Heist is 1.50 goals better than Arquet in terms of goals conceded per game (0.00 vs 1.50).
β±οΈ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
π² 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
π 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Heist or Drawβ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
22%
covers Heist + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heist or Arquetβ Hit
75.6%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
22%
covers Heist + Arquet
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Arquetβ Miss
46.4%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
22%
covers Draw + Arquet
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Heist over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.0%
Under
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heist over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.5%
Under
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heist over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.5%
Under
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heist over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.5%
Under
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
Under
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
βοΈ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Heist, so a minus line means Heist give that many goals of a start and Arquet receive them. At -1, Heist must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Heist win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Heist)Actual: Draw
Heist -2
14.8%
Draw -2
16.7%
Arquet +2
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Heist)Actual: Heist
Heist -1
31.5%
Draw -1
22.1%
Arquet +1
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Heist)Actual: Heist
Heist +1
78.0%
Draw +1
13.1%
Arquet -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Heist)Actual: Heist
Heist +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.2%
Arquet -2
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Heist
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+77pp vs league)
This opponent (Arquet) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arquet
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Heist) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heist over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heist over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heist over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Heist
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.0
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+77pp vs league)
This opponent (Arquet) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arquet
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Heist) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heist over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heist over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heist over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arquet over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 6.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 5.5
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 4.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Home or Draw
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Home or Away
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.