Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Result & Analysis

Hibernian are the clear favourites, with a 57% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 18% for a Kilmarnock victory. The model expects 2.8 goals overall, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 25% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 11.9% chance. Hibs have been productive at home against weaker opposition, averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Kilmarnock, on the road against stronger teams, have struggled, netting only 0.4 goals and conceding 2.0. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 81.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 78.2%, Over 1.5 at 77.2% (miss), Under 25.5 fouls at 74.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 72.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 71.5% (miss) and Under 3.5 at 70.2%. Hibernian’s recent win over Dundee and Kilmarnock’s heavy defeat to Dundee Utd set the stage for a likely Hibs triumph.

Hibernian’s win extended their recent run, finishing the match 1-0 to secure the predicted home victory. The model had named a home win as the favourite with a 57% probability, and that call proved correct. The suggested picks were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 81.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 78.2%, Under 25.5 fouls at 74.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 72.5% and Under 3.5 at 70.2%. The only misses were Over 1.5 at 77.2% and Under 5.5 cards at 71.5%. The match confirmed the model’s overall assessment, with the favoured result and most selections coming through.