvedNaestved3227
16%
0.8
3353-20
2.7
69%
47%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
12FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3216
6%
0.5
3265-33
3.0
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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