HB Torshavn’s strong home form - averaging 2.67 goals scored and only 0.78 conceded against weaker opposition - makes them the clear favourite, reflected in the 66% probability of a home win. The model’s pick is a home victory, and the expected total goals is 2.3, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 27% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0, with a 16.6% chance. AB, playing away against a stronger side, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, a less favourable package that underpins the 10% chance of an away win and a 24% draw probability. Suggested picks include “Away under 3.5 goals” at 99.8%, “Under 7.5” at 99.7%, “Under 6.5” at 99.0%, “Away under 2.5 goals” at 98.2%, “Home +2 handicap” at 97.6%, “Under 5.5” at 96.9%, “Under 4.5” at 91.5% and “Home or Draw” at 90.2%. HB Torshavn’s recent unbeaten run of five games, capped by a 3-1 win over Vikingur Gota, further supports their advantage, while AB’s three straight defeats, most recently a 1-3 loss to NSI Runavik, highlight their vulnerability on the road.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
HB Torshavn win
69.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AB win
8.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HB Torshavn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
0.97
2.33
1.20
2.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.77
1.08
1.83
1.83
1.71
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
3.06
0.88
2.67
0.78
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.97
2.50
1.21
1.75
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
2.60
1.30
3.40
1.40
1.80
1.20
vs Similar (13)
1.46
0.85
1.80
1.20
1.25
0.62
vs Weaker (7)
2.57
0.71
2.25
1.00
3.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
42.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.5%
Under 3.5
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
34.7%
No
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%
2-0
16.1%
0-0
10.2%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
HB Torshavn goals ↓
AB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
3.9%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
1
16%
9.8%
2.3%
0.4%
0.0%
2
16%
8.3%
2.1%
0.4%
0.0%
3
10%
5.1%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
4
4.7%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Torshavn goals (down), columns = AB goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
HB Torshavn is 2.00 points better than AB in terms of average points per game (2.75 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
HB Torshavn is 1.50 goals better than AB in terms of goals scored per game (2.62 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
HB Torshavn is 1.50 goals better than AB in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HB Torshavn or Draw
91.5%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
9%
covers HB Torshavn + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn or AB
77.7%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
9%
covers HB Torshavn + AB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AB
30.8%
Avg Implied -
69%
22%
9%
covers Draw + AB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5
Over
84.4%
Under
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5
Over
55.5%
Under
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5
Over
28.6%
Under
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 3.5
Over
11.9%
Under
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5
Over
40.0%
Under
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 3.5
Over
0.2%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HB Torshavn, so a minus line means HB Torshavn give that many goals of a start and AB receive them. At -1, HB Torshavn must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HB Torshavn win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HB Torshavn)
HB Torshavn -2
21.1%
Draw -2
21.9%
AB +2
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (HB Torshavn)
HB Torshavn -1
43.0%
Draw -1
26.1%
AB +1
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (HB Torshavn)
HB Torshavn +1
91.5%
Draw +1
6.5%
AB -1
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (HB Torshavn)
HB Torshavn +2
98.0%
Draw +2
1.7%
AB -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HB Torshavn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.30
0.53
0.33
1.20
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.31
0.17
0.50
0.43
0.14
vs Weaker (17)
1.29
0.29
0.78
0.22
1.88
0.38
Clean sheet %
77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.33
1.21
0.50
0.94
0.19
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
0.30
1.40
0.40
1.20
0.20
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.31
0.80
0.40
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.43
1.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HB Torshavn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.67
1.80
0.87
1.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
0.77
1.67
1.33
1.29
0.29
vs Weaker (17)
1.76
0.59
1.89
0.56
1.62
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.29
0.71
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.54
1.00
0.80
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
0.75
0.25
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
HB Torshavn's squad is €2m more valuable than AB's (€2m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
HB Torshavn and AB have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
HB Torshavn and AB have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
HB Torshavn and AB have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →