Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian Result & Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian’s defensive solidity is highlighted by a 0.5 average of goals conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents, while Hibernian’s away form shows a 1.0 average conceded, suggesting a tight, low-scoring encounter. The model favours a Home win, with a 46% probability, a Draw at 31% and an Away win at 23%. The expected total goals sit at 2.2, with the most likely total of 2 goals carrying a 28% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability. Heart Of Midlothian’s home scoring average is 2.0 goals per game, and they have conceded only 0.5 against similar opposition; Hibernian’s away scoring average is 0.8, conceding 1.0. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 84.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.0%, Under 3.5 at 82.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 72.2% and Over 8.5 corners at 70.9%.

Heart Of Midlothian’s unbeaten run in their last five fixtures extended with a 3-1 victory over Hibernian, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The model had given the home side a 46% chance of triumph, and it proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 14.2%, yet the match finished 3-1, a higher-than-expected tally. The model’s suggested picks performed largely well: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 84.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.0% also hit, while Under 3.5 missed at 82.5%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 72.2%, and Over 8.5 corners missed at 70.9%. Overall, the model’s selections delivered a balanced outcome.