Helsingborg are tipped to lift the trophy, the model picking a home win with a 46% probability, while draws sit at 27% and Sandviken’s chances of victory are 28%. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, but the most likely total is two, a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.8% probability, reflecting the balanced attack and defence of both sides. Helsingborg, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.93 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Sandviken, on the road, average 1.07 goals scored and 1.36 conceded versus comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.1%), and Under 5.5 (93.3%). Helsingborg’s recent win over Football Primetime and Sandviken’s draw against Osters IF add context to the match’s likely tight, low-scoring nature.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Helsingborg win
45.2%
Avg Implied 42.4% · @ 2.18
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.21
Superbet
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Betano
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Draw
27.3%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.65
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.92
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
10Bet
3.70
Sandviken win
27.6%
Avg Implied 32.3% · @ 2.86
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.90
Dafabet
2.90
Superbet
2.90
10Bet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Helsingborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
2.03
1.71
1.57
1.75
2.44
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
4.00
-
-
0.50
4.00
vs Similar (28)
1.82
1.89
1.71
1.57
1.93
2.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandviken
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.40
2.27
1.47
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
3.00
2.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.68
1.36
2.29
1.36
1.07
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.5%
@ 1.15-3.3%
Under 1.5
22.5%
@ 4.85+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Under
Pinnacle
5.12
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.2%
@ 1.53-8.3%
Under 2.5
47.8%
@ 2.35+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.55
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.35
Bet365
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.1%
@ 2.32-10.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
@ 1.56+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.36
Unibet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Both teams to score
Yes
56.4%
@ 1.46-6.8%
No
43.6%
@ 2.50+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Unibet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
No
1xBet
2.56
BetVictor
2.55
Marathonbet
2.51
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 7.12+6.8%
2-1
9.3%@ 8.34+4.0%
1-0
8.7%@ 10.50+4.5%
2-0
7.8%@ 12.00+4.2%
0-0
7.5%@ 14.28+4.4%
1-2
7.0%@ 9.70+2.5%
0-1
6.3%@ 11.78+2.6%
2-2
5.5%@ 10.19+1.2%
Helsingborg goals ↓
Sandviken goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
6.3%
4.4%
1.8%
0.5%
1
8.7%
13%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.3%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
3
4.1%
4.9%
2.9%
1.2%
0.3%
4
1.6%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Helsingborg goals (down), columns = Sandviken goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Helsingborg is 0.05 points worse than Sandviken in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Helsingborg and Sandviken are level in goals scored per game (both 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Helsingborg is 0.48 goals worse than Sandviken in terms of goals conceded per game (1.95 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Helsingborg is 10.6 percentage points worse than Sandviken in terms of average possession (44% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Helsingborg
For 4.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sandviken
For 4.9 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 8.4 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Helsingborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.2
9.4
1.2
1.1
1.3
24.0
22.0
24.6
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
9.3
9.2
9.4
1.3
1.1
1.6
24.0
22.0
24.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
40%
75%
18%
12%
23%
56%
50%
57%
% under line
38%
60%
25%
82%
88%
77%
44%
50%
43%
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandviken
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.7
8.6
1.0
1.2
0.8
23.2
22.5
24.4
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
9.5
10.2
8.6
1.0
1.1
0.9
22.5
21.1
24.4
vs Weaker (2)
16.0
16.0
-
2.5
5.0
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
37%
36%
38%
8%
12%
4%
69%
50%
100%
% under line
63%
64%
62%
92%
88%
96%
31%
50%
0%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.3
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
24.0
Helsingborg
24.0
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.0%
@ 1.78-8.3%
Under 9.5
56.0%
@ 1.95+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
44.3%
Under 3.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.5%
Under 21.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Helsingborg or Draw
72.4%
Avg Implied 67.6% · @ 1.38
Edge
+4.9%
45%
27%
28%
covers Helsingborg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Helsingborg or Sandviken
72.7%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.24
Edge
-2.3%
45%
27%
28%
covers Helsingborg + Sandviken
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Sandviken
54.8%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.62
Edge
-2.6%
45%
27%
28%
covers Draw + Sandviken
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5
Over
79.4%
@ 1.16-0.7%
Under
20.6%
@ 4.66+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.16
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Helsingborg over/under 1.5
Over
46.8%
@ 1.82-4.3%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.90+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Helsingborg over/under 2.5
Over
21.1%
@ 3.58-4.8%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.25+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.68
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.56
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Helsingborg over/under 3.5
Over
7.6%
@ 8.60-3.3%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.05+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Bet365
9.00
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.01
Sandviken over/under 0.5
Over
69.5%
@ 1.23-5.8%
Under
30.5%
@ 3.77+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
3.98
1xBet
3.84
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Sandviken over/under 1.5
Over
33.3%
@ 2.13-10.3%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.65+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Under
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.67
BetVictor
1.65
Sandviken over/under 2.5
Over
11.8%
@ 4.67-8.1%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.16+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Sandviken over/under 3.5
Over
3.3%
@ 10.88-5.5%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.04+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Helsingborg, so a minus line means Helsingborg give that many goals of a start and Sandviken receive them. At -1, Helsingborg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Helsingborg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Helsingborg)
Helsingborg -2
9.7%
@ 8.07-1.4%
Draw -2
14.0%
@ 6.14-0.6%
Sandviken +2
76.3%
@ 1.21+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Unibet
7.50
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
10Bet
6.00
Unibet
5.75
Away
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap -1 (Helsingborg)
Helsingborg -1
23.7%
@ 3.87+0.7%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 4.10-0.3%
Sandviken +1
54.8%
@ 1.62-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.82
Unibet
3.65
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Unibet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (Helsingborg)
Helsingborg +1
72.4%
@ 1.38+7.6%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 4.70-3.2%
Sandviken -1
11.7%
@ 5.60-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Unibet
1.35
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Handicap +2 (Helsingborg)
Helsingborg +2
88.3%
@ 1.11+10.3%
Draw +2
8.0%
@ 6.70-5.0%
Sandviken -2
3.7%
@ 9.62-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.25
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Helsingborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.57
0.57
1.00
1.06
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.75
0.57
0.57
1.14
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandviken
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.77
1.33
0.73
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.75
1.29
0.71
0.43
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.6%
@ 1.25-4.4%
Under 0.5
30.4%
@ 3.56+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
William Hil
3.60
Marathonbet
3.52
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.2%
@ 2.23-9.3%
Under 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.59+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.30
Pinnacle
2.27
Marathonbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
10Bet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.60
BetVictor
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.6%
@ 5.08-7.6%
Under 2.5
89.4%
@ 1.13+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Betfair
5.20
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.8%
@ 1.75-7.2%
Under
54.2%
@ 1.97+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Unibet
1.96
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.9%
@ 4.70-6.8%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.15+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 11.25-5.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Sandviken over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.9%
@ 1.93-4.2%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.78+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Sandviken over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.5%
@ 5.61-6.0%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Sandviken over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 14.75-4.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Helsingborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.20
1.14
1.00
0.75
1.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.96
1.14
1.14
1.00
0.79
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sandviken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sandviken
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.93
0.73
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.61
1.00
0.64
0.64
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.15-3.8%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 4.86+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.0%
@ 1.75-10.1%
Under 1.5
57.0%
@ 1.98+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.99
William Hil
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.2%
@ 3.25-12.2%
Under 2.5
83.8%
@ 1.29+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.30
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Under
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.27
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.7%
@ 1.50-7.8%
Under
46.3%
@ 2.40+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Under
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.8%
@ 3.40-8.4%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.27+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.4%
@ 8.37-6.7%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.04+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Sandviken over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.1%
@ 1.64-9.5%
Under
52.9%
@ 2.13+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Under
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Sandviken over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.4%
@ 4.04-8.5%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.20+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Sandviken over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 9.75-6.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
+5.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.7%
Under 5.5
93.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+6.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
92.4%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+6.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+7.6%
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-
+10.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
88.2%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
+8.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.15
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+6.8%
Under 5.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.20
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+8.5%
Under 4.5
85.3%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+8.4%
Over 19.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
1xBet
1.27
+12.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.27
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
-
+8.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
79.4%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.16
-0.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
78.9%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+4.8%
Under 11.5 corners
78.3%
1.33
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.27
-
+9.9%
Over 1.5
77.5%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
-3.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-3.8%
Away +2 handicap
76.3%
1.21
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+2.0%
Under 4.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.7%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-2.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
72.4%
1.38
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
+4.9%
Home +1 handicap
72.4%
1.38
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Unibet
1.35
-
+7.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Helsingborg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Svanback36%
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Oscar Aga21%
Marcus Gudmann20%
Ervin Gigović9%
Max Svensson7%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wilhelm Nilsson42%
Adrian Svanback27%
Simon Bengtsson25%
Ture Görefält25%
Johan Brattberg15%
Samuel Asoma14%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen8%
Adam Akimey8%
Lukas Kjellnas8%
Benjamin Orn8%
Max Svensson7%
Oscar Aga0%
Wilhelm Loeper0%
Ervin Gigović0%
William Westerlund0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wilhelm Loeper21%
Lukas Kjellnas15%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Ervin Gigović9%
Adam Akimey8%
Oscar Aga0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
William Westerlund0%
Adrian Svanback0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Adrian Svanback18%
Oscar Aga14%
Marcus Gudmann0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Ervin Gigović0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
Sandviken
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Wagner67%
Linus Tagesson33%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasper Harletun33%
Christian Wagner33%
Liam Vabö33%
Adam Kiani33%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Linus Tagesson0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Linus Tagesson67%
Johan Arvidsson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Christian Wagner0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Johan Arvidsson33%
Linus Tagesson0%
Kasper Harletun0%
Christian Wagner0%
Mohammed Mahammed Yousef0%
Alan Carleton0%
Liam Vabö0%
Viggo van der Laan0%
Mohammed Sadat Abubakari0%
Adam Kiani0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Helsingborg's squad is €2m more valuable than Sandviken's (€7m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Helsingborg and Sandviken have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Helsingborg's midfield is €1m more valuable than Sandviken's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Helsingborg and Sandviken have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall