HB Torshavn is the clear favourite to win at home, with the model predicting a 74% chance of victory. This high rating is largely due to the team's impressive recent form, having won their last five matches, including a 2-0 win over KI Klaksvik. Additionally, their home advantage is bolstered by their strong record against weaker opponents, scoring an average of 2.83 goals and conceding just 1.67.
The expected total number of goals is 3.5, with the most likely score being a 2-0 win for HB Torshavn, which has a probability of 10.3%. The model also suggests that over 1.5 goals will be scored, with a probability of 87.5%.
HB Torshavn's home scoring and conceding records are impressive, with an average of 2.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Meanwhile, B68's away form is concerning, with an average of 0.75 goals scored and 2.75 conceded against stronger opponents.
The model's selection is the home win, with a probability of 74.3%. The suggested picks also include over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 87.5%. The probabilities for home win, draw, and away win are 74%, 16%, and 9% respectively.
The win extends HB Torshavn's 5-game winning run, with the team now on a high note after a convincing 2-0 victory over B68. The final score matched one of the most likely outcomes predicted by the model, with a 2-0 result holding a 10.3% probability. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 74%. The model's call was well-supported, as the suggested pick of over 1.5 goals also came in, with a probability of 87.5%. The other suggested pick, home win, also hit, with a probability of 74.3%.
HB Torshavn| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.50 | 1.23 | 2.53 | 1.53 | 2.47 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.54 | 1.31 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 3.24 | 1.18 | 3.00 | 1.33 | 3.50 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
B68| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 2.13 | 1.47 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 2.47 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 0.82 | 2.94 | 1.25 | 2.38 | 0.44 | 3.44 |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.54 | 1.08 | 1.71 | 1.14 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 7% (-19pp vs league) | |||||
| B68 goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 10% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
HB Torshavn| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 1.20 | 0.33 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.17 | 0.50 | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 1.29 | 0.47 | 0.78 | 0.56 | 1.88 | 0.38 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+41pp vs league) | |||||
B68| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.37 | 0.97 | 0.47 | 0.93 | 0.27 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 0.41 | 1.24 | 0.50 | 1.12 | 0.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Similar (13) | 0.31 | 0.62 | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+21pp vs league) | |||||
HB Torshavn| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.63 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.27 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.23 | 0.92 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 1.94 | 0.71 | 2.22 | 0.78 | 1.62 | 0.62 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
B68| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 1.17 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.53 | 1.47 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 0.41 | 1.71 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.11 | 2.11 |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.23 | 0.46 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 1.17 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+11pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home or Draw | 90.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 87.5% | 1.11 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.10 | 1.09 | 1.09 | +4.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Home or Away | 83.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home win | 74.3% | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +2.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/25 | H | 5-1 | |
| 14/06/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 07/03/25 | H | 3-2 | |
| 18/08/24 | H | 1-0 | |
| 28/06/24 | A | 1-0 | |
| 08/04/24 | A | 0-1 | |
| 30/09/23 | H | 3-3 | |
| 04/06/23 | A | 0-2 |
HB Torshavn| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 03/08/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 05/07/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 29/06/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 21/06/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 19/10/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 03/10/25 | H | 5-1 | |
| 28/09/25 | A | 0-4 | |
| 20/09/25 | H | 2-1 |
B68| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 04/07/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 29/06/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 20/06/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 19/10/25 | H | 1-1 | |
| 03/10/25 | A | 5-1 | |
| 28/09/25 | H | 3-3 | |
| 19/09/25 | H | 1-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | HB Torshavn | 8 | 22 | 88% | 2.8 | 21 | 4 | +17 | 3.1 | 88% | 62% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.6 | 0.5 | - |
| 2 | NSI Runavik | 8 | 15 | 50% | 1.9 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 3.6 | 75% | 75% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | - |
| 3 | Vikingur Gota | 7 | 11 | 43% | 1.6 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 3.0 | 86% | 71% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 4 | 07 Vestur | 8 | 11 | 38% | 1.4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 2.6 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | - |
| 5 | Skála | 8 | 11 | 38% | 1.4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 2.9 | 75% | 50% | 38% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | - |
| 6 | B36 Torshavn | 8 | 9 | 25% | 1.1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 2.1 | 75% | 38% | 12% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | - |
| 7 | KI Klaksvik | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 2.7 | 67% | 33% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 | EB / Streymur | 7 | 8 | 29% | 1.1 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 3.6 | 100% | 71% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.9 | - |
| 9 | AB | 8 | 6 | 25% | 0.8 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3.1 | 75% | 50% | 38% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | - |
| 10 | B68 | 8 | 4 | 12% | 0.5 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1.8 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | - |