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Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2025
Time: 16:45
Final 1-0
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Heart Of Midlothian are the clear favourites to win at home, with a 47% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of a Hibernian victory. The model predicts an average of 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.8% probability. Heart Of Midlothian, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, average 2.0 goals scored and 0.83 conceded, while Hibernian, on the road, average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 80%, Under 25.5 fouls at 78.4%, Over 1.5 at 77.9% (miss), Over 8.5 corners at 76.1% (miss) and Under 5.5 cards at 74.1%. The recent form shows Hearts unbeaten in their last five, while Hibernian return from a defeat.

Results analysis

Heart Of Midlothian secured a 1-0 win over Hibernian, extending their unbeaten run in the last five matches. The model’s favourite, a home win at 47 percent, proved correct. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 fell short, but the actual 1-0 result still matched the model’s overall expectation of a narrow victory. The model’s selections performed well: Over 2.5 cards hit at 80 percent, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 78.4 percent, Under 5.5 cards hit at 74.1 percent, while Over 1.5 and Over 8.5 corners missed at 77.9 percent and 76.1 percent respectively. Overall, the model’s call and most picks were accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian win✓ Hit
47.3%
Avg Implied 51.3% · @ 1.82
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.64
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hibernian win✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 4.05
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W40W40W20W32W11D33D21W20W30WA·HAM15/07A·STI19/07H·DUM23/07H·ABE04/08A·DUN10/08A·ST 16/08H·MOT23/08A·LIV30/08A·RAN13/09H·FAL27/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.270.932.271.002.270.87
vs Stronger (3)1.002.001.003.001.001.50
vs Similar (9)1.781.002.000.831.331.33
vs Weaker (18)2.720.722.620.882.800.60
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D13L20W12L32W11D33D02L22D00DH·KIL10/08H·FK 14/08A·LIV17/08H·LEG21/08A·LEG28/08H·ST 31/08H·DUN13/09A·RAN20/09A·FAL23/09A·CEL27/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.132.001.231.291.06
vs Stronger (11)1.001.271.251.500.861.14
vs Similar (9)2.111.442.201.402.001.50
vs Weaker (10)1.800.702.500.751.330.67
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.8%
@ 1.77+0.2%
Under 2.5
47.2%
@ 1.97-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.3%
No
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
1-0 ✓
8.9%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
Heart Of Midlothian goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
01234
07.3%5.9%4.1%1.6%0.5%
18.9%13%6.7%2.6%0.7%
28.2%9.5%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.5%5.2%3.0%1.2%0.3%
41.8%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heart Of Midlothian goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.61 points better than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.24 goals better than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.26 goals better than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Heart Of Midlothian is 6.7 percentage points better than Hibernian in terms of average possession (53% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

For 7.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

17095299593923343876113414111412116715717H·FALA·RANA·LIVH·MOTA·DUNH·ABEA·KILH·ST H·MOTA·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

9011227323343322112221395675334H·FALA·RANA·LIVH·MOTA·ST A·DUNH·ABEA·KILH·ST H·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

37071191316161419111419181314791710451822323325372716279H·FALA·RANA·LIVH·MOTA·DUNH·ABEA·KILH·ST H·MOTA·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HibernianHibernian

For 6.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

17027556410785534711331365910101713811141611A·CELA·FALH·DUNH·ST A·LEGH·LEGH·KILA·DUNH·RANA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

1301222232511674334121334572137734A·CELA·FALA·RANH·DUNH·ST A·LEGH·LEGA·LIVH·KILA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

31011613111120771516814101586109131217243114312225141925A·CELA·FALH·DUNH·ST A·LEGH·LEGH·KILA·DUNH·RANA·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.610.33.23.33.122.723.022.2
vs Stronger (6)10.712.010.02.72.03.019.716.521.2
vs Similar (19)9.610.58.13.93.84.124.925.723.6
vs Weaker (25)11.310.412.22.93.22.621.421.221.5
% over line56%59%53%44%54%33%59%59%58%
% under line44%41%47%56%46%67%41%41%42%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.612.710.74.14.04.220.520.420.6
vs Stronger (14)13.416.311.63.43.83.218.218.718.0
vs Similar (19)10.911.010.84.54.25.021.721.322.2
vs Weaker (17)11.613.410.04.13.74.420.219.920.5
% over line73%80%67%62%61%63%46%50%43%
% under line27%20%33%38%39%37%54%50%57%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
Hibernian
11.5
Falkirk
11.3
Rangers
11.3
Aberdeen
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Motherwell
11.0
Kilmarnock
10.7
ST Mirren
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Dundee
10.3
Partick
10.3
Dunfermline
10.2
Arbroath
10.1
Livingston
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
5.1
Hibernian
4.7
ST Mirren
4.6
Dundee Utd
4.5
Motherwell
4.4
Kilmarnock
4.3
Partick
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.1
Rangers
3.9
Dundee
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Celtic
3.3
Arbroath
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Livingston
24.1
Aberdeen
23.8
Motherwell
23.2
Kilmarnock
22.6
Falkirk
22.4
Heart Of Midlothian
22.4
Rangers
21.4
ST Mirren
21.1
Dundee Utd
21.1
Hibernian
20.8
Dunfermline
20.3
Partick
20.3
Dundee
19.8
Arbroath
19.7
Celtic
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.1%
Under 9.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.9%
Under 3.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.9%
Under 21.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W20W10W12L01L01L01L10W20WA·HAM15/07A·STI19/07H·DUM23/07H·ABE04/08A·DUN10/08A·ST 16/08H·MOT23/08A·LIV30/08A·RAN13/09H·FAL27/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.570.870.400.870.73
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.001.000.501.50
vs Similar (9)0.780.560.830.330.671.00
vs Weaker (18)1.000.441.000.381.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W02L10W02L01L00D12L02L21W00DH·KIL10/08H·FK 14/08A·LIV17/08H·LEG21/08A·LEG28/08H·ST 31/08H·DUN13/09A·RAN20/09A·FAL23/09A·CEL27/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.631.000.690.760.59
vs Stronger (11)0.640.730.750.750.570.71
vs Similar (9)0.890.891.001.000.750.75
vs Weaker (10)1.100.301.250.251.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W20W10W20W10W32W20W10W10WA·HAM15/07A·STI19/07H·DUM23/07H·ABE04/08A·DUN10/08A·ST 16/08H·MOT23/08A·LIV30/08A·RAN13/09H·FAL27/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.371.400.601.400.13
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.002.000.500.00
vs Similar (9)1.000.441.170.500.670.33
vs Weaker (18)1.720.281.620.501.800.10
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HibernianHibernian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W10W31W11D21W00D01L00DH·KIL10/08H·FK 14/08A·LIV17/08H·LEG21/08A·LEG28/08H·ST 31/08H·DUN13/09A·RAN20/09A·FAL23/09A·CEL27/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.501.000.540.530.47
vs Stronger (11)0.360.550.500.750.290.43
vs Similar (9)1.220.561.200.401.250.75
vs Weaker (10)0.700.401.250.500.330.33
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners76.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lawrence Shankland52%
Cláudio Braga32%
Craig Halkett13%
Pierre Landry Kaboré12%
Stuart Findlay12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Alexandros Kyziridis11%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Stephen Kingsley10%
Blair Spittal8%
Marc Leonard8%
Cameron Devlin7%
Oisin McEntee7%
Frankie Kent5%
Harry Milne3%
Craig Gordon0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Craig Halkett30%
Harry Milne27%
Marc Leonard23%
Cameron Devlin21%
Christian Borchgrevink20%
Oisin McEntee18%
Stuart Findlay15%
Ageu14%
Lawrence Shankland14%
Alexandros Kyziridis13%
Michael Steinwender12%
Blair Spittal12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Frankie Kent10%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Beni Baningime8%
Alan Forrest8%
Jordi Altena6%
Cláudio Braga5%
Jamie McCart5%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Craig Gordon0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Rogers Mato0%
James Wilson0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Leonard23%
Harry Milne20%
Alexandros Kyziridis18%
Sabah Kerjota11%
Oisin McEntee11%
Lawrence Shankland10%
Blair Spittal8%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Cláudio Braga8%
Michael Steinwender6%
Jordi Altena6%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Beni Baningime4%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Frankie Kent0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lawrence Shankland45%
Cláudio Braga39%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Marc Leonard8%
Harry Milne7%
Alexandros Kyziridis5%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Blair Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Oisin McEntee0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Hibernian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Šuto29%
Kieron Bowie25%
Martin Boyle24%
Owen Elding23%
Jamie McGrath22%
Thody Elie Youan17%
Felix Passlack15%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga14%
Thibault Klidje14%
Junior Hoilett12%
Kai Andrews9%
Josh Mulligan8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Joe Newell7%
Josh Campbell7%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa7%
Christopher Cadden5%
Jordan Obita4%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Jordan Smith0%
Grant Hanley0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Nicky Cadden0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Mulligan31%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa30%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga25%
Jordan Obita25%
Josh Campbell18%
Jamie McGrath17%
Felix Passlack15%
Dane Scarlett15%
Joe Newell14%
Daniel Barlaser14%
Ante Šuto14%
Jack Iredale14%
Kieron Bowie12%
Thody Elie Youan11%
Warren O'Hora10%
Kai Andrews9%
Grant Hanley8%
Martin Boyle8%
Kanayochukwu Megwa8%
Owen Elding8%
Nicky Cadden7%
Dylan Levitt7%
Junior Hoilett6%
Raphael Sallinger6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Jordan Smith0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Felix Passlack23%
Nicky Cadden22%
Josh Mulligan19%
Jordan Obita18%
Kieron Bowie12%
Jamie McGrath11%
Josh Campbell11%
Kai Andrews9%
Daniel Barlaser9%
Martin Boyle8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Ante Šuto7%
Junior Hoilett6%
Thody Elie Youan6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga4%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Jordan Smith0%
Grant Hanley0%
Joe Newell0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Owen Elding0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kieron Bowie38%
Owen Elding23%
Thody Elie Youan22%
Martin Boyle13%
Josh Mulligan12%
Jamie McGrath11%
Felix Passlack8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Junior Hoilett6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Grant Hanley4%
Nicky Cadden4%
Jordan Obita4%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga0%
Jordan Smith0%
Joe Newell0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Josh Campbell0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Ante Šuto0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Kai Andrews0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Heart Of Midlothian's squad is €2m more valuable than Hibernian's (€22m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's attack is €5m more valuable than Hibernian's (€12m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's midfield is €4m less valuable than Hibernian's (€4m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian and Hibernian have a similar defence value (both €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
HOM wins
4
Draws
3
HIB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Heart Of Midlothian vs Hibernian · H/A from HOM
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25AHibernian Vs HOM2-1
26/12/24HHOM Vs Hibernian1-2
27/10/24AHibernian Vs HOM1-1
28/02/24HHOM Vs Hibernian1-1
27/12/23AHibernian Vs HOM0-1
07/10/23HHOM Vs Hibernian2-2
27/05/23HHOM Vs Hibernian1-1
15/04/23AHibernian Vs HOM1-0

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25HHOM Vs Falkirk3-0
13/09/25ARangers Vs HOM0-2
30/08/25ALivingston Vs HOM1-2
23/08/25HHOM Vs Motherwell3-3
16/08/25AST Mirren Vs HOM1-1
10/08/25ADundee Utd Vs HOM2-3
04/08/25HHOM Vs Aberdeen2-0
23/07/25HHOM Vs Dumbarton4-0
19/07/25AStirling Vs HOM0-4
15/07/25AHamilton Academical Vs HOM0-4

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25ACeltic Vs HIB0-0
23/09/25AFalkirk Vs HIB2-2
20/09/25ARangers Vs HIB2-0
13/09/25HHIB Vs Dundee Utd3-3
31/08/25HHIB Vs ST Mirren1-1
28/08/25ALegia Warszawa Vs HIB2-3
21/08/25HHIB Vs Legia Warszawa1-2
17/08/25ALivingston Vs HIB0-2
14/08/25HHIB Vs FK Partizan1-3
10/08/25HHIB Vs Kilmarnock2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.82
HomeWWWDW1.88
AwayWWDWW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%58%50%
AVG goals2.863.082.62
Over 1.5 %82%88%75%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %34%38%29%
Scored1.821.961.67
Conceded1.041.120.96
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners10.4410.5910.26
Cards3.953.953.95
Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDD1.56
HomeDLLDD1.70
AwayWWLDD1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%43%37%
AVG goals2.883.302.52
Over 1.5 %84%91%78%
Over 2.5 %58%74%44%
Over 3.5 %36%43%30%
Scored1.622.001.30
Conceded1.261.301.22
BTTS62%74%52%
Clean Sheet28%26%30%
Corners11.6312.6510.67
Cards4.644.554.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches