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Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-0
Hebar 1918
Hebar 1918
Vs
31%
25%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Hebar 1918, fresh from a four-game losing streak, including a 3-4 defeat to CSKA Sofia II, will host Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The latter has shown resilience, coming off a draw against Vihren. With Chernomorets' away form boasting a 3.0 average goals scored and 1.0 conceded, they're expected to capitalize on Hebar's defensive vulnerabilities, averaging 1.8 goals conceded at home. Conversely, Hebar's home scoring has been limited to 1.6 goals per game.

The model predicts a high-scoring match, with 3.2 expected total goals and a 22% probability of 3 goals being scored. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 11.3% probability. Chernomorets are the model's pick to win, with a 44% chance of success. Hebar have a 31% chance of taking the three points, while a draw is the least likely outcome at 25%. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with an 84.3% probability.

Results analysis

The upset was immediate: Hebar 1918 edged Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1-0, ending the home side’s two-game winning run. The pre-match favourite, an away win, carried a 44 % probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The match finished 1-0, a home victory that the model had not predicted. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 98.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.0 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.0 %, Under 6.5 hit at 95.4 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.2 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.0 %, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 89.6 %. The final score of 1-0 confirmed a home win, leaving the model’s favourite on the wrong side of the result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hebar 1918 win✓ Hit
30.8%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.12
Edge
-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Dafabet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.14
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.16
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.10
Edge
+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.25
1xBet
3.21
William Hil
3.20
Dafabet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hebar 1918Hebar 1918

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L13L12L10W11D01L12L23L34L32WA·CSK22/04H·CHE27/04H·LUD04/05A·ETA10/05H·MAR15/05A·SPO23/05A·BER24/07H·VIH02/08A·CSK11/08A·PIR18/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.771.432.001.311.56
vs Stronger (11)1.182.091.001.801.332.33
vs Similar (19)1.471.581.672.111.301.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W11D03L10W23L11D10W11D01LH·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05A·LOK25/07H·BER01/08A·VIH09/08H·CSK17/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.001.120.561.211.50
vs Stronger (5)1.800.802.001.001.500.50
vs Similar (25)1.041.040.920.461.171.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hebar 1918) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.2%
@ 1.27+12.7%
Under 1.5
15.8%
@ 3.18-12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.10
Unibet
2.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.5%
@ 1.93+14.7%
Under 2.5
37.5%
@ 1.76-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
@ 3.31+12.9%
Under 3.5
59.7%
@ 1.25-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Under
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.21
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.6%
@ 1.72+11.4%
No
35.4%
@ 1.96-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Betfair
1.75
Marathonbet
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
No
William Hil
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 5.77+4.7%
1-2
9.1%@ 9.86+5.2%
2-1
7.5%@ 8.04+2.7%
2-2
6.6%@ 12.18+3.5%
0-2
6.2%@ 13.79+3.5%
0-1
6.0%@ 8.53+1.6%
1-3
5.3%@ 22.71+3.7%
0-0
5.0%@ 9.00+0.8%
Hebar 1918 goals ↓
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals →
01234
05.0%6.0%6.2%3.7%1.6%
14.8%11%9.1%5.3%2.4%
24.2%7.5%6.6%3.9%1.7%
32.0%3.6%3.2%1.9%0.8%
40.7%1.3%1.2%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hebar 1918 goals (down), columns = Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vihren
2.14
CSKA Sofia II
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Yantra 2019
1.86
Montana
1.57
Beroe
1.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.57
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Marek
1.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Rilski Sportist
1.29
Ludogorets II
1.14
Hebar 1918
1.14
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Sportist Svoge
0.86
Dobrudzha
0.71
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Hebar 1918 is 0.43 points worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSKA Sofia II
2.14
Vihren
2.14
Nesebar
1.86
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.86
Montana
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.71
Beroe
1.29
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.29
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.57
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.43
Hebar 1918 is 0.71 goals better than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.57
Marek
0.86
Beroe
0.86
Sportist Svoge
0.86
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Montana
1.14
Ludogorets II
1.14
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.29
Dobrudzha
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Hebar 1918
1.86
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.43
Hebar 1918 is 1.29 goals worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 0.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hebar 1918 or Draw✓ Hit
55.9%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
-15.4%
31%
25%
44%
covers Hebar 1918 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.33
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Hebar 1918 or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas✓ Hit
74.9%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.28
Edge
+3.6%
31%
25%
44%
covers Hebar 1918 + Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Draw or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas✗ Miss
69.2%
Avg Implied 57.5% · @ 1.59
Edge
+11.7%
31%
25%
44%
covers Draw + Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Unibet
1.58
1xBet
1.58

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hebar 1918 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.7%
@ 1.19+0.4%
Under
23.3%
@ 3.82-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
3.82
Hebar 1918 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 2.11-0.6%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.61+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Unibet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Unibet
1.56
Hebar 1918 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.0%
@ 4.70-1.2%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.12+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Under
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Hebar 1918 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
82.9%
@ 1.38+17.1%
Under
17.1%
@ 2.65-17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.41
1xBet
1.34
Under
1xBet
2.83
Unibet
2.48
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.8%
@ 2.80+20.1%
Under
47.2%
@ 1.36-20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.1%
@ 7.30+13.7%
Under
73.9%
@ 1.03-13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Hebar 1918, so a minus line means Hebar 1918 give that many goals of a start and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas receive them. At -1, Hebar 1918 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hebar 1918 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hebar 1918)Actual: Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Hebar 1918 -2
5.4%
@ 9.20-4.3%
Draw -2
9.2%
@ 6.50-4.5%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +2
85.4%
@ 1.16+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
9.20
Draw
Marathonbet
6.50
Away
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Hebar 1918)Actual: Draw
Hebar 1918 -1
14.6%
@ 4.05-6.8%
Draw -1
16.2%
@ 3.60-7.9%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas +1
69.2%
@ 1.59+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.35
Draw
Marathonbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.10
Away
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (Hebar 1918)Actual: Hebar 1918
Hebar 1918 +1
55.9%
@ 1.26-13.8%
Draw +1
19.9%
@ 4.90+2.0%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -1
24.2%
@ 7.10+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Marathonbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (Hebar 1918)Actual: Hebar 1918
Hebar 1918 +2
75.8%
Draw +2
13.6%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas -2
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hebar 1918Hebar 1918

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L02L00D01L00D01L01L20W11DA·CSK22/04H·CHE27/04H·LUD04/05A·ETA10/05H·MAR15/05A·SPO23/05A·BER24/07H·VIH02/08A·CSK11/08A·PIR18/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.900.861.000.440.81
vs Stronger (11)0.641.000.201.001.001.00
vs Similar (19)0.630.841.221.000.100.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W10W01L00D02L00D10W00D01LH·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05A·LOK25/07H·BER01/08A·VIH09/08H·CSK17/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.810.310.500.64
vs Stronger (5)0.800.401.330.670.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.640.480.690.230.580.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hebar 1918) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.9%
@ 1.36+5.4%
Under 0.5
28.1%
@ 2.70-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Under
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.78
1xBet
2.71
Marathonbet
2.71
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.9%
@ 2.77+2.8%
Under 1.5
64.1%
@ 1.37-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.79
Marathonbet
2.79
William Hil
2.70
Pinnacle
2.67
Under
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 7.13+0.2%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.06-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
6.90
William Hil
6.50
Under
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hebar 1918 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.4%
@ 1.91-3.4%
Under
55.6%
@ 1.75+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Hebar 1918 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 6.25-3.5%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.06+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Hebar 1918 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 11.00-6.4%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.4%
@ 2.26+9.1%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.52-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 8.80+5.1%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.01-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Marathonbet
8.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 11.00-4.4%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.01+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hebar 1918Hebar 1918

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L01L10W10W10W01L11D22D14L21WA·CSK22/04H·CHE27/04H·LUD04/05A·ETA10/05H·MAR15/05A·SPO23/05A·BER24/07H·VIH02/08A·CSK11/08A·PIR18/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.571.000.880.75
vs Stronger (11)0.551.090.800.800.331.33
vs Similar (19)0.840.740.441.111.200.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L02L10W21W11D00D11D00DH·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05A·LOK25/07H·BER01/08A·VIH09/08H·CSK17/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.310.250.710.86
vs Stronger (5)1.000.400.670.331.500.50
vs Similar (25)0.400.560.230.230.580.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hebar 1918) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.1%
@ 1.24+4.8%
Under 0.5
20.9%
@ 3.60-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.24
Under
1xBet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.2%
@ 2.10+2.4%
Under 1.5
53.8%
@ 1.64-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.5%
@ 4.60+1.5%
Under 2.5
78.5%
@ 1.15-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.15

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hebar 1918 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.8%
@ 1.62-4.4%
Under
48.2%
@ 2.08+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Hebar 1918 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 4.30-5.1%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.15+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Hebar 1918 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 10.00-5.2%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.02
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.3%
@ 1.88+3.9%
Under
47.7%
@ 1.76-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 6.00+3.3%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.07-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 11.00-3.6%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.0%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+6.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.0%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.0%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+5.2%✓ Hit
Under 6.595.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.2%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+3.6%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals89.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.589.2%1.02
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
----3.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.0%1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
---+3.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.9%1.06
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
---0.2%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap85.4%1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
----+8.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals84.6%1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
----5.1%✓ Hit
Over 1.584.2%1.27
Unibet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+12.7%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.0%1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
---+5.1%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals82.9%1.38
Unibet
1.41
1xBet
1.34
---+17.1%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals82.0%1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
---+1.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals81.6%1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
----3.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals79.1%1.24
1xBet
1.24
----+4.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.5%1.15
1xBet
1.15
-----1.5%✓ Hit
Under 4.577.6%1.05
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
---8.9%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals76.7%1.19
1xBet
1.19
----+0.4%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap75.8%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.9%1.28
William Hil
1.35
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+3.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals73.9%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
----13.7%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals71.9%1.36
Betano
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
Betfair
1.36
+5.4%✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Hebar 1918 · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kenan Dunnwald-Turan50%
Nabil Makni43%
Toma Ushagelov20%
Oleksiy Zbun14%
Atanas Kabov14%
Kaloyan Krastev12%
Dušan Vuković9%
Stefan Tsonkov0%
Kristiyan Andonov0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Radoslav Galinov Terziev0%
Milen Gamakov0%
Miloš Petrović0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Oktay Hamdiev0%
Mario Zebić0%
Róbert Mazáň0%
Márcio Rosa0%
Hama Tsumu0%
Daniil Kondrakov0%
Ilker Budinov0%
Petar Debarliev0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Yanis Guermouche0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Enzo El Fattahi0%
Branimir Ćavar0%
Bozhidar Penchev0%
Sheikh Senghor0%
Iliya Rusinov0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
William Fonkeu0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Georgi Plamenov Staykov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enzo El Fattahi67%
Oleksiy Zbun43%
Yanis Guermouche43%
Róbert Mazáň40%
Radoslav Galinov Terziev33%
Ilker Budinov33%
Johan N'Zi33%
Branimir Ćavar33%
Nathan Markelo29%
Milen Gamakov25%
Miloš Petrović25%
Yanko Angelov25%
Georgi Plamenov Staykov25%
Martin Mihaylov22%
Nabil Makni21%
Iliya Rusinov20%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov20%
Dušan Vuković18%
Nikolay Nikolaev17%
Kenan Dunnwald-Turan17%
Atanas Kabov14%
Georgi Tartov14%
Sheikh Senghor14%
Kaloyan Krastev12%
Bozhidar Penchev8%
Stefan Tsonkov0%
Kristiyan Andonov0%
Oktay Hamdiev0%
Mario Zebić0%
Márcio Rosa0%
Hama Tsumu0%
Daniil Kondrakov0%
Petar Debarliev0%
Toma Ushagelov0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
William Fonkeu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kristiyan Andonov29%
Róbert Mazáň20%
Iliya Rusinov20%
Atanas Kabov14%
Nabil Makni14%
William Fonkeu12%
Dušan Vuković9%
Oleksiy Zbun0%
Stefan Tsonkov0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Radoslav Galinov Terziev0%
Milen Gamakov0%
Miloš Petrović0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Oktay Hamdiev0%
Mario Zebić0%
Márcio Rosa0%
Hama Tsumu0%
Daniil Kondrakov0%
Ilker Budinov0%
Petar Debarliev0%
Kaloyan Krastev0%
Kenan Dunnwald-Turan0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Toma Ushagelov0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Yanis Guermouche0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Enzo El Fattahi0%
Branimir Ćavar0%
Bozhidar Penchev0%
Sheikh Senghor0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Georgi Plamenov Staykov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kenan Dunnwald-Turan33%
Yanis Guermouche29%
Atanas Kabov14%
Dušan Vuković9%
Oleksiy Zbun0%
Stefan Tsonkov0%
Kristiyan Andonov0%
Georgi Tartov0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Radoslav Galinov Terziev0%
Milen Gamakov0%
Miloš Petrović0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Oktay Hamdiev0%
Mario Zebić0%
Róbert Mazáň0%
Márcio Rosa0%
Hama Tsumu0%
Daniil Kondrakov0%
Ilker Budinov0%
Petar Debarliev0%
Kaloyan Krastev0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Toma Ushagelov0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Enzo El Fattahi0%
Branimir Ćavar0%
Bozhidar Penchev0%
Sheikh Senghor0%
Nabil Makni0%
Iliya Rusinov0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
William Fonkeu0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Georgi Plamenov Staykov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Hebar 1918 and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Hebar 1918 and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Hebar 1918 and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Hebar 1918 and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
H1 wins
1
Draws
1
C1B wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hebar 1918 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · H/A from H1
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/26HH1 Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1-3
25/10/25AChernomorets 1919 Burgas Vs H11-1

Hebar 1918Hebar 1918

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/26APirin Blagoevgrad Vs H12-3
11/08/26ACSKA Sofia II Vs H14-3
02/08/26HH1 Vs Vihren2-3
24/07/26ABeroe Vs H12-1
23/05/26ASportist Svoge Vs H11-0
15/05/26HH1 Vs Marek1-1
10/05/26AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs H10-1
04/05/26HH1 Vs Ludogorets II1-2
27/04/26HH1 Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1-3
22/04/26ACSKA Sofia II Vs H12-0

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26HC1B Vs CSKA Sofia II0-1
09/08/26AVihren Vs C1B1-1
01/08/26HC1B Vs Beroe1-0
25/07/26ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs C1B1-1
23/05/26ASevlievo Vs C1B3-2
15/05/26HC1B Vs Sportist Svoge1-0
11/05/26AMarek Vs C1B3-0
03/05/26HC1B Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-1
27/04/26AHebar 1918 Vs C1B1-3
16/04/26HC1B Vs Ludogorets II0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hebar 1918
Hebar 1918
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.08
HomeWLLDL1.09
AwayWLLLW1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%30%30%
AVG goals2.943.042.85
Over 1.5 %78%87%70%
Over 2.5 %56%61%52%
Over 3.5 %32%30%33%
Scored1.221.221.22
Conceded1.721.831.63
BTTS56%61%52%
Clean Sheet20%17%22%
Corners10.7510.4011.33
Cards5.124.805.67
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL1.30
HomeDDWWL1.68
AwayWLLDD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals2.141.882.40
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %28%20%36%
Over 3.5 %14%8%20%
Scored1.081.200.96
Conceded1.060.681.44
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet32%48%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VihrenVihren715
57%
2.1
157+8
3.1
100%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
2CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3FratriaFratria714
57%
2.0
94+5
1.9
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.6
-
4Yantra 2019Yantra 2019713
57%
1.9
97+2
2.3
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.0
-
5MontanaMontana711
43%
1.6
128+4
2.9
71%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
6BeroeBeroe711
43%
1.6
96+3
2.1
71%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.30.9
-
7Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas711
43%
1.6
74+3
1.6
43%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.6
-
8Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo711
43%
1.6
1311+2
3.4
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.6
-
9NesebarNesebar710
43%
1.4
1310+3
3.3
71%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
10MarekMarek710
43%
1.4
76+1
1.9
29%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.9
-
11Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa710
43%
1.4
79-2
2.3
86%
43%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.3
-
12Rilski SportistRilski Sportist79
29%
1.3
77+0
2.0
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
13Hebar 1918Hebar 191878
29%
1.1
1213-1
3.6
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.71.9
-
14Ludogorets IILudogorets II78
29%
1.1
58-3
1.9
71%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.71.1
-
15Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven77
29%
1.0
714-7
3.0
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.02.0
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge76
14%
0.9
46-2
1.4
29%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.60.9
-
17DobrudzhaDobrudzha75
14%
0.7
710-3
2.4
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad70
0%
0.0
324-21
3.9
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.43.4
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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