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Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Result & Analysis

Date: 04/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Hibernian
Hibernian
Vs
73%
17%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Hibernian enter the fixture on a high note, having won their last match 2-1 against Dundee, and the model reflects that momentum with a 73% chance of a home victory, 17% for a draw and 10% for a Kilmarnock win. The favourite result is a home win, the model’s pick, driven by Hibernian’s dominant home form - they average two goals scored and none conceded against weaker opposition - while Kilmarnock, playing away against a stronger side, manage only 0.75 goals for and concede 3.25. The expected total goals sit at 3.4, with the most likely total of three goals carrying a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, a 10.8% chance, distinct from the total-goals figure. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 85.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 78.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.0%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 74.7%, and Home win at 72.7% with an 11% edge.

Results analysis

Hibernian’s recent form, highlighted by a win over Dundee, set the stage for a home triumph that the model predicted correctly. The match finished 3-0, confirming the favoured home win and the most likely 3-goal outcome. The model’s 73% probability for a Hibernian victory proved accurate, and its 72.7% edge on the home win pick was realised. Every suggested selection hit: Over 1.5 goals at 85.8% came through, Over 2.5 cards at 78.2% were achieved, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.0% were met, Under 5.5 cards at 76.3% held, Over 8.5 corners at 74.7% were recorded, and the Home win pick at 72.7% was correct. The predictions aligned closely with the final outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hibernian win✓ Hit
72.7%
Avg Implied 61.8% · @ 1.50
Edge
+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.4%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.24
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock win✗ Miss
9.9%
Avg Implied 16.3% · @ 5.69
Edge
-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L14L00D32W01L20W21W33D00D00DA·DUN17/01A·FAL24/01H·RAN01/02H·DUN04/02A·HEA10/02H·ST 14/02A·CEL22/02A·DUN28/02H·LIV14/03A·MOT21/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.131.850.851.121.35
vs Stronger (7)0.431.000.331.000.501.00
vs Similar (14)1.501.432.501.330.751.50
vs Weaker (9)2.110.782.000.002.201.40
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L04L30W15L43W23L11D15L10W20WH·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02H·ST 11/02H·CEL15/02A·DUN21/02A·FAL28/02H·HEA14/03H·LIV21/03
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.001.311.690.932.36
vs Stronger (10)0.802.700.832.330.753.25
vs Similar (20)1.301.651.601.301.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.59+7.2%
Under 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.23-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-0 ✓
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
4.9%
Hibernian goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
01234
04.2%2.2%1.3%0.4%0.1%
17.9%8.1%3.2%0.9%0.2%
211%9.3%4.0%1.1%0.2%
39.1%7.8%3.4%1.0%0.2%
45.7%4.9%2.1%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hibernian goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Hibernian is 0.45 points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Hibernian is 0.21 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Hibernian is 0.63 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Hibernian is 4.3 percentage points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average possession (47% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

HibernianHibernian

For 5.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

170421266111688446984744612121214121017118A·MOTH·LIVA·DUNA·CELH·ST A·HEAH·DUNH·RANA·FALH·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

70432141133323222257354332547A·MOTH·LIVA·DUNA·CELH·ST A·HEAH·DUNH·RANA·FALH·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.9 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

28097679878101618108111351414131316131715262819182826A·MOTH·LIVA·DUNA·CELH·ST A·HEAH·DUNH·RANA·FALH·MOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KilmarnockKilmarnock

For 3.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1303429233667941107312577115913131110312H·LIVH·HEAA·FALA·DUNH·CELH·ST A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

702222341131331343142455444735H·LIVH·HEAA·FALA·DUNH·CELH·ST A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

32014713141599978101971016101814161221272418152917263228H·LIVH·HEAA·FALA·DUNH·CELH·ST A·RANH·ABEA·MOTA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HibernianHibernian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.49.84.13.94.222.322.422.2
vs Stronger (15)10.812.29.63.94.73.321.323.519.6
vs Similar (18)9.810.19.64.54.24.723.123.123.1
vs Weaker (17)11.412.410.33.82.94.721.821.022.7
% over line64%70%59%58%45%68%55%55%55%
% under line36%30%41%42%55%32%45%45%45%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.310.43.94.23.524.024.823.2
vs Stronger (15)10.59.911.33.74.32.821.723.419.2
vs Similar (35)9.58.910.13.94.13.725.225.624.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%39%67%54%61%45%64%70%57%
% under line48%61%33%46%39%55%36%30%43%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.1
ST Mirren
11.0
Rangers
10.8
Hibernian
10.6
Dundee Utd
10.6
Aberdeen
10.5
Falkirk
10.3
Partick
10.2
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Dundee
10.1
Kilmarnock
9.9
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.8
Dunfermline
9.6
Motherwell
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.8
Motherwell
4.5
Livingston
4.5
Hibernian
4.5
Partick
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.2
Rangers
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.1
Falkirk
4.0
Dunfermline
3.8
Celtic
3.7
ST Mirren
3.6
Dundee
3.5
Arbroath
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Livingston
25.7
Motherwell
25.6
Rangers
25.2
Aberdeen
24.7
Falkirk
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.5
Heart Of Midlothian
23.3
Hibernian
22.1
Dundee Utd
21.7
ST Mirren
21.7
Dundee
21.6
Dunfermline
21.3
Celtic
21.1
Arbroath
20.6
Partick
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.5%
Under 9.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.4%
Under 3.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.1%
Under 21.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HibernianHibernian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D10W00D10W11D11D00D00DA·DUN17/01A·FAL24/01H·RAN01/02H·DUN04/02A·HEA10/02H·ST 14/02A·CEL22/02A·DUN28/02H·LIV14/03A·MOT21/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.690.380.530.71
vs Stronger (7)0.141.000.001.000.251.00
vs Similar (14)0.710.571.000.330.500.75
vs Weaker (9)0.780.220.750.000.800.40
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L20W01L21W20W00D13L10W10WH·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02H·ST 11/02H·CEL15/02A·DUN21/02A·FAL28/02H·HEA14/03H·LIV21/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.810.500.430.93
vs Stronger (10)0.400.600.500.500.250.75
vs Similar (20)0.750.751.000.500.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HibernianHibernian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D22D01L10W10W22D00D00DA·DUN17/01A·FAL24/01H·RAN01/02H·DUN04/02A·HEA10/02H·ST 14/02A·CEL22/02A·DUN28/02H·LIV14/03A·MOT21/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.571.150.460.590.65
vs Stronger (7)0.290.000.330.000.250.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.861.501.000.250.75
vs Weaker (9)1.330.561.250.001.401.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L10W14L22D03L11D02L00D10WH·DUN17/01A·MOT24/01H·ABE31/01A·RAN04/02H·ST 11/02H·CEL15/02A·DUN21/02A·FAL28/02H·HEA14/03H·LIV21/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.300.501.190.501.43
vs Stronger (10)0.402.100.331.830.502.50
vs Similar (20)0.550.900.600.800.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.7%-------✓ Hit
Home win72.7%1.50-----+10.9%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Hibernian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Šuto29%
Kieron Bowie25%
Martin Boyle24%
Owen Elding23%
Jamie McGrath22%
Thody Elie Youan17%
Felix Passlack15%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga14%
Thibault Klidje14%
Junior Hoilett12%
Kai Andrews9%
Josh Mulligan8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Joe Newell7%
Josh Campbell7%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa7%
Christopher Cadden5%
Jordan Obita4%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Jordan Smith0%
Grant Hanley0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Nicky Cadden0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Mulligan31%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa30%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga25%
Jordan Obita25%
Josh Campbell18%
Jamie McGrath17%
Felix Passlack15%
Dane Scarlett15%
Joe Newell14%
Daniel Barlaser14%
Ante Šuto14%
Jack Iredale14%
Kieron Bowie12%
Thody Elie Youan11%
Warren O'Hora10%
Kai Andrews9%
Grant Hanley8%
Martin Boyle8%
Kanayochukwu Megwa8%
Owen Elding8%
Nicky Cadden7%
Dylan Levitt7%
Junior Hoilett6%
Raphael Sallinger6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Jordan Smith0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Felix Passlack23%
Nicky Cadden22%
Josh Mulligan19%
Jordan Obita18%
Kieron Bowie12%
Jamie McGrath11%
Josh Campbell11%
Kai Andrews9%
Daniel Barlaser9%
Martin Boyle8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Ante Šuto7%
Junior Hoilett6%
Thody Elie Youan6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga4%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Jordan Smith0%
Grant Hanley0%
Joe Newell0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Owen Elding0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kieron Bowie38%
Owen Elding23%
Thody Elie Youan22%
Martin Boyle13%
Josh Mulligan12%
Jamie McGrath11%
Felix Passlack8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Junior Hoilett6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Grant Hanley4%
Nicky Cadden4%
Jordan Obita4%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga0%
Jordan Smith0%
Joe Newell0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Josh Campbell0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Ante Šuto0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Kai Andrews0%
Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joe Hugill40%
Tyreece John-Jules33%
Djenairo Daniels29%
Findlay Curtis29%
Nicky Cleșcenco20%
Greg Kiltie12%
Bruce Anderson11%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen11%
George Stanger10%
David Watson9%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marcus Dackers8%
Marley Watkins7%
Ben Brannan6%
Robbie Deas6%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Kyle Magennis0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyle Magennis33%
Robbie Deas33%
George Stanger30%
Bradley Lyons29%
Djenairo Daniels29%
David Watson24%
Aaron Tshibola21%
Joe Hugill20%
Jamie Brandon17%
Marcus Dackers17%
Dominic Thompson16%
Tom Lowery14%
James Brown13%
Jack Thomson12%
Lewis Mayo12%
Greg Kiltie12%
Ben Brannan12%
Liam Polworth10%
Bruce Anderson9%
Findlay Curtis7%
Tyreece John-Jules6%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen6%
Ethan Brown6%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Greg Kiltie21%
James Brown13%
Joe Hugill13%
Tyreece John-Jules11%
Scott Tiffoney8%
Marley Watkins7%
Findlay Curtis7%
Bruce Anderson6%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen6%
Robbie Deas6%
Dominic Thompson5%
Tom Lowery5%
Liam Polworth3%
Bradley Lyons3%
David Watson3%
Kelle Roos0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
George Stanger0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Djenairo Daniels0%
Marcus Dackers0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Findlay Curtis43%
Tyreece John-Jules22%
Joe Hugill20%
Djenairo Daniels14%
Marcus Dackers12%
David Watson6%
Bruce Anderson6%
Greg Kiltie3%
Tom Lowery0%
Kelle Roos0%
Marley Watkins0%
Max Stryjek0%
Aaron Tshibola0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Jamie Brandon0%
Scott Tiffoney0%
George Stanger0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Michael Schjønning-Larsen0%
James Brown0%
Jack Thomson0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Robbie Deas0%
Nicky Cleșcenco0%
Eddie Beach0%
Zac Williams0%
Toby Oluwayemi0%
Ethan Brown0%
Ben Brannan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Hibernian's squad is €13m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€20m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Hibernian's attack is €5m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€7m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Hibernian's midfield is €6m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€8m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Hibernian's defence is €2m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€5m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
HIB wins
5
Draws
0
KIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock · H/A from HIB
DateH/AGameScore
03/01/26AKilmarnock Vs HIB1-3
10/08/25HHIB Vs Kilmarnock2-2
15/03/25AKilmarnock Vs HIB1-1
29/12/24HHIB Vs Kilmarnock1-0
01/09/24AKilmarnock Vs HIB1-1
27/01/24AKilmarnock Vs HIB2-2
11/11/23HHIB Vs Kilmarnock1-0
16/09/23AKilmarnock Vs HIB2-2

HibernianHibernian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26AMotherwell Vs HIB0-0
14/03/26HHIB Vs Livingston0-0
28/02/26ADundee Vs HIB3-3
22/02/26ACeltic Vs HIB1-2
14/02/26HHIB Vs ST Mirren2-0
10/02/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs HIB1-0
04/02/26HHIB Vs Dundee Utd3-2
01/02/26HHIB Vs Rangers0-0
24/01/26AFalkirk Vs HIB4-1
17/01/26ADunfermline Vs HIB1-0

KilmarnockKilmarnock

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26HKIL Vs Livingston2-0
14/03/26HKIL Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-0
28/02/26AFalkirk Vs KIL5-1
21/02/26ADundee Utd Vs KIL1-1
15/02/26HKIL Vs Celtic2-3
11/02/26HKIL Vs ST Mirren4-3
04/02/26ARangers Vs KIL5-1
31/01/26HKIL Vs Aberdeen3-0
24/01/26AMotherwell Vs KIL4-0
17/01/26HKIL Vs Dundee1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hibernian
Hibernian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDD1.48
HomeDDWWD1.73
AwayLLWDD1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%45%32%
AVG goals2.682.862.54
Over 1.5 %78%82%75%
Over 2.5 %50%59%43%
Over 3.5 %34%41%29%
Scored1.521.861.25
Conceded1.161.001.29
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet32%45%21%
Corners10.6011.459.82
Cards4.434.054.76
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.08
HomeWWLWW1.46
AwayDLLDL0.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%43%9%
AVG goals3.022.933.14
Over 1.5 %80%79%82%
Over 2.5 %58%57%59%
Over 3.5 %40%36%45%
Scored1.241.540.86
Conceded1.781.392.27
BTTS54%50%59%
Clean Sheet26%32%18%
Corners9.849.3010.43
Cards4.204.503.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches