This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
1.44
0.94
1.00
1.64
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.39
1.42
1.00
0.91
1.82
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hebar 1918) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.6%
Under 2.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
0-0 ✓
11.3%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
Hebar 1918 goals ↓
Levski Krumovgrad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.5%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.7%
8.6%
4.2%
1.4%
0.3%
3
3.8%
3.8%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hebar 1918 goals (down), columns = Levski Krumovgrad goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ludogorets
2.34
Cherno More Varna
2.14
CSKA Sofia
1.86
Levski Sofia
1.83
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.66
CSKA 1948
1.49
Arda Kardzhali
1.42
Levski Krumovgrad
1.40
Botev Plovdiv
1.25
Beroe
1.20
Slavia Sofia
1.19
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.11
Marek
1.00
Hebar 1918
0.97
Botev Vratsa
0.94
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.91
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.49
Hebar 1918 is 0.43 points worse than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ludogorets
2.49
Cherno More Varna
1.60
CSKA Sofia
1.56
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.51
Levski Sofia
1.43
Botev Plovdiv
1.39
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Arda Kardzhali
1.08
Marek
1.00
CSKA 1948
1.00
Hebar 1918
1.00
Slavia Sofia
0.97
Beroe
0.86
Lokomotiv Sofia
0.86
Botev Vratsa
0.81
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.74
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
0.63
Hebar 1918 is 0.29 goals worse than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ludogorets
0.69
Cherno More Varna
0.74
CSKA Sofia
0.81
CSKA 1948
0.81
Levski Sofia
0.86
Arda Kardzhali
0.97
Marek
1.00
Botev Plovdiv
1.17
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.26
Levski Krumovgrad
1.29
Beroe
1.31
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.37
Hebar 1918
1.40
Slavia Sofia
1.42
Botev Vratsa
1.58
Lokomotiv Sofia
1.66
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.89
Hebar 1918 is 0.11 goals worse than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Levski Sofia
61%
Ludogorets
58%
Botev Plovdiv
55%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
54%
CSKA Sofia
54%
Cherno More Varna
52%
CSKA 1948
52%
Hebar 1918
50%
Arda Kardzhali
49%
Slavia Sofia
49%
Levski Krumovgrad
46%
Lokomotiv Sofia
44%
Botev Vratsa
44%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
43%
Beroe
43%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
42%
Hebar 1918 is 3.8 percentage points better than Levski Krumovgrad in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hebar 1918
For 4.3 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Levski Krumovgrad
For 2.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hebar 1918
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
8.8
9.1
8.5
3.7
4.0
3.3
25.2
26.0
24.4
vs Stronger (25)
9.4
9.0
10.0
2.9
3.7
2.2
25.4
25.4
25.3
vs Similar (21)
8.1
9.2
7.4
4.5
4.4
4.7
25.0
27.2
23.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
50%
53%
59%
65%
52%
83%
80%
87%
% under line
48%
50%
47%
41%
35%
48%
17%
20%
13%
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
8.7
8.7
8.8
1.0
1.0
1.1
24.7
25.0
24.4
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
8.3
10.0
4.2
4.0
5.0
24.8
26.3
20.0
vs Similar (35)
8.7
9.0
8.5
0.8
0.6
1.1
24.7
23.7
25.5
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
27%
17%
40%
18%
22%
14%
64%
67%
60%
% under line
73%
83%
60%
82%
78%
86%
36%
33%
40%
This opponent (Hebar 1918) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
11.9
Ludogorets
10.1
Levski Sofia
9.8
CSKA 1948
9.7
Lokomotiv Sofia
9.6
Botev Plovdiv
9.4
Arda Kardzhali
9.2
Hebar 1918
8.8
Levski Krumovgrad
8.7
Pirin Blagoevgrad
8.7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
8.6
Beroe
8.5
Slavia Sofia
8.5
CSKA Sofia
8.0
Cherno More Varna
7.8
Botev Vratsa
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ludogorets
6.3
CSKA Sofia
6.1
Beroe
6.1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
5.9
Levski Sofia
5.9
Botev Plovdiv
5.4
Arda Kardzhali
5.4
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
5.4
Slavia Sofia
5.2
CSKA 1948
5.2
Cherno More Varna
5.1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
5.1
Hebar 1918
5.1
Lokomotiv Sofia
5.0
Botev Vratsa
5.0
Levski Krumovgrad
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Botev Vratsa
27.8
Levski Sofia
27.1
CSKA 1948
27.1
Beroe
26.8
Cherno More Varna
26.2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
25.5
Pirin Blagoevgrad
25.2
Hebar 1918
25.2
Levski Krumovgrad
24.7
CSKA Sofia
24.7
Slavia Sofia
24.5
Ludogorets
24.4
Lokomotiv Sofia
24.2
Botev Plovdiv
24.1
Arda Kardzhali
23.8
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
35.9%
Under 9.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.3%
Under 3.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.2%
Under 21.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hebar 1918
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.50
0.47
0.73
0.27
0.27
vs Stronger (15)
0.27
0.93
0.44
1.22
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.07
0.50
0.00
0.44
0.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.75
0.56
0.21
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.83
0.75
0.50
0.27
1.18
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Hebar 1918) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hebar 1918 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hebar 1918 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hebar 1918 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hebar 1918
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.53
0.73
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (15)
0.33
0.73
0.22
0.67
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.93
1.00
0.83
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Levski Krumovgrad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Levski Krumovgrad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.47
0.69
0.38
0.79
0.57
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.57
0.67
0.50
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Hebar 1918) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hebar 1918 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hebar 1918 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hebar 1918 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levski Krumovgrad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hebar 1918
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Georgi Nikolov67%
Stefan Tsonkov40%
Cheikh Diamanca Senghor33%
Krasian Kolev33%
Mark Emilio Papazov17%
Joao Cesco14%
Atanas Kabov12%
Angel Bastunov12%
Lazar Marin11%
Marcel Čanadi0%
Oleksiy Zbun0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Carlos Ohene0%
Georgi Valchev0%
Oktay Hamdiev0%
Róbert Mazáň0%
Bogomil Bojurkin0%
Petar Debarliev0%
Georgi Karakashev0%
Johan Nzi0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Bozidar Pencev0%
Stilian Tisowski0%
Nicholas Lyuboslav Penev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgi Valchev60%
Angel Bastunov50%
Róbert Mazáň33%
Georgi Karakashev33%
Georgi Nikolov33%
Cheikh Diamanca Senghor33%
Joao Cesco29%
Stefan Tsonkov20%
Arhan Isuf14%
Petar Debarliev14%
Stilian Tisowski14%
Lazar Marin11%
Marcel Čanadi0%
Oleksiy Zbun0%
Atanas Kabov0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Carlos Ohene0%
Oktay Hamdiev0%
Bogomil Bojurkin0%
Johan Nzi0%
Mark Emilio Papazov0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Bozidar Pencev0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Nicholas Lyuboslav Penev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Róbert Mazáň33%
Georgi Nikolov33%
Oleksiy Zbun25%
Cheikh Diamanca Senghor17%
Stilian Tisowski14%
Marcel Čanadi0%
Atanas Kabov0%
Stefan Tsonkov0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Carlos Ohene0%
Lazar Marin0%
Georgi Valchev0%
Oktay Hamdiev0%
Bogomil Bojurkin0%
Petar Debarliev0%
Georgi Karakashev0%
Johan Nzi0%
Mark Emilio Papazov0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Bozidar Pencev0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Joao Cesco0%
Nicholas Lyuboslav Penev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Georgi Nikolov67%
Georgi Valchev20%
Johan Nzi17%
Cheikh Diamanca Senghor17%
Oleksiy Zbun12%
Atanas Kabov12%
Marcel Čanadi0%
Stefan Tsonkov0%
Arhan Isuf0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Nikolay Nikolaev0%
Carlos Ohene0%
Lazar Marin0%
Oktay Hamdiev0%
Róbert Mazáň0%
Bogomil Bojurkin0%
Petar Debarliev0%
Georgi Karakashev0%
Mark Emilio Papazov0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Bozidar Pencev0%
Stilian Tisowski0%
Krasian Kolev0%
Joao Cesco0%
Nicholas Lyuboslav Penev0%
Levski Krumovgrad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleksandar Kolev43%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Patrick17%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Dzuniet Ali14%
Matej Šimić14%
Diego Raposo11%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Santana Dos Santos50%
Vyacheslav Velev43%
Jefferson Granado40%
Klaidher Macedo36%
Serkan Ussein36%
Bozhidar Katsarov33%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov33%
Momchil Tsvetanov29%
Aleksandar Kolev29%
Renan Areias29%
Patrick25%
Dimitar Tonev23%
Dzuniet Ali21%
Matej Šimić21%
Rayan Senhadji20%
Yanko Georgiev17%
Diego Raposo11%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov8%
Oktay Yusein8%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Kolev21%
Dimitar Tonev15%
Serkan Ussein14%
Bozhidar Katsarov8%
Patrick8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Matej Šimić7%
Renan Areias7%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Kolev57%
Dimitar Tonev8%
Vyacheslav Velev7%
Serkan Ussein0%
Bozhidar Katsarov0%
Kitan Vasilev0%
Jacques Ivanov Pehlivanov0%
Dzuniet Ali0%
Momchil Tsvetanov0%
Oktay Yusein0%
Yanko Georgiev0%
Blagoy Makendzhiev0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Patrick0%
Diego Raposo0%
Lucas Santana Dos Santos0%
Matej Šimić0%
Renan Areias0%
Klaidher Macedo0%
Kaloyan Pehlivanov0%
Jefferson Granado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Bulgaria: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: First League stats & trends →
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Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
CSKA Sofia
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
Botev Vratsa
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Marek