This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.67
1.73
1.20
0.93
2.13
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
2.86
1.33
1.33
0.75
4.00
vs Similar (12)
1.08
1.58
1.50
1.00
0.67
2.17
vs Weaker (11)
1.82
1.00
2.17
1.33
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.5%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
Heart Of Midlothian goals ↓
Aberdeen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.9%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
1
12%
13%
5.7%
1.8%
0.4%
2
10.0%
9.2%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.0%
4.6%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heart Of Midlothian goals (down), columns = Aberdeen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
ST Johnstone
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Irvine Meadow
2.25
Aberdeen
2.20
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Turriff United
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Brechin
1.75
Fraserburgh
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Dundee North End
1.75
Rangers
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Culter
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Cupar Hearts
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Livingston
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Queen's Park
1.25
Ross County
1.00
Partick
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Beith
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Fort William
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.20 points worse than Aberdeen in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Peterhead
4.00
Stirling
4.00
Threave Rovers
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Cupar Hearts
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Fraserburgh
2.75
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Rangers
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Irvine Meadow
2.50
Culter
2.50
Aberdeen
2.40
Bo'ness United
2.33
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Dundee
2.00
ST Mirren
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Dundee North End
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Livingston
1.67
Dunfermline
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Brechin
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Broxburn Athletic
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Hibernian
1.33
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Beith
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Pollok
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Raith Rovers
0.50
Keith
0.50
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Motherwell
0.00
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
BSC Glasgow
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Fort William
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.15 goals worse than Aberdeen in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Rangers
0.50
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Turriff United
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Hibernian
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
Motherwell
1.00
Dundee
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Stirling
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Heart Of Midlothian
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Culter
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
BSC Glasgow
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Forfar
1.33
Dunfermline
1.33
Cowdenbeath
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Stranraer
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Ross County
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Morton
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Montrose
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Irvine Meadow
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Keith
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Cupar Hearts
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Peterhead
3.00
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Beith
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
Fort William
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.40 goals worse than Aberdeen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Heart Of Midlothian
For 5.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 12.0 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aberdeen
For 6.8 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heart Of Midlothian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.3
3.5
3.8
3.3
21.5
21.7
21.3
vs Stronger (11)
11.6
10.8
12.4
2.8
2.6
3.0
20.0
19.4
20.6
vs Similar (18)
9.5
10.8
8.3
4.1
4.5
3.8
23.4
23.6
23.1
vs Weaker (21)
10.7
10.2
11.1
3.3
3.8
2.9
20.6
21.2
19.9
% over line
49%
55%
43%
48%
57%
41%
47%
50%
43%
% under line
51%
45%
57%
52%
43%
59%
53%
50%
57%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
10.8
11.8
3.6
3.9
3.2
23.7
25.8
21.4
vs Stronger (7)
11.5
9.7
13.3
4.0
5.7
2.8
21.8
23.0
20.7
vs Similar (19)
12.0
12.2
11.7
3.9
4.2
3.6
23.0
23.5
22.3
vs Weaker (24)
10.5
9.4
11.4
3.2
3.3
3.0
25.1
29.8
20.9
% over line
70%
62%
79%
54%
59%
48%
70%
76%
63%
% under line
30%
38%
21%
46%
41%
52%
30%
24%
37%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.1
Ross County
11.6
Falkirk
11.4
Morton
11.4
Motherwell
11.2
Aberdeen
11.2
Hibernian
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.8
Dumbarton
10.8
Rangers
10.8
Arbroath
10.7
Heart Of Midlothian
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.7
Dundee
10.7
Dunfermline
10.6
ST Johnstone
10.5
Airdrie United
10.5
Kelty Hearts
10.3
Annan Athletic
10.3
Stirling
10.2
ST Mirren
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Partick
10.0
Cove Rangers
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.7
Stenhousemuir
9.5
East Fife
9.5
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.4
Stranraer
9.4
Elgin
9.3
Montrose
9.3
Spartans
9.1
Inverness CT
9.0
Livingston
8.9
Peterhead
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Peterhead
5.2
Morton
4.7
Forfar
4.6
Aberdeen
4.5
Elgin
4.5
Edinburgh City
4.5
Dundee Utd
4.4
ST Mirren
4.2
Motherwell
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Stirling
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Hibernian
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
Livingston
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
Partick
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Dundee
3.8
Spartans
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.6
Dunfermline
3.6
Montrose
3.6
Dumbarton
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Inverness CT
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Celtic
3.4
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.6
Forfar
24.6
Elgin
24.0
Edinburgh City
24.0
Aberdeen
23.7
Livingston
23.5
East Fife
23.0
Clyde
22.9
Morton
22.3
Motherwell
22.1
ST Johnstone
22.0
Spartans
22.0
Cowdenbeath
21.9
ST Mirren
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Falkirk
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.7
Rangers
21.3
Heart Of Midlothian
21.3
Stirling
21.2
Dundee Utd
21.1
Hibernian
20.9
Ross County
20.7
Brechin
20.4
Inverness CT
20.4
Airdrie United
20.3
Annan Athletic
20.2
Partick
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Arbroath
19.7
Dundee
19.7
Montrose
19.7
Stranraer
19.7
Kelty Hearts
19.5
Celtic
19.1
Dumbarton
19.1
Cove Rangers
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.9%
Under 9.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.9%
Under 3.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.4%
Under 21.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Heart Of Midlothian or Draw✓ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Heart Of Midlothian + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian or Aberdeen✗ Miss
71.5%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Heart Of Midlothian + Aberdeen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Aberdeen✓ Hit
50.5%
Avg Implied -
50%
28%
22%
covers Draw + Aberdeen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.4%
Under
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.4%
Under
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.7%
Under
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Heart Of Midlothian, so a minus line means Heart Of Midlothian give that many goals of a start and Aberdeen receive them. At -1, Heart Of Midlothian must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Heart Of Midlothian win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Heart Of Midlothian)Actual: Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian -2
10.4%
Draw -2
15.5%
Aberdeen +2
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Heart Of Midlothian)Actual: Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian -1
25.9%
Draw -1
23.6%
Aberdeen +1
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Heart Of Midlothian)Actual: Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian +1
78.0%
Draw +1
14.1%
Aberdeen -1
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Heart Of Midlothian)Actual: Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian +2
92.1%
Draw +2
5.9%
Aberdeen -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Heart Of Midlothian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.60
0.33
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (11)
0.27
0.45
0.33
0.50
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.29
1.00
0.14
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.73
0.60
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.29
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.25
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
0.45
0.83
0.67
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Heart Of Midlothian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
0.93
1.13
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.60
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.64
0.50
0.83
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (14)
1.43
0.71
1.29
0.86
1.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aberdeen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
1.00
0.60
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.57
0.33
1.33
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.17
0.50
1.33
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.55
1.33
0.67
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elton Kabangu29%
James Wilson19%
Yutaro Oda17%
Blair Spittal15%
Musa Drammeh14%
Alan Forrest14%
Lawrence Shankland13%
Michael Steinwender11%
Kenneth Vargas11%
Stephen Kingsley9%
Jamie McCart9%
Frankie Kent9%
Jorge Grant9%
Calem Nieuwenhof8%
Craig Halkett6%
James Penrice5%
Daniel Oyegoke4%
Yan Dhanda3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Kye Rowles0%
Barrie McKay0%
Beni Baningime0%
Liam Boyce0%
Zander Clark0%
Ryan Fulton0%
Harry Milne0%
Sander Erik Kartum0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Gerald Taylor0%
Adam Forrester0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cameron Devlin31%
James Penrice31%
Adam Forrester27%
Gerald Taylor25%
Craig Halkett22%
Lawrence Shankland21%
Stephen Kingsley18%
Kye Rowles16%
Jorge Grant14%
Elton Kabangu14%
Frankie Kent13%
Daniel Oyegoke12%
Yan Dhanda10%
Beni Baningime10%
Sander Erik Kartum8%
Kenneth Vargas8%
Malachi Boateng8%
Craig Gordon5%
James Wilson4%
Alan Forrest3%
Michael Steinwender0%
Barrie McKay0%
Liam Boyce0%
Yutaro Oda0%
Zander Clark0%
Ryan Fulton0%
Jamie McCart0%
Blair Spittal0%
Harry Milne0%
Calem Nieuwenhof0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Musa Drammeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Fulton33%
Lawrence Shankland21%
Liam Boyce17%
James Penrice13%
Kenneth Vargas11%
Beni Baningime10%
Malachi Boateng8%
James Wilson7%
Blair Spittal7%
Elton Kabangu7%
Musa Drammeh5%
Yan Dhanda3%
Adam Forrester3%
Cameron Devlin3%
Jorge Grant3%
Alan Forrest3%
Craig Gordon0%
Kye Rowles0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Barrie McKay0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Yutaro Oda0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Harry Milne0%
Sander Erik Kartum0%
Daniel Oyegoke0%
Calem Nieuwenhof0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Gerald Taylor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lawrence Shankland34%
Elton Kabangu29%
Musa Drammeh18%
Liam Boyce8%
James Wilson7%
Craig Halkett6%
Blair Spittal5%
Kye Rowles4%
Cameron Devlin3%
Jorge Grant3%
Kenneth Vargas3%
Alan Forrest3%
Craig Gordon0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Yan Dhanda0%
Barrie McKay0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Beni Baningime0%
Yutaro Oda0%
Zander Clark0%
Ryan Fulton0%
Jamie McCart0%
James Penrice0%
Harry Milne0%
Sander Erik Kartum0%
Daniel Oyegoke0%
Calem Nieuwenhof0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Malachi Boateng0%
Gerald Taylor0%
Adam Forrester0%
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Nisbet28%
Pape Habib Gueye20%
Vicente Besuijen18%
Jamie McGrath16%
Topi Keskinen14%
Nicky Devlin13%
Leighton Clarkson12%
Ester Sokler10%
Alfie Dorrington8%
Shayden Morris8%
Oday Dabbagh8%
Ante Palaversa7%
Peter Ambrose7%
Jeppe Okkels6%
Graeme Shinnie3%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Mats Knoester0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Kristers Tobers0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante Palaversa37%
Slobodan Rubežić35%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen35%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes32%
Kristers Tobers30%
Gavin Molloy21%
Jack Mackenzie20%
Pape Habib Gueye20%
Graeme Shinnie19%
Dante Polvara18%
Jamie McGrath16%
James McGarry14%
Topi Keskinen14%
Nicky Devlin13%
Kevin Nisbet12%
Jack Milne11%
Ester Sokler10%
Vicente Besuijen9%
Leighton Clarkson9%
Dimitar Mitov8%
Alfie Dorrington8%
Ross Doohan7%
Peter Ambrose7%
Shayden Morris3%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Mats Knoester0%
Oday Dabbagh0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie McGrath20%
Alexander Jensen20%
Shayden Morris16%
Kevin Nisbet16%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes11%
Pape Habib Gueye10%
Graeme Shinnie8%
Mats Knoester8%
Oday Dabbagh8%
Jeppe Okkels6%
Topi Keskinen6%
Ester Sokler5%
Jack Mackenzie4%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen4%
Ante Palaversa3%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Nicky Devlin0%
James McGarry0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Kristers Tobers0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Peter Ambrose0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Nisbet22%
Mats Knoester15%
Pape Habib Gueye15%
Jamie McGrath12%
Luís Henriques de Barros Lopes11%
Kristers Tobers10%
Peter Ambrose7%
Nicky Devlin6%
Leighton Clarkson3%
Topi Keskinen3%
Shayden Morris3%
Ante Palaversa0%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Jeppe Okkels0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Angus MacDonald0%
James McGarry0%
Jack Mackenzie0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Ross Doohan0%
Slobodan Rubežić0%
Oday Dabbagh0%
Ester Sokler0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Dante Polvara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's squad is €7m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€22m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's attack is €9m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€12m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian and Aberdeen have a similar midfield value (both €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's defence is €1m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€6m vs €7m).
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Rangers
Hibernian
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Dundee
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Partick