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Hillerød vs Hobro Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 11:00
Final 3-1
Hillerød
Hillerød
Vs
33%
30%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Hillerød and Hobro is razor-thin, with the model favouring an away win. Home victory sits at 33 %, a draw at 30 % and the away side at 37 %. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.2 % chance. Hillerød, playing at home, averages 1.15 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similarly matched opponents, while Hobro on the road nets 1.36 and concedes 1.09. Hobro’s recent three-game winning streak contrasts with Hillerød’s last-five of LDWLW and a 0-1 loss to Vendsyssel FF. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.6 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (96.6 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5 % with a 7 % edge) and Under 5.5 (95.9 % with a 7 % edge).

Results analysis

The upset came early as Hillerød turned a 2-game winning streak into a 3-1 triumph over Hobro, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite, Away win, which had a 37% probability. The model’s call was wrong. The final score of 3-1 gave Hillerød a home win. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.6%), Under 6.5 goals (98.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.4%) and Under 5.5 goals (95.9%). Each probability was expressed as a percentage and every pick was reported once.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hillerød win✓ Hit
33.2%
Avg Implied 36.8% · @ 2.51
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.57
Bet365
2.55
Dafabet
2.55
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.39
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.51
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.45
Dafabet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Hobro win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.56
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.69
Marathonbet
2.61
1xBet
2.61
Dafabet
2.60
BetVictor
2.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 – goals for & against
120-1211D03L21W01L23L120W45L11D01L40WH·ESB16/05A·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.401.141.072.121.69
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (26)1.351.461.151.001.541.92
vs Weaker (3)4.670.67--4.670.67
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D03L10W32W12L21W04L10W21W21WH·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08H·AAL21/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.191.751.710.93
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (23)1.261.301.171.501.361.09
vs Weaker (6)2.171.171.332.003.000.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
@ 1.22-4.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
@ 3.91+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.30
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.1%
@ 1.74-8.7%
Under 2.5
54.9%
@ 2.03+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.75
SBO
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
SBO
2.08
Bet365
2.08
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.8%
@ 2.79-9.4%
Under 3.5
76.2%
@ 1.39+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
BetVictor
2.80
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
@ 1.58-6.6%
No
48.3%
@ 2.21+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Bet365
1.57
No
1xBet
2.26
William Hil
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 6.04+6.9%
0-0
9.7%@ 10.88+5.6%
0-1
9.4%@ 9.02+4.6%
1-0
8.8%@ 8.89+3.8%
1-2
8.2%@ 8.74+3.2%
2-1
7.7%@ 8.57+2.6%
0-2
6.9%@ 12.57+3.4%
2-0
6.0%@ 12.60+2.5%
Hillerød goals ↓
Hobro goals →
01234
09.7%9.4%6.9%2.9%0.9%
18.8%14%8.2%3.5%1.1%
26.0%7.7%4.9%2.1%0.7%
32.4%3.1%2.0%0.8%0.3%
40.7%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hillerød goals (down), columns = Hobro goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Hillerød is 1.33 points worse than Hobro in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Hillerød is 0.17 goals better than Hobro in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Hillerød is 0.67 goals worse than Hobro in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hillerød or Draw✓ Hit
62.9%
Avg Implied 64.0% · @ 1.46
Edge
-1.1%
33%
30%
37%
covers Hillerød + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Unibet
1.44
Hillerød or Hobro✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
-2.7%
33%
30%
37%
covers Hillerød + Hobro
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Hobro✗ Miss
66.8%
Avg Implied 63.0% · @ 1.48
Edge
+3.8%
33%
30%
37%
covers Draw + Hobro
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hillerød over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.9%
@ 1.24-5.0%
Under
30.1%
@ 3.69+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.09
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.74
Hillerød over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.7%
@ 2.20-8.6%
Under
66.3%
@ 1.61+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.21
Bet365
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Hillerød over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.0%
@ 4.81-7.2%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.15+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Hillerød over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 10.60-5.5%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Hobro over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.2%
@ 1.25-2.2%
Under
27.8%
@ 3.62+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.82
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.60
Hobro over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.6%
@ 2.23-5.2%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.60+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Unibet
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Under
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Hobro over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 4.92-5.0%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.15+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Hobro over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 11.00-4.5%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.03+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Hillerød, so a minus line means Hillerød give that many goals of a start and Hobro receive them. At -1, Hillerød must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hillerød win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hillerød)Actual: Draw
Hillerød -2
4.7%
@ 9.74-4.3%
Draw -2
9.8%
@ 6.55-3.7%
Hobro +2
85.5%
@ 1.13+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Superbet
9.90
Marathonbet
6.30
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Hillerød)Actual: Hillerød
Hillerød -1
14.5%
@ 4.80-4.1%
Draw -1
18.7%
@ 4.20-2.6%
Hobro +1
66.8%
@ 1.49+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Handicap +1 (Hillerød)Actual: Hillerød
Hillerød +1
62.9%
@ 1.47+2.0%
Draw +1
20.1%
@ 4.23-1.0%
Hobro -1
17.0%
@ 4.93-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.46
Betfair
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Handicap +2 (Hillerød)Actual: Hillerød
Hillerød +2
83.0%
@ 1.13+5.0%
Draw +2
11.1%
@ 6.69-2.0%
Hobro -2
5.9%
@ 9.99-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.80
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.45

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HillerødHillerød

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D02L20W21W01L01L10WH·ESB16/05A·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.430.430.620.62
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (26)0.500.500.460.380.540.62
vs Weaker (3)1.000.67--1.000.67
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L10W30W12L21W03L00D00D10WH·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08H·AAL21/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.620.880.790.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (23)0.520.700.580.830.450.55
vs Weaker (6)1.500.671.001.002.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.5%
@ 1.33-1.5%
Under 0.5
31.5%
@ 3.10+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.20
BetVictor
3.13
10Bet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
31.4%
@ 2.55-5.0%
Under 1.5
68.6%
@ 1.46+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.62
Pinnacle
2.61
Unibet
2.60
BetVictor
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 6.09-4.7%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.09+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 1.97-3.6%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.76+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Hillerød over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.7%
@ 6.11-3.5%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.10+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.20
Superbet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Hillerød over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 16.58-3.8%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 1.98-4.3%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.74+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
Unibet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 5.95-4.1%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.09+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.70
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 17.25-3.9%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HillerødHillerød

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1011D02L11D01L21W100W24L10W00D30WH·ESB16/05A·KOL25/05H·HVI31/05A·AAL24/07H·ESB01/08A·VAE06/08A·VEJ09/08H·AAR15/08A·VEN20/08A·AVA25/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.870.710.641.501.06
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (26)0.850.960.690.621.001.31
vs Weaker (3)3.670.00--3.670.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L00D02L00D00D01L10W21W11DH·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07A·VEN02/08H·VEN05/08H·AB 08/08A·ESB15/08H·AAL21/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.560.880.930.43
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (23)0.740.610.580.670.910.55
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.331.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.1%
@ 1.19-1.7%
Under 0.5
23.9%
@ 4.18+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.0%
@ 1.94-6.0%
Under 1.5
58.0%
@ 1.78+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.7%
@ 3.88-7.2%
Under 2.5
83.3%
@ 1.22+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
William Hil
3.90
Marathonbet
3.85
1xBet
3.85
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.6%
@ 1.68-5.5%
Under
50.4%
@ 2.06+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Hillerød over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 4.31-4.1%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.18+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.40
1xBet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Hillerød over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 11.42-4.7%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.2%
@ 1.68-5.8%
Under
50.8%
@ 2.06+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 4.40-5.4%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.18+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.30
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 11.17-5.4%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.6%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+3.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.3%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+3.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+3.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.0%1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
--+5.4%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.6%1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+5.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.4%1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
--+4.7%✓ Hit
Under 5.595.9%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+5.6%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.9%1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-+4.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.5%1.09
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+4.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.589.4%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+7.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.6%1.09
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+4.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.3%1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
+3.5%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals88.0%1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+7.2%✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals86.1%1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
+5.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap85.5%1.13
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+8.0%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.3%1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+5.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals83.3%1.22
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19
+7.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap83.0%1.13
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
+5.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.6%1.18
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+4.1%✓ Hit
Under 3.576.2%1.39
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
+9.4%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals76.1%1.19
Betano
1.21
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
-1.7%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals72.2%1.25
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-2.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.22
-4.1%✓ Hit
Home or Away70.3%1.28
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
-2.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Hillerød's squad is €3m less valuable than Hobro's (€4m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Hillerød and Hobro have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Hillerød and Hobro have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Hillerød's defence is €1m less valuable than Hobro's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
HIL wins
4
Draws
2
HOB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hillerød vs Hobro · H/A from HIL
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25AHobro Vs HIL1-2
16/08/25HHIL Vs Hobro0-2
02/05/25AHobro Vs HIL0-0
04/04/25HHIL Vs Hobro2-0
11/11/24AHobro Vs HIL2-2
21/07/24HHIL Vs Hobro2-2
13/11/23AHobro Vs HIL0-0
04/08/23HHIL Vs Hobro0-1

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/26AAvarta Vs HIL0-4
20/08/26AVendsyssel FF Vs HIL1-0
15/08/26HHIL Vs Aarhus Fremad1-1
09/08/26AVejle Vs HIL5-4
06/08/26AVaeggerlose Vs HIL0-12
01/08/26HHIL Vs Esbjerg2-3
24/07/26AAalborg Vs HIL1-0
31/05/26HHIL Vs Hvidovre2-1
25/05/26AKolding IF Vs HIL3-0
16/05/26HHIL Vs Esbjerg1-1

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HHOB Vs Aalborg2-1
15/08/26AEsbjerg Vs HOB1-2
08/08/26HHOB Vs AB Copenhagen1-0
05/08/26HHOB Vs Vendsyssel FF0-4
02/08/26AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB1-2
26/07/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad1-2
30/05/26HHOB Vs Middelfart3-2
24/05/26AHB Koge Vs HOB0-1
14/05/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad0-3
08/05/26HHOB Vs B 933-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.58
HomeWDWLD1.83
AwayLWLLW1.37
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%37%
AVG goals3.242.963.48
Over 1.5 %80%83%78%
Over 2.5 %62%57%67%
Over 3.5 %38%30%44%
Scored1.881.831.93
Conceded1.361.131.56
BTTS60%65%56%
Clean Sheet26%26%26%
Corners---
Cards---
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.50
HomeWLLWW1.20
AwayWDWWW1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%32%52%
AVG goals2.702.682.72
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.321.121.52
Conceded1.381.561.20
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches