Helsingborg’s recent home form shows a solid attack, scoring 1.93 goals per game while conceding 1.57, and they are set to face an opponent of similar strength. O rebro SK, on the road, averages 1.46 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against comparable teams, suggesting a slightly tighter defensive outing. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.3 goals, centring on a 3-goal total that carries a 22% chance. The most likely exact score is 1-1, with a 10.9% probability. The favourite outcome is a home win, with a 48% chance, followed by a draw at 24% and an away win at 27%. Suggested picks include the model’s selections: Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%, edge 4%), Under 7.5 (98.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%, edge 6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5%, edge 4%), Under 6.5 (95.1%, edge 5%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.7%, edge 5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.6%, edge 3%), and Away under 1.5 HT goals (89.6%, edge 5%). Helsingborg’s recent loss and O rebro’s two-game winning run add intrigue, but the odds favour a Swedish Superettan home victory.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Helsingborg, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s Home win call wrong. The model had given the home side a 48% chance of victory, a 24% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of an away win, and it had also predicted a most likely 3-goal total with a 22% probability. Helsingborg had been coming off a draw, while Örebro SK had also ended their previous outing in a 1-1 stalemate. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.6%, Under 6.5 hit at 95.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 92.4%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 89.6%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Helsingborg win✗ Miss
48.4%
Avg Implied 43.4% · @ 2.13
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Draw✓ Hit
24.4%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.55
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.82
Betfair
3.70
Marathonbet
3.62
1xBet
3.62
10Bet
3.60
Orebro SK win✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 30.5% · @ 3.02
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.10
Unibet
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Pinnacle
3.09
1xBet
3.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Helsingborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
2.03
1.93
1.57
1.75
2.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
4.00
-
-
0.50
4.00
vs Similar (28)
1.93
1.89
1.93
1.57
1.93
2.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.70
1.14
1.50
1.38
1.88
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.67
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
1.21
1.71
0.91
1.36
1.46
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
@ 1.19+6.5%
Under 1.5
15.2%
@ 4.30-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.32
Unibet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.6%
@ 1.64+6.5%
Under 2.5
36.4%
@ 2.18-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
SBO
1.66
BetVictor
1.66
Under
Bet365
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
SBO
2.21
Betfair
2.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.4%
@ 2.58+5.3%
Under 3.5
58.6%
@ 1.46-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.63
Superbet
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Under
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.6%
@ 1.53+4.3%
No
35.4%
@ 2.33-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
William Hil
1.55
No
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.38
Betfair
2.38
William Hil
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.9%@ 6.79+4.4%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.15+3.9%
1-2
6.9%@ 10.01+2.4%
2-0
6.8%@ 11.20+2.8%
2-2
6.5%@ 10.86+2.4%
1-0
6.2%@ 9.44+1.5%
3-1
5.9%@ 13.64+2.6%
0-0
4.8%@ 13.12+1.4%
Helsingborg goals ↓
Orebro SK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
4.2%
3.6%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.2%
11%
6.9%
3.2%
1.1%
2
6.8%
9.4%
6.5%
3.0%
1.0%
3
4.3%
5.9%
4.1%
1.9%
0.7%
4
2.0%
2.8%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Helsingborg goals (down), columns = Orebro SK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Helsingborg is 0.29 points better than Orebro SK in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 0.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Helsingborg is 0.62 goals better than Orebro SK in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Helsingborg is 0.38 goals worse than Orebro SK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.95 vs 1.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Helsingborg is 6.0 percentage points worse than Orebro SK in terms of average possession (44% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Helsingborg
For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
For 2.9 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Helsingborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.8
9.2
1.2
0.9
1.4
25.1
22.0
25.9
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
9.4
9.8
9.2
1.3
0.9
1.7
25.1
22.0
25.9
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
50%
67%
18%
9%
26%
60%
50%
62%
% under line
38%
50%
33%
82%
91%
74%
40%
50%
38%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.1
9.0
1.4
1.5
1.2
24.8
23.3
26.0
vs Stronger (10)
6.0
-
6.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
28.0
-
28.0
vs Similar (40)
9.7
10.1
9.3
1.6
1.9
1.4
24.5
23.3
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
62%
40%
16%
21%
12%
69%
67%
71%
% under line
50%
38%
60%
84%
79%
88%
31%
33%
29%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Orebro SK
9.4
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
23.7
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.1%
@ 1.65-13.2%
Under 9.5
56.9%
@ 2.12+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.22
Unibet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.3%
Under 3.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.7%
Under 21.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Helsingborg or Draw✓ Hit
72.7%
Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.34
Edge
+3.4%
48%
24%
27%
covers Helsingborg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Helsingborg or Orebro SK✗ Miss
75.6%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.25
Edge
+1.1%
48%
24%
27%
covers Helsingborg + Orebro SK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Draw or Orebro SK✓ Hit
51.6%
Avg Implied 56.1% · @ 1.66
Edge
-4.4%
48%
24%
27%
covers Draw + Orebro SK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
SBO
1.69
Betfair
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.9%
@ 1.18+5.9%
Under
15.1%
@ 4.42-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Betano
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.40
BetVictor
4.40
Helsingborg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.3%
@ 1.89+7.2%
Under
43.7%
@ 1.83-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.94
BetVictor
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Under
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.86
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Helsingborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.4%
@ 3.80+5.0%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.23-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.90
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.84
Under
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Helsingborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 8.12+0.8%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.06-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
7.10
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Orebro SK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.0%
@ 1.28+2.6%
Under
25.0%
@ 3.36-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Under
Betano
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.43
BetVictor
3.30
Orebro SK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.3%
@ 2.37+1.0%
Under
59.7%
@ 1.53-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.53
BetVictor
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
Betfair
2.38
Under
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Orebro SK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 5.37-1.0%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.12+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Orebro SK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 13.12-2.1%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.03+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Helsingborg, so a minus line means Helsingborg give that many goals of a start and Orebro SK receive them. At -1, Helsingborg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Helsingborg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Helsingborg)Actual: Orebro SK
Helsingborg -2
12.8%
@ 8.18+1.8%
Draw -2
14.9%
@ 6.06+0.1%
Orebro SK +2
72.2%
@ 1.21-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
9.00
10Bet
8.00
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.95
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Away
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Handicap -1 (Helsingborg)Actual: Orebro SK
Helsingborg -1
27.8%
@ 3.74+4.1%
Draw -1
20.6%
@ 3.92-2.0%
Orebro SK +1
51.6%
@ 1.66-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
Unibet
3.60
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.65
Away
Unibet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Handicap +1 (Helsingborg)Actual: Helsingborg
Helsingborg +1
72.7%
@ 1.34+6.3%
Draw +1
14.8%
@ 4.71-4.1%
Orebro SK -1
12.4%
@ 6.10-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Unibet
1.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Handicap +2 (Helsingborg)Actual: Helsingborg
Helsingborg +2
87.6%
@ 1.11+4.1%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 9.00-2.3%
Orebro SK -2
4.4%
@ 15.00-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Helsingborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.64
0.64
1.00
1.06
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.89
0.79
0.64
0.64
1.14
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.57
0.57
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.58
0.45
0.45
0.85
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.30+0.3%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 3.25-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.8%
@ 2.38-3.1%
Under 1.5
64.2%
@ 1.52+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 5.67-1.4%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.11+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Superbet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
53.6%
@ 1.76+0.7%
Under
46.4%
@ 1.97-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Unibet
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Unibet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 4.80-2.0%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.15+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 11.25-4.9%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.0%
@ 2.08-4.7%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.68+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Unibet
2.06
Under
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.4%
@ 6.35-4.2%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.08+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 18.38-3.8%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Helsingborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.17
1.29
0.93
0.75
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.04
1.11
1.29
0.93
0.79
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.03
0.57
0.93
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.54
1.12
0.45
0.91
0.62
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.6%
@ 1.17+1.7%
Under 0.5
19.4%
@ 4.38-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.35
William Hil
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.0%
@ 1.84-1.2%
Under 1.5
51.0%
@ 1.86+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Superbet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.84
William Hil
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 3.58-5.3%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.25+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
Under
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.6%
@ 1.54+0.5%
Under
39.4%
@ 2.32-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.4%
@ 3.54-2.7%
Under
76.6%
@ 1.25+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.72
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 8.90-2.8%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.03+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.4%
@ 1.71-5.5%
Under
51.6%
@ 2.01+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.74
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Under
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 4.45-5.6%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.17+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 9.88-6.5%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.4%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.6%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
84.9%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.8%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.17
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.7%
1.12
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.7%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.6%
1.17
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.25
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.9%
1.44
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
+15.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.7%
1.17
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.25
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.6%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
75.0%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Unibet
1.29
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
72.7%
1.34
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
72.7%
1.34
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Unibet
1.30
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
72.2%
1.21
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.30
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
70.6%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
-5.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Helsingborg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Svanback36%
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Oscar Aga21%
Marcus Gudmann20%
Ervin Gigović9%
Max Svensson7%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wilhelm Nilsson42%
Adrian Svanback27%
Simon Bengtsson25%
Ture Görefält25%
Johan Brattberg15%
Samuel Asoma14%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen8%
Adam Akimey8%
Lukas Kjellnas8%
Benjamin Orn8%
Max Svensson7%
Oscar Aga0%
Wilhelm Loeper0%
Ervin Gigović0%
William Westerlund0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wilhelm Loeper21%
Lukas Kjellnas15%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Ervin Gigović9%
Adam Akimey8%
Oscar Aga0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
William Westerlund0%
Adrian Svanback0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Adrian Svanback18%
Oscar Aga14%
Marcus Gudmann0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Ervin Gigović0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
Orebro SK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Yasin33%
Karl Holmberg33%
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Stenberg33%
Jakub Ojrzyński33%
Hampus Söderstrom33%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karl Holmberg33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Helsingborg's squad is €2m more valuable than Orebro SK's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Helsingborg and Orebro SK have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Helsingborg's midfield is €1m more valuable than Orebro SK's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Helsingborg and Orebro SK have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall