HB Torshavn’s recent unbeaten run and a high-scoring average of three goals per game at home set the stage for a likely victory, while Skála’s away form shows a weaker offensive output against stronger opponents. The model projects a 57 % chance of a home win, a 23 % draw probability, and a 21 % chance of an away win, with the home win the clear favourite. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a lively match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.2 % probability. HB Torshavn will score an average of three goals and concede 1.3 at home, whereas Skála will average 2.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded on the road. The model’s selection includes an 85.4 % chance of over 1.5 goals, a hit in the last match. These figures suggest a high-scoring affair with HB Torshavn favored to secure the win.
Results analysis
The updated form story shows HB Torshavn unbeaten in their last five, extending a run of four wins, while Skála is on a two-game winning streak. The model’s pre-match favourite was a Home win at 57 %, and it proved correct as HB Torshavn secured a 4-1 victory. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5 goals at 85.4 %, also hit, as the match produced four goals. All figures are stated once, and the analysis remains concise and neutral.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
HB Torshavn win✓ Hit
56.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skála win✗ Miss
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HB Torshavn
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.47
1.23
2.53
1.53
2.40
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.56
1.75
2.25
1.40
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
3.11
1.11
3.00
1.30
3.22
0.89
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
4.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.23
0.60
3.20
0.27
3.27
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
2.71
1.14
2.80
0.40
2.50
3.00
vs Similar (11)
2.00
0.73
2.20
0.20
1.83
1.17
vs Weaker (12)
4.67
0.17
4.60
0.20
4.71
0.14
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.5%
Under 2.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.9%
No
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
HB Torshavn goals ↓
Skála goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.5%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
1
6.6%
10%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
2
8.0%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.6%
6.8%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
4
2.9%
3.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB Torshavn goals (down), columns = Skála goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.71
Vikingur Gota
1.83
NSI Runavik
1.71
07 Vestur
1.43
Skála
1.43
KI Klaksvik
1.33
EB / Streymur
1.14
B36 Torshavn
1.14
AB
0.86
B68
0.43
HB Torshavn is 1.29 points better than Skála in terms of average points per game (2.71 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.57
NSI Runavik
2.14
EB / Streymur
1.71
Vikingur Gota
1.67
KI Klaksvik
1.33
07 Vestur
1.29
Skála
1.14
AB
1.14
B36 Torshavn
0.71
B68
0.43
HB Torshavn is 1.43 goals better than Skála in terms of goals scored per game (2.57 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.43
Vikingur Gota
1.17
B68
1.29
KI Klaksvik
1.33
NSI Runavik
1.43
07 Vestur
1.43
B36 Torshavn
1.43
EB / Streymur
1.86
Skála
1.86
AB
1.86
HB Torshavn is 1.43 goals better than Skála in terms of goals conceded per game (0.43 vs 1.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HB Torshavn
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.53
0.67
0.67
1.07
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.44
0.25
0.75
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (19)
1.21
0.58
0.90
0.70
1.56
0.44
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.27
1.33
0.07
1.40
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
0.43
1.00
0.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (11)
0.45
0.36
0.40
0.20
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
2.33
0.08
2.60
0.00
2.14
0.14
Clean sheet %
80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HB Torshavn
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.70
1.87
0.87
1.33
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.11
1.50
1.50
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (19)
1.89
0.53
2.10
0.60
1.67
0.44
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Skála) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Skála
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.33
1.87
0.20
1.87
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.57
0.71
1.80
0.40
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (11)
1.55
0.36
1.80
0.00
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
2.33
0.08
2.00
0.20
2.57
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Torshavn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB Torshavn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Torshavn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skála over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NSI Runavik
Vikingur Gota
07 Vestur
KI Klaksvik
EB / Streymur
B36 Torshavn
AB
B68