This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.43
1.44
1.56
1.07
1.29
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.75
0.50
4.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.17
1.62
1.00
1.09
1.36
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.1%
Under 1.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.4%
@ 1.93-7.7%
Under 2.5
58.6%
@ 1.86+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 â
14.4%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
Hibernian goals ↓
Motherwell goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.0%
5.5%
2.0%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.3%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hibernian goals (down), columns = Motherwell goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.61
Livingston
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Hibernian
1.18
ST Mirren
1.16
Aberdeen
1.08
Ross County
1.08
ST Johnstone
0.92
Dundee
0.76
Hibernian is 0.03 points worse than Motherwell in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.21).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
2.11
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Ross County
1.24
Motherwell
1.11
Aberdeen
1.08
Livingston
1.08
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee Utd
0.97
Dundee
0.89
ST Mirren
0.87
ST Johnstone
0.63
Hibernian is 0.11 goals worse than Motherwell in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.11).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.58
Rangers
0.82
Hibernian
1.11
Dundee Utd
1.16
Heart Of Midlothian
1.16
Aberdeen
1.21
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.34
ST Johnstone
1.34
Motherwell
1.61
Ross County
1.61
Dundee
1.68
Hibernian is 0.50 goals better than Motherwell in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.61).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Hibernian
For 5.6 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Motherwell
For 4.7 · Against 6.9 · Total 11.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 15.1 · Total 31.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hibernian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.7
9.5
3.3
2.9
3.8
25.3
24.6
25.9
vs Stronger (11)
10.9
10.2
11.8
3.5
3.5
3.4
24.6
25.3
23.8
vs Similar (14)
10.4
12.2
9.0
3.1
2.0
3.9
26.6
26.2
26.9
vs Weaker (25)
9.6
10.3
8.9
3.4
3.0
3.9
24.8
23.6
26.2
% over line
54%
64%
44%
36%
24%
48%
78%
76%
80%
% under line
46%
36%
56%
64%
76%
52%
22%
24%
20%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.7
11.1
3.8
3.8
3.7
26.0
26.2
25.7
vs Stronger (9)
12.1
11.8
12.5
2.7
2.4
3.0
21.8
21.6
22.0
vs Similar (37)
9.9
8.6
11.2
4.1
4.1
4.0
26.8
27.0
26.6
vs Weaker (4)
11.2
15.0
7.5
3.8
5.0
2.5
27.8
30.0
25.5
% over line
60%
54%
67%
54%
54%
54%
78%
81%
75%
% under line
40%
46%
33%
46%
46%
46%
22%
19%
25%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
10.9
Heart Of Midlothian
10.8
Dundee
10.7
Rangers
10.6
Ross County
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.4
Motherwell
10.4
ST Mirren
10.3
Hibernian
10.1
Aberdeen
9.8
ST Johnstone
9.5
Livingston
8.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Motherwell
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.7
ST Johnstone
3.6
Dundee
3.5
Heart Of Midlothian
3.5
Rangers
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Hibernian
3.3
ST Mirren
3.3
Aberdeen
3.3
Livingston
3.3
Celtic
2.6
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
26.7
Motherwell
26.0
Heart Of Midlothian
25.9
ST Johnstone
25.7
Hibernian
25.3
Dundee
25.2
Livingston
25.0
Dundee Utd
24.7
Ross County
24.6
ST Mirren
24.5
Rangers
23.6
Celtic
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
71.7%
Under 9.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.4%
Under 3.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.0%
Under 21.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hibernian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.50
0.53
0.47
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.57
0.25
0.75
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.62
0.33
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (15)
0.53
0.40
0.75
0.25
0.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.75
0.62
0.21
0.86
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.58
0.85
0.31
0.18
0.91
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hibernian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.60
0.47
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.86
0.00
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.38
0.33
1.00
0.60
0.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.69
0.94
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.58
0.77
0.69
0.91
0.45
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 8.5 corners
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 5.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 9.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Hibernian · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Boyle67%
Callum Wright67%
Felix Passlack25%
Jason Kerr25%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Josh Mulligan0%
Jamie McGrath0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Ante Å uto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Felix Passlack25%
Josh Mulligan25%
Ante Å uto25%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa25%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Martin Boyle0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jamie McGrath0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Callum Wright0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jamie McGrath33%
Felix Passlack25%
Josh Mulligan25%
Nathan Lowe25%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Martin Boyle0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Callum Wright0%
Ante Å uto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Adam Mayor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Martin Boyle33%
Jamie McGrath33%
Josh Mulligan25%
Nathan Lowe25%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Felix Passlack0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Callum Wright0%
Ante Å uto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Adam Mayor0%
Motherwell · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Regan Charles-Cook40%
S. Palmer-Houlden25%
I. Said20%
Lukas Fadinger17%
A. Lowry17%
M. Emmanuel17%
Tawanda Maswanhise17%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
A. Paulsen0%
M. Moormann0%
Joe Hodge0%
J. Girdwood-Reich0%
T. Sparrow0%
Dylan Williams0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
Olly Whyte0%
Willy Vogt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Fadinger50%
M. Moormann40%
Stephen O'Donnell33%
Joe Hodge25%
S. Palmer-Houlden25%
T. Sparrow20%
A. Lowry17%
Jamie Knight-Lebel17%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
A. Paulsen0%
M. Emmanuel0%
I. Said0%
J. Girdwood-Reich0%
Tawanda Maswanhise0%
Dylan Williams0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Olly Whyte0%
Willy Vogt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dylan Williams33%
I. Said20%
T. Sparrow20%
A. Lowry17%
M. Emmanuel17%
Tawanda Maswanhise17%
Lukas Fadinger0%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
A. Paulsen0%
M. Moormann0%
Joe Hodge0%
J. Girdwood-Reich0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
S. Palmer-Houlden0%
Olly Whyte0%
Willy Vogt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tawanda Maswanhise50%
A. Lowry33%
M. Emmanuel33%
S. Palmer-Houlden25%
Lukas Fadinger17%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
A. Paulsen0%
M. Moormann0%
Joe Hodge0%
I. Said0%
J. Girdwood-Reich0%
T. Sparrow0%
Dylan Williams0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
Olly Whyte0%
Willy Vogt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
RC (11)
€1m
Hibernian's squad is €4m more valuable than Motherwell's (€20m vs €16m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Hibernian's attack is €2m less valuable than Motherwell's (€7m vs €10m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Hibernian's midfield is €6m more valuable than Motherwell's (€8m vs €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Hibernian and Motherwell have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Rangers
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Dundee Utd
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Dundee