PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik Result & Analysis

Date: 10/03/2024
Time: 18:00
Final 3-2
HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn
Vs
59%
21%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HB Torshavn win✓ Hit
59.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-772W31W42W12L12L00D33D41W20W10WA·ÍF 13/08H·ÍF 19/08A·AB27/08H·KI 15/09H·VIK19/09A·B3625/09H·B6830/09A·TB08/10H·07 22/10A·EB 29/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.370.832.620.882.070.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.891.111.001.170.671.00
vs Weaker (21)3.000.713.600.702.450.73
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D11D50W30W60W51W31W02L14L02LH·B7112/08A·KÍ 19/08H·B6826/08A·VÍK31/08H·EB 16/09A·HB 22/09A·B3630/09H·HOY07/10A·B7121/10H·SKÁ27/10← 1. DeildMeistaradeildin →
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.172.140.862.251.44
vs Stronger (3)1.001.670.000.001.502.50
vs Similar (8)2.001.382.671.331.601.40
vs Weaker (19)2.471.002.200.802.781.22
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.0%
Under 1.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.5%
Under 2.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.9%
Under 3.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.2%
No
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
HB Torshavn goals ↓
NSI Runavik goals →
01234
03.9%2.9%2.3%1.0%0.3%
16.1%9.4%5.3%2.2%0.7%
27.8%9.6%5.9%2.4%0.7%
35.8%7.2%4.4%1.8%0.6%
43.3%4.0%2.5%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Torshavn goals (down), columns = NSI Runavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Gota
2.70
KI Klaksvik
2.48
HB Torshavn
2.19
NSI Runavik
1.56
B36 Torshavn
1.52
07 Vestur
1.11
EB / Streymur
1.04
B68
0.78
Skála
0.74
ÍF II
0.26
HB Torshavn is 0.63 points better than NSI Runavik in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.56).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Gota
2.93
KI Klaksvik
2.15
B36 Torshavn
2.07
HB Torshavn
2.04
NSI Runavik
2.00
EB / Streymur
1.30
07 Vestur
1.26
Skála
1.00
ÍF II
0.89
B68
0.85
HB Torshavn is 0.04 goals better than NSI Runavik in terms of goals scored per game (2.04 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vikingur Gota
0.52
HB Torshavn
0.85
KI Klaksvik
0.89
B36 Torshavn
1.56
NSI Runavik
1.59
B68
1.78
EB / Streymur
1.81
Skála
2.11
07 Vestur
2.22
ÍF II
3.15
HB Torshavn is 0.74 goals better than NSI Runavik in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W10W11D00D02L00D22D20W10W00DA·ÍF 13/08H·ÍF 19/08A·AB27/08H·KI 15/09H·VIK19/09A·B3625/09H·B6830/09A·TB08/10H·07 22/10A·EB 29/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.250.440.930.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.670.330.500.331.00
vs Weaker (21)1.430.331.800.401.090.27
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W11D40W10W40W11D10W01L03L01LH·B7112/08A·KÍ 19/08H·B6826/08A·VÍK31/08H·EB 16/09A·HB 22/09A·B3630/09H·HOY07/10A·B7121/10H·SKÁ27/10← 1. DeildMeistaradeildin →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.601.500.500.940.69
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.500.000.502.00
vs Similar (8)1.000.621.330.670.800.60
vs Weaker (18)1.330.501.560.561.110.44
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W31W12L10W00D11D21W10W10WA·ÍF 13/08H·ÍF 19/08A·AB27/08H·KI 15/09H·VIK19/09A·B3625/09H·B6830/09A·TB08/10H·07 22/10A·EB 29/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.401.380.441.140.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.440.670.670.330.00
vs Weaker (21)1.570.381.800.301.360.45
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D10W20W20W40W21W01L11D01LA·SKÁ05/08A·KÍ 19/08H·B6826/08A·VÍK31/08H·EB 16/09A·HB 22/09A·B3630/09H·HOY07/10A·B7121/10H·SKÁ27/10← 1. DeildMeistaradeildin →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.700.930.641.310.75
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.003.001.000.50
vs Similar (8)1.000.751.330.670.800.80
vs Weaker (19)1.260.580.900.401.670.78
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
HB Torshavn and NSI Runavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
HB Torshavn and NSI Runavik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
HB Torshavn and NSI Runavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
HB Torshavn and NSI Runavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
HT wins
0
Draws
0
NR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik · H/A from HT
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/22HHT Vs NSI Runavik3-1
19/06/22ANSI Runavik Vs HT0-2
13/03/22HHT Vs NSI Runavik5-1

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23AEB / Streymur Vs HT0-1
22/10/23HHT Vs 07 Vestur2-0
08/10/23ATB Vs HT1-4
30/09/23HHT Vs B683-3
25/09/23AB36 Torshavn Vs HT0-0
19/09/23HHT Vs Vikingur Gota1-2
15/09/23HHT Vs KI Klaksvik1-2
27/08/23AAB Vs HT2-4
19/08/23HHT Vs ÍF II3-1
13/08/23AÍF II Vs HT2-7

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/23HNR Vs Skála0-2
21/10/23AB71 Vs NR4-1
07/10/23HNR Vs Hoyvík0-2
30/09/23AB36 II Vs NR1-3
22/09/23AHB II Vs NR1-5
16/09/23HNR Vs EB / Streymur II6-0
31/08/23AVíkingur II Vs NR0-3
26/08/23HNR Vs B68 II5-0
19/08/23AKÍ II Vs NR1-1
12/08/23HNR Vs B710-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW2.04
HomeWLLDW2.16
AwayWWDWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%68%60%
AVG goals2.943.202.68
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %58%72%44%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored2.142.401.88
Conceded0.800.800.80
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet46%44%48%
Corners12.2511.5013.00
Cards4.503.006.00
NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.46
HomeDWWLL1.17
AwayDWWWL1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%33%54%
AVG goals3.202.833.54
Over 1.5 %82%75%88%
Over 2.5 %60%50%69%
Over 3.5 %40%33%46%
Scored1.761.502.00
Conceded1.441.331.54
BTTS54%42%65%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur GotaVikingur Gota2773
89%
2.7
7914+65
3.4
93%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.90.5
-
2KI KlaksvikKI Klaksvik2767
81%
2.5
5824+34
3.0
81%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
3HB TorshavnHB Torshavn2759
70%
2.2
5523+32
2.9
74%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.00.9
-
4NSI RunavikNSI Runavik2742
48%
1.6
5443+11
3.6
89%
81%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.6
-
5B36 TorshavnB36 Torshavn2741
41%
1.5
5642+14
3.6
89%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.6
-
607 Vestur07 Vestur2730
33%
1.1
3460-26
3.5
81%
63%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.2
-
7EB / StreymurEB / Streymur2728
33%
1.0
3549-14
3.1
78%
63%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.8
-
8B68B682721
19%
0.8
2348-25
2.6
81%
48%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.8
-
9SkálaSkála2720
19%
0.7
2757-30
3.1
89%
78%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
10ÍF IIÍF II277
4%
0.3
2485-61
4.0
81%
81%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.1
-
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →

← all matches