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Hillerød vs Hvidovre Result & Analysis

Date: 31/05/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Hillerød
Hillerød
Vs
38%
31%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hvidovre
Hvidovre
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Hillerød and Hvidovre is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home advantage is modest, with Hillerød averaging 1.23 goals scored and 0.85 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Hvidovre, on the road, averages 1.36 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a compact game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.6 % probability. Probabilities for the match result are 38 % for a home win, 31 % for a draw, and 30 % for an away win. The model’s selection includes an Under 3.5 with an 80.5 % chance. Recent form offers no clear edge: Hillerød come off a loss, Hvidovre a draw. All figures are presented as percentages, and every selection is named with its probability.

Results analysis

Hillerød’s recent form, a mixed sequence of losses and wins, ended on a defeat that left them eager for a turnaround, while Hvidovre’s five-match run of draws and victories had them looking to extend a positive streak. The model’s favourite, a home win, was backed with a 38 % probability and proved correct as Hillerød edged Hvidovre 2-1. The predicted total of 2.3 goals materialised in a 2-goal finish, the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 14.6 %. The model’s sole selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 80.5 % probability, confirming the overall accuracy of the predictions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hillerød win✓ Hit
38.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D00D00D13L20W21W04L11D03LH·AAR21/03A·HVI03/04H·AC 11/04A·ESB17/04H·LYN21/04H·KOL25/04A·LYN03/05A·AC 09/05H·ESB16/05A·KOL25/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.401.210.931.311.81
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (28)1.251.391.230.851.271.87
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HvidovreHvidovre

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W11D01L12L21W11D11D02L11D14LA·AC 21/03H·HIL03/04A·ESB10/04A·LYN18/04H·KOL21/04H·AC 25/04A·KOL03/05H·LYN09/05A·AC 16/05H·ESB25/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.231.471.531.400.93
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (27)1.411.191.461.461.360.93
vs Weaker (2)2.001.502.002.002.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.6%
Under 2.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
9.6%
2-1 ✓
8.0%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.8%
Hillerød goals ↓
Hvidovre goals →
01234
012%9.6%5.8%2.0%0.5%
111%15%7.0%2.5%0.6%
27.6%8.0%4.2%1.5%0.4%
33.1%3.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%
40.9%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hillerød goals (down), columns = Hvidovre goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
Hillerød is 0.12 points better than Hvidovre in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
HB Koge
1.31
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
Hillerød is 0.03 goals worse than Hvidovre in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
Hillerød is 0.12 goals worse than Hvidovre in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HillerødHillerød

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D00D10W11D01L00D01LH·AAR21/03A·HVI03/04H·AC 11/04A·ESB17/04H·LYN21/04H·KOL25/04A·LYN03/05A·AC 09/05H·ESB16/05A·KOL25/05
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.710.290.440.88
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (28)0.570.570.770.230.400.87
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HvidovreHvidovre

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D10W21W10W01L00D10W01LA·AC 21/03H·HIL03/04A·ESB10/04A·LYN18/04H·KOL21/04H·AC 25/04A·KOL03/05H·LYN09/05A·AC 16/05H·ESB25/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.870.600.600.40
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (27)0.780.410.920.460.640.36
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HillerødHillerød

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D00D13L10W10W03L11D02LH·AAR21/03A·HVI03/04H·AC 11/04A·ESB17/04H·LYN21/04H·KOL25/04A·LYN03/05A·AC 09/05H·ESB16/05A·KOL25/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.500.640.880.94
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (28)0.680.820.460.620.871.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HvidovreHvidovre

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D01L02L00D01L10W02L01L13LA·AC 21/03H·HIL03/04A·ESB10/04A·LYN18/04H·KOL21/04H·AC 25/04A·KOL03/05H·LYN09/05A·AC 16/05H·ESB25/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.600.930.800.53
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (27)0.630.780.541.000.710.57
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
HIL wins
4
Draws
2
HVI wins

Head-to-head

Hillerød vs Hvidovre · H/A from HIL
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/26AHvidovre Vs HIL1-1
18/10/25HHIL Vs Hvidovre1-1
20/09/25AHvidovre Vs HIL3-1
01/11/24HHIL Vs Hvidovre1-0
20/08/24AHvidovre Vs HIL0-0
25/02/23HHIL Vs Hvidovre1-1
05/08/22AHvidovre Vs HIL3-1

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26AKolding IF Vs HIL3-0
16/05/26HHIL Vs Esbjerg1-1
09/05/26AAC Horsens Vs HIL4-0
03/05/26ALyngby Vs HIL1-2
25/04/26HHIL Vs Kolding IF2-0
21/04/26HHIL Vs Lyngby1-3
17/04/26AEsbjerg Vs HIL0-0
11/04/26HHIL Vs AC Horsens0-0
03/04/26AHvidovre Vs HIL1-1
21/03/26HHIL Vs Aarhus Fremad1-0

HvidovreHvidovre

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26HHVI Vs Esbjerg1-4
16/05/26AAC Horsens Vs HVI1-1
09/05/26HHVI Vs Lyngby0-2
03/05/26AKolding IF Vs HVI1-1
25/04/26HHVI Vs AC Horsens1-1
21/04/26HHVI Vs Kolding IF2-1
18/04/26ALyngby Vs HVI2-1
10/04/26AEsbjerg Vs HVI1-0
03/04/26HHVI Vs Hillerød1-1
21/03/26AAC Horsens Vs HVI0-4

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.68
HomeWDLWD1.79
AwayDDWLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%42%
AVG goals2.902.793.00
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %58%50%65%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.661.751.58
Conceded1.241.041.42
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Hvidovre
Hvidovre
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL1.48
HomeDWDLL1.44
AwayWLLDD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%43%
AVG goals2.542.482.61
Over 1.5 %74%74%74%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %28%30%26%
Scored1.281.261.30
Conceded1.261.221.30
BTTS58%59%57%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LyngbyLyngby3260
56%
1.9
6936+33
3.3
91%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3552.21.1
-
2AC HorsensAC Horsens3254
47%
1.7
4227+15
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.30.8
-
3EsbjergEsbjerg3252
47%
1.6
4543+2
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
4HillerødHillerød3250
41%
1.6
4243-1
2.7
81%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
5HvidovreHvidovre3246
34%
1.4
4339+4
2.6
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
6AalborgAalborg3246
38%
1.4
5047+3
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
7Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad3244
34%
1.4
5237+15
2.8
72%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
8HobroHobro3242
34%
1.3
4043-3
2.6
72%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
9HB KogeHB Koge3240
34%
1.2
4248-6
2.8
81%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF3238
31%
1.2
3740-3
2.4
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
11B 93B 933237
31%
1.2
4458-14
3.2
81%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
12MiddelfartMiddelfart3215
9%
0.5
3277-45
3.4
78%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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