This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Varbergs BoIS FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
2.07
1.27
1.87
1.07
2.27
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
2.64
0.40
1.80
0.50
3.33
vs Similar (19)
1.58
1.74
1.70
1.90
1.44
1.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.9%
Under 1.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.6%
Under 2.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.8%
Under 3.5
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.5%
No
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.8%
1-0 ✓
13.4%
0-1
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.1%
Helsingborg goals ↓
Varbergs BoIS FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.9%
5.1%
1.5%
0.3%
1
13%
15%
6.0%
1.8%
0.4%
2
8.7%
7.8%
3.5%
1.1%
0.2%
3
3.4%
3.1%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.0%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Helsingborg goals (down), columns = Varbergs BoIS FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Helsingborg is 0.27 points better than Varbergs BoIS FC in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Helsingborg is 0.17 goals worse than Varbergs BoIS FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Helsingborg is 0.33 goals better than Varbergs BoIS FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Helsingborg is 7.6 percentage points better than Varbergs BoIS FC in terms of average possession (48% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Helsingborg
For 6.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.4 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Varbergs BoIS FC
For 4.7 · Against 8.6 · Total 13.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 10.4 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Helsingborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
12.2
10.0
3.7
4.0
3.4
25.1
24.4
25.7
vs Stronger (8)
11.0
12.3
10.2
3.5
2.7
4.0
25.5
23.0
27.0
vs Similar (42)
11.1
12.2
10.0
3.7
4.2
3.2
25.1
24.7
25.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
65%
80%
52%
50%
56%
44%
67%
65%
70%
% under line
35%
20%
48%
50%
44%
56%
33%
35%
30%
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Varbergs BoIS FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.4
11.0
3.5
3.3
3.7
27.1
28.3
26.0
vs Stronger (22)
10.1
10.4
9.8
3.7
3.9
3.5
28.8
29.2
28.4
vs Similar (28)
11.5
10.6
12.3
3.3
2.8
3.9
25.3
27.2
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
60%
59%
46%
44%
48%
88%
95%
82%
% under line
40%
40%
41%
54%
56%
52%
12%
5%
18%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.4
Helsingborg
11.1
Orgryte IS
11.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.8
Degerfors IF
10.7
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.7
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Orebro SK
10.5
Trelleborg
10.4
Ostersunds FK
10.4
Osters IF
10.3
Utsikten
10.2
Gefle IF
10.0
IK brage
9.8
Oddevold
9.2
Sandviken
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.7
Orgryte IS
4.5
Ostersunds FK
4.5
Helsingborg
4.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.2
Gefle IF
4.1
Trelleborg
4.1
Orebro SK
4.1
Sandviken
4.0
Degerfors IF
3.9
Skövde AIK
3.9
IK brage
3.6
Oddevold
3.2
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.5
Gefle IF
26.9
Skövde AIK
26.4
Ostersunds FK
26.1
Trelleborg
25.9
Osters IF
25.5
Helsingborg
25.0
Orgryte IS
24.8
Sandviken
24.8
IK brage
24.7
Landskrona BoIS
24.5
Orebro SK
24.3
Degerfors IF
23.7
GIF Sundsvall
21.0
Oddevold
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
69.8%
Under 9.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.4%
Under 3.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.6%
Under 21.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Helsingborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.67
0.40
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.39
0.67
0.40
0.31
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Varbergs BoIS FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.53
0.93
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.09
1.27
0.00
0.60
0.17
1.83
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.79
0.80
1.10
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Helsingborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.90
0.60
0.73
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.50
-
-
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.79
0.60
0.73
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Varbergs BoIS FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.10
0.73
0.93
0.60
1.27
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.36
0.40
1.20
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.95
0.90
0.80
0.78
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Helsingborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taylor Silverholt29%
Amar Muhsin25%
Wilhelm Loeper23%
Adrian Svanback15%
Ervin Gigović9%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn9%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Daniel Bergman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn45%
Jon Birkfeldt33%
Sumar Almadjed33%
Daniel Bergman29%
Amar Muhsin25%
Wilhelm Loeper15%
Wilhelm Nilsson14%
Thomas Rogne12%
Arian Kabashi12%
Adam Hellborg10%
Ervin Gigović9%
William Westerlund9%
Lukas Kjellnas8%
Adrian Svanback8%
Kalle Joelsson7%
Dennis Olsson7%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Benjamin Acquah7%
Taylor Silverholt0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jon Birkfeldt17%
Adrian Svanback15%
Ervin Gigović9%
Dennis Olsson7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Taylor Silverholt0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Wilhelm Loeper0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn0%
Daniel Bergman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrian Svanback15%
Taylor Silverholt14%
Wilhelm Loeper8%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen7%
Thomas Rogne0%
Arian Kabashi0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Adam Hellborg0%
Kalle Joelsson0%
Sumar Almadjed0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Chisomnazu Chika Chidi0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Ervin Gigović0%
Benjamin Acquah0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Johannes Robert Benjamin Örn0%
Daniel Bergman0%
Varbergs BoIS FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonas Alexander Johansson50%
Isak Bjerkebo33%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko29%
Aulon Bitiqi27%
Olle Edlund17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Gustav Broman14%
Leo Frigell Jansson12%
Marc Tokich0%
Diego Montiel0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Robin Tranberg0%
Oskar Sverrisson0%
David Olsson0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gustav Broman43%
Hampus Zackrisson33%
Diego Alfonsi33%
Robin Tranberg30%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko29%
David Olsson25%
Oskar Sverrisson20%
Oliver Alfonsi20%
Diego Montiel17%
Olle Edlund17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Liam Olausson17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Marc Tokich14%
Leo Frigell Jansson12%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf12%
Niklas Dahlström10%
Aulon Bitiqi9%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Jonas Alexander Johansson0%
Emil Hellman0%
Isak Bjerkebo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Montiel33%
Erion Sadiku33%
Anton Kurochkin33%
Isak Bjerkebo25%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf12%
Robin Tranberg10%
Oskar Sverrisson10%
Marc Tokich0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Olle Edlund0%
Jonas Alexander Johansson0%
David Olsson0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Leo Frigell Jansson0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonas Alexander Johansson17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Isak Bjerkebo17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Marc Tokich14%
Robin Tranberg10%
Diego Montiel0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Olle Edlund0%
Oskar Sverrisson0%
David Olsson0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Leo Frigell Jansson0%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
DI (23)
€6m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
Helsingborg and Varbergs BoIS FC have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
DI (5)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
Helsingborg and Varbergs BoIS FC have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (7)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
Helsingborg and Varbergs BoIS FC have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
OS (12)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
Helsingborg and Varbergs BoIS FC have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →