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HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik Result & Analysis

Date: 03/08/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 3-1
HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn
Vs
45%
21%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

HB Torshavn's 5-game winning streak against NSI Runavik, culminating in a 3-1 victory, sets the tone for their upcoming match. However, NSI Runavik's recent form has been inconsistent, with two straight defeats, most recently a 0-2 loss to FC Lugano.

HB Torshavn is the favourite to win, with a 45% chance of victory, while NSI Runavik has a 34% chance of an away win and a 21% chance of a draw. The model's selection is the home win, and it expects a high-scoring match with 4.3 goals on average.

The most likely score is 2-2, with a 7.2% probability. HB Torshavn has a strong home record, scoring 3 goals on average and conceding just 1.44, while NSI Runavik struggles when away, scoring 2.75 goals and conceding 2.25.

The model suggests Over 1.5 with a 93.6% probability, and this selection has a 14% edge, indicating a strong value. It also suggests Over 2.5 with an 80.6% probability and a 22% edge, as well as BTTS Yes with a 78.7% probability and a 16% edge. The home win percentage is 45%, the draw percentage is 21%, and the away win percentage is 34%.

Results analysis

The win extends HB Torshavn's run of 5 consecutive victories, a streak that began with a 3-1 triumph over NSI Runavik. The final score was indeed 3-1, with the home side securing a home win, the model's selection that carried a 45% pre-match probability. The model's call was correct, as it correctly identified the favourite. The model's selection of HB Torshavn to win also led to the Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals selections landing, both with high probabilities of 93.6% and 80.6% respectively. Both of these selections hit, as did the BTTS Yes pick, which had a 78.7% probability of success.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HB Torshavn win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.40
Edge
+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.43
Dafabet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.57
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.84
Bet365
3.70
Dafabet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.62
NSI Runavik win✗ Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied 36.9% · @ 2.45
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.55
Dafabet
2.55
Betano
2.52
BetVictor
2.50
Superbet
2.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-772W22D21W40W51W30W20W30W41W41WA·TB30/08H·B3614/09H·SUD20/09A·EB 28/09H·B6803/10H·NSI19/10A·VIK25/10A·B3621/06H·SKÁ29/06A·07 05/07
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.571.202.601.472.530.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.361.451.602.001.171.00
vs Weaker (19)3.261.053.101.203.440.89
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W31W51W21W03L24L10W33D00D20WH·TB14/09A·B6819/09A·07 28/09H·B3603/10A·HB 19/10H·KI 25/10H·B6820/06A·VIK29/06H·KI 03/07A·KOP30/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.801.372.001.003.501.69
vs Stronger (6)1.502.171.751.501.003.50
vs Similar (9)2.332.001.332.002.832.00
vs Weaker (15)3.600.672.430.294.621.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%2%04%113%218%319%417%527%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.6%
@ 1.15+13.7%
Under 1.5
6.4%
@ 4.56-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.20
BetVictor
4.80
888Sport
4.80
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
80.6%
@ 1.56+21.6%
Under 2.5
19.4%
@ 2.25-21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.70
Unibet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
10Bet
2.35
888Sport
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.8%
@ 2.33+23.4%
Under 3.5
37.2%
@ 1.51-23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
BetVictor
1.54
10Bet
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Betano
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
78.7%
@ 1.46+15.7%
No
21.3%
@ 2.48-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.45
No
Betfair
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.47
Superbet
2.47
10Bet
2.45

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-2
7.2%@ 10.30+3.1%
2-1
7.1%@ 8.57+2.2%
1-1
6.8%@ 6.55+0.3%
1-2
6.2%@ 8.68+1.3%
3-2
5.5%@ 19.06+3.3%
3-1 ✓
5.5%@ 15.28+2.7%
2-3
4.8%@ 19.22+2.6%
1-3
4.2%@ 15.34+1.4%
HB Torshavn goals ↓
NSI Runavik goals →
01234
01.9%2.0%2.7%1.8%0.9%
12.4%6.8%6.2%4.2%2.1%
23.5%7.1%7.2%4.8%2.4%
32.7%5.5%5.5%3.7%1.9%
41.6%3.2%3.2%2.1%1.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Torshavn goals (down), columns = NSI Runavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
HB Torshavn is 0.88 points better than NSI Runavik in terms of average points per game (2.75 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
HB Torshavn is 0.38 goals better than NSI Runavik in terms of goals scored per game (2.62 vs 2.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
HB Torshavn is 0.88 goals better than NSI Runavik in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W10W11D30W11D00D10W20W20W30WA·TB30/08H·B3614/09H·SUD20/09A·EB 28/09H·B6803/10H·NSI19/10A·VIK25/10A·B3621/06H·SKÁ29/06A·07 05/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.430.600.531.270.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.270.450.200.600.330.33
vs Weaker (19)1.320.420.800.501.890.33
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W31W01L00D13L10W13L00D10WH·TB14/09A·B6819/09A·07 28/09H·B3603/10A·HB 19/10H·KI 25/10H·B6820/06A·VIK29/06H·KI 03/07A·KOP30/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.630.790.571.690.69
vs Stronger (6)0.831.171.001.000.501.50
vs Similar (9)0.670.670.330.670.830.67
vs Weaker (15)1.800.400.860.292.620.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W12L10W10W40W30W10W10W21W11DA·TB30/08H·B3614/09H·SUD20/09A·EB 28/09H·B6803/10H·NSI19/10A·VIK25/10A·B3621/06H·SKÁ29/06A·07 05/07
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.772.000.931.270.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.091.001.401.400.830.67
vs Weaker (19)1.950.632.300.701.560.56
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W20W20W03L11D00D20W00D10WH·TB14/09A·B6819/09A·07 28/09H·B3603/10A·HB 19/10H·KI 25/10H·B6820/06A·VIK29/06H·KI 03/07A·KOP30/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.731.210.431.811.00
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.750.500.502.00
vs Similar (9)1.671.331.001.332.001.33
vs Weaker (15)1.800.271.570.002.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.593.6%1.15
Unibet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+13.7%✓ Hit
BTTS Yes78.7%1.46
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.45
+15.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
HB Torshavn and NSI Runavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
HB Torshavn and NSI Runavik have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
HB Torshavn and NSI Runavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
HB Torshavn and NSI Runavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
HT wins
0
Draws
2
NR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik · H/A from HT
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/25HHT Vs NSI Runavik3-0
25/05/25ANSI Runavik Vs HT1-4
03/05/25HHT Vs NSI Runavik1-7
27/08/24ANSI Runavik Vs HT3-2
02/06/24ANSI Runavik Vs HT2-3
10/03/24HHT Vs NSI Runavik3-2
22/10/22HHT Vs NSI Runavik3-1
19/06/22ANSI Runavik Vs HT0-2

HB TorshavnHB Torshavn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/07/26A07 Vestur Vs HT1-4
29/06/26HHT Vs Skála4-1
21/06/26AB36 Torshavn Vs HT0-3
25/10/25AVikingur Gota Vs HT0-2
19/10/25HHT Vs NSI Runavik3-0
03/10/25HHT Vs B685-1
28/09/25AEB / Streymur Vs HT0-4
20/09/25HHT Vs Suduroy2-1
14/09/25HHT Vs B36 Torshavn2-2
30/08/25ATB Vs HT2-7

NSI RunavikNSI Runavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/26AKoper Vs NR0-2
03/07/26HNR Vs KI Klaksvik0-0
29/06/26AVikingur Gota Vs NR3-3
20/06/26HNR Vs B681-0
25/10/25HNR Vs KI Klaksvik2-4
19/10/25AHB Torshavn Vs NR3-0
03/10/25HNR Vs B36 Torshavn2-1
28/09/25A07 Vestur Vs NR1-5
19/09/25AB68 Vs NR1-3
14/09/25HNR Vs TB3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HB Torshavn
HB Torshavn
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.08
HomeDWWWW2.30
AwayWWWWW1.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%70%59%
AVG goals3.423.433.41
Over 1.5 %84%87%81%
Over 2.5 %72%74%70%
Over 3.5 %44%39%48%
Scored2.282.352.22
Conceded1.141.091.19
BTTS56%61%52%
Clean Sheet32%39%26%
Corners10.508.0013.00
Cards2.002.002.00
NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.90
HomeWWLWD2.04
AwayWWLDW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%64%52%
AVG goals4.183.844.52
Over 1.5 %90%84%96%
Over 2.5 %86%80%92%
Over 3.5 %64%56%72%
Scored2.722.642.80
Conceded1.461.201.72
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet34%48%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HB TorshavnHB Torshavn822
88%
2.8
214+17
3.1
88%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.60.5
-
2NSI RunavikNSI Runavik815
50%
1.9
1811+7
3.6
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.21.4
-
3KI KlaksvikKI Klaksvik711
43%
1.6
118+3
2.7
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.1
-
4Vikingur GotaVikingur Gota711
43%
1.6
1110+1
3.0
86%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.4
-
507 Vestur07 Vestur811
38%
1.4
1011-1
2.6
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
6SkálaSkála811
38%
1.4
914-5
2.9
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
7B36 TorshavnB36 Torshavn89
25%
1.1
611-5
2.1
75%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.4
-
8EB / StreymurEB / Streymur88
25%
1.0
1216-4
3.5
100%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
9ABAB86
25%
0.8
916-7
3.1
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.0
-
10B68B6884
12%
0.5
410-6
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.2
-
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →

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