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HB Torshavn vs AB Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 14:30
HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn
Vs
69%
22%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AB
AB
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

HB Torshavn’s strong home form - averaging 2.67 goals scored and only 0.78 conceded against weaker opposition - makes them the clear favourite, reflected in the 66% probability of a home win. The model’s pick is a home victory, and the expected total goals is 2.3, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 27% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0, with a 16.6% chance. AB, playing away against a stronger side, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, a less favourable package that underpins the 10% chance of an away win and a 24% draw probability. Suggested picks include “Away under 3.5 goals” at 99.8%, “Under 7.5” at 99.7%, “Under 6.5” at 99.0%, “Away under 2.5 goals” at 98.2%, “Home +2 handicap” at 97.6%, “Under 5.5” at 96.9%, “Under 4.5” at 91.5% and “Home or Draw” at 90.2%. HB Torshavn’s recent unbeaten run of five games, capped by a 3-1 win over Vikingur Gota, further supports their advantage, while AB’s three straight defeats, most recently a 1-3 loss to NSI Runavik, highlight their vulnerability on the road.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HB Torshavn win
69.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AB win
8.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W20W30W41W41W31W20W20W00D31WH·NSI19/10A·VIK25/10A·B3621/06H·SKÁ29/06A·07 05/07H·NSI03/08A·KI 10/08H·B6816/08H·07 23/08A·VIK28/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.500.972.331.202.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.771.081.831.831.710.43
vs Weaker (17)3.060.882.670.783.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ABAB

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D02L10W12L01L32W34L02L13LH·B7118/10A·SKÁ25/10A·07 21/06A·B6829/06H·EB 04/07A·B3628/07H·SKÁ02/08H·KI 17/08A·EB 23/08A·NSI30/08← 1. DeildMeistaradeildin →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.100.972.501.211.750.75
vs Stronger (10)2.601.303.401.401.801.20
vs Similar (13)1.460.851.801.201.250.62
vs Weaker (7)2.570.712.251.003.000.33
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
34.7%
No
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%
2-0
16.1%
0-0
10.2%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
HB Torshavn goals ↓
AB goals →
01234
010%3.9%1.2%0.2%0.0%
116%9.8%2.3%0.4%0.0%
216%8.3%2.1%0.4%0.0%
310%5.1%1.3%0.2%0.0%
44.7%2.4%0.6%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Torshavn goals (down), columns = AB goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
HB Torshavn is 2.00 points better than AB in terms of average points per game (2.75 vs 0.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
HB Torshavn is 1.50 goals better than AB in terms of goals scored per game (2.62 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
HB Torshavn is 1.50 goals better than AB in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HB Torshavn or Draw
91.5%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
9%
covers HB Torshavn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn or AB
77.7%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
9%
covers HB Torshavn + AB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AB
30.8%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
9%
covers Draw + AB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5
Over
84.4%
Under
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5
Over
55.5%
Under
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5
Over
28.6%
Under
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 3.5
Over
11.9%
Under
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5
Over
40.0%
Under
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 3.5
Over
0.2%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to HB Torshavn, so a minus line means HB Torshavn give that many goals of a start and AB receive them. At -1, HB Torshavn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HB Torshavn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HB Torshavn)
HB Torshavn -2
21.1%
Draw -2
21.9%
AB +2
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (HB Torshavn)
HB Torshavn -1
43.0%
Draw -1
26.1%
AB +1
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (HB Torshavn)
HB Torshavn +1
91.5%
Draw +1
6.5%
AB -1
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (HB Torshavn)
HB Torshavn +2
98.0%
Draw +2
1.7%
AB -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W20W30W00D10W20W00D00DH·NSI19/10A·VIK25/10A·B3621/06H·SKÁ29/06A·07 05/07H·NSI03/08A·KI 10/08H·B6816/08H·07 23/08A·VIK28/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.300.530.331.200.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.310.310.170.500.430.14
vs Weaker (17)1.290.290.780.221.880.38
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ABAB

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W01L00D20W12L00D10WH·B7118/10A·SKÁ25/10A·07 21/06A·B6829/06H·EB 04/07A·B3628/07H·SKÁ02/08H·KI 17/08A·EB 23/08A·NSI30/08← 1. DeildMeistaradeildin →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.331.210.500.940.19
vs Stronger (10)1.300.301.400.401.200.20
vs Similar (13)0.770.310.800.400.750.25
vs Weaker (7)1.290.431.500.751.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W21W11D31W10W00D00D31WH·NSI19/10A·VIK25/10A·B3621/06H·SKÁ29/06A·07 05/07H·NSI03/08A·KI 10/08H·B6816/08H·07 23/08A·VIK28/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.671.800.871.470.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.460.771.671.331.290.29
vs Weaker (17)1.760.591.890.561.620.62
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ABAB

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L00D11D01L12L22D02L03LH·B7118/10A·SKÁ25/10A·07 21/06A·B6829/06H·EB 04/07A·B3628/07H·SKÁ02/08H·KI 17/08A·EB 23/08A·NSI30/08← 1. DeildMeistaradeildin →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.631.290.710.810.56
vs Stronger (10)1.301.002.001.000.601.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.541.000.800.500.38
vs Weaker (7)1.290.290.750.252.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.8%-------
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.598.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals98.5%-------
Home +2 handicap98.0%-------
Under 5.596.6%-------
Home or Draw91.5%-------
Home +1 handicap91.5%-------
Under 4.590.8%-------
Away under 1.5 goals90.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals88.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals84.4%-------
Under 3.578.5%-------
Home or Away77.7%-------
Home under 2.5 goals71.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
HB Torshavn's squad is €2m more valuable than AB's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
HB Torshavn and AB have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
HB Torshavn and AB have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
HB Torshavn and AB have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
5
HT wins
0
Draws
1
AB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HB Torshavn vs AB · H/A from HT
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23AAB Vs HT2-4
06/08/23HHT Vs AB5-0
08/04/23HHT Vs AB4-0
04/09/22AAB Vs HT2-1
07/08/22HHT Vs AB3-0
05/03/22AAB Vs HT1-3

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AVikingur Gota Vs HT1-3
23/08/26HHT Vs 07 Vestur0-0
16/08/26HHT Vs B682-0
10/08/26AKI Klaksvik Vs HT0-2
03/08/26HHT Vs NSI Runavik3-1
05/07/26A07 Vestur Vs HT1-4
29/06/26HHT Vs Skála4-1
21/06/26AB36 Torshavn Vs HT0-3
25/10/25AVikingur Gota Vs HT0-2
19/10/25HHT Vs NSI Runavik3-0

ABAB

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ANSI Runavik Vs AB3-1
23/08/26AEB / Streymur Vs AB2-0
17/08/26HAB Vs KI Klaksvik3-4
02/08/26HAB Vs Skála3-2
28/07/26AB36 Torshavn Vs AB1-0
04/07/26HAB Vs EB / Streymur1-2
29/06/26AB68 Vs AB0-1
21/06/26A07 Vestur Vs AB2-0
25/10/25ASkála Vs AB0-0
18/10/25HAB Vs B712-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.16
HomeWWWWD2.28
AwayWWWWW2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%68%64%
AVG goals3.343.283.40
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %70%68%72%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored2.282.242.32
Conceded1.061.041.08
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners10.508.0013.00
Cards2.002.002.00
AB
AB
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.94
HomeWWLWL2.00
AwayLWLLL1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%58%58%
AVG goals2.983.382.62
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %60%67%54%
Over 3.5 %34%42%27%
Scored1.942.331.58
Conceded1.041.041.04
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HB TorshavnHB Torshavn822
88%
2.8
214+17
3.1
88%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.60.5
-
2NSI RunavikNSI Runavik815
50%
1.9
1811+7
3.6
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.21.4
-
3KI KlaksvikKI Klaksvik711
43%
1.6
118+3
2.7
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.1
-
4Vikingur GotaVikingur Gota711
43%
1.6
1110+1
3.0
86%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.4
-
507 Vestur07 Vestur811
38%
1.4
1011-1
2.6
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
6SkálaSkála811
38%
1.4
914-5
2.9
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
7B36 TorshavnB36 Torshavn89
25%
1.1
611-5
2.1
75%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.4
-
8EB / StreymurEB / Streymur88
25%
1.0
1216-4
3.5
100%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
9ABAB86
25%
0.8
916-7
3.1
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.0
-
10B68B6884
12%
0.5
410-6
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.2
-
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →

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