Heart Of Midlothian vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian are the clear favourites, the model assigning a 66% chance of a home win and picking that outcome as the most likely result. Their recent unbeaten run of five games, highlighted by a 2-1 victory over ST Johnstone, fuels confidence, while Inverness CT return from a defeat and face a stronger opponent at home. The model expects 3.1 goals in total, with the most probable scoreline 2-0 for Hearts, a 10.9% chance. Hearts average 2.22 goals scored and 0.89 conceded at home against weaker sides, whereas Inverness, playing away against stronger opposition, average 1.07 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. The predicted probabilities are 66% for a home win, 21% for a draw and 13% for an away win. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 89.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 82.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.9% and Over 8.5 corners at 72.9%.

The pre-match favourite, Heart Of Midlothian, was expected to win with a 66% probability, yet the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the actual result, confirming the upset. Heart Of Midlothian were unbeaten in their last five, while Inverness CT had just come off a defeat. The model’s selection of “Over 19.5 fouls” hit at 89.3%, “Over 1.5” hit at 82.2%, “Over 21.5 fouls” hit at 79.4%, “Under 5.5 cards” hit at 78.9%, “Over 2.5 cards” hit at 75.9%, and “Over 8.5 corners” hit at 72.9%. All six selections were settled, with each probability expressed as a percentage.