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Hillerød vs Kolding IF Result & Analysis

Date: 01/11/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Hillerød
Hillerød
Vs
47%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hillerød win✗ Miss
46.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D32W30W13L12L21W21W11D21WH·HB 23/08A·KOL29/08A·BSI02/09H·ESB14/09A·HVI20/09H·AAR24/09H·AC 27/09A·MID04/10H·HVI18/10A·HOB25/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.132.361.141.621.12
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (24)1.921.212.451.091.461.31
vs Weaker (5)2.400.602.501.002.330.33
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W01L01L02L22D21W12L10WA·B 923/08H·HIL29/08A·SKI02/09H·HVI13/09A·MID20/09H·FC 25/09A·HOB28/09H·ESB04/10A·HB 17/10H·MID24/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.101.270.931.671.27
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (26)1.501.151.380.921.621.38
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.000.002.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
Hillerød goals ↓
Kolding IF goals →
01234
07.2%6.0%4.2%1.6%0.5%
18.7%13%6.8%2.7%0.8%
28.1%9.4%5.5%2.2%0.6%
34.4%5.1%3.0%1.2%0.3%
41.8%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hillerød goals (down), columns = Kolding IF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
Hillerød is 0.38 points better than Kolding IF in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
HB Koge
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
Hillerød is 0.16 goals better than Kolding IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
Hillerød is 0.09 goals worse than Kolding IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HillerødHillerød

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D11D20W02L01L10W11D11D21WH·HB 23/08A·KOL29/08A·BSI02/09H·ESB14/09A·HVI20/09H·AAR24/09H·AC 27/09A·MID04/10H·HVI18/10A·HOB25/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.731.140.790.750.69
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (24)1.040.751.360.730.770.77
vs Weaker (5)0.600.600.501.000.670.33
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolding IFKolding IF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D10W01L00D00D01L10W01L00DA·B 923/08H·HIL29/08A·SKI02/09H·HVI13/09A·MID20/09H·FC 25/09A·HOB28/09H·ESB04/10A·HB 17/10H·MID24/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.300.530.270.730.33
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (26)0.650.350.620.310.690.38
vs Weaker (3)0.670.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HillerødHillerød

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W10W11D11D11D10W00D00DH·HB 23/08A·KOL29/08A·BSI02/09H·ESB14/09A·HVI20/09H·AAR24/09H·AC 27/09A·MID04/10H·HVI18/10A·HOB25/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.401.210.360.880.44
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (24)0.880.461.090.360.690.54
vs Weaker (5)1.800.002.000.001.670.00
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolding IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolding IFKolding IF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D01L02L21W11D11D10WA·B 923/08H·HIL29/08A·SKI02/09H·HVI13/09A·MID20/09H·FC 25/09A·HOB28/09H·ESB04/10A·HB 17/10H·MID24/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.730.670.930.93
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (26)0.850.810.770.620.921.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolding IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
Hillerød's squad is €2m less valuable than Kolding IF's (€4m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
Hillerød and Kolding IF have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
Hillerød and Kolding IF have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
Hillerød and Kolding IF have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
HIL wins
1
Draws
4
KI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hillerød vs Kolding IF · H/A from HIL
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25AKolding IF Vs HIL0-0
18/10/24AKolding IF Vs HIL3-1
30/08/24HHIL Vs Kolding IF0-3
25/11/23HHIL Vs Kolding IF1-3
29/07/23AKolding IF Vs HIL2-1

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25AHobro Vs HIL1-2
18/10/25HHIL Vs Hvidovre1-1
04/10/25AMiddelfart Vs HIL1-2
27/09/25HHIL Vs AC Horsens2-1
24/09/25HHIL Vs Aarhus1-2
20/09/25AHvidovre Vs HIL3-1
14/09/25HHIL Vs Esbjerg3-0
02/09/25ABSI Vs HIL2-3
29/08/25AKolding IF Vs HIL0-0
23/08/25HHIL Vs HB Koge3-1

Kolding IFKolding IF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/25HKI Vs Middelfart1-0
17/10/25AHB Koge Vs KI2-1
04/10/25HKI Vs Esbjerg2-1
28/09/25AHobro Vs KI2-2
25/09/25HKI Vs FC Nordsjaelland0-2
20/09/25AMiddelfart Vs KI1-0
13/09/25HKI Vs Hvidovre0-1
02/09/25ASkive Vs KI0-2
29/08/25HKI Vs Hillerød0-0
23/08/25AB 93 Vs KI0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.80
HomeWWLWD1.83
AwayDWLWW1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%54%50%
AVG goals3.003.332.69
Over 1.5 %84%96%73%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.801.961.65
Conceded1.201.381.04
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet32%25%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Kolding IF
Kolding IF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.58
HomeDLLWW1.39
AwayWWLDL1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%39%52%
AVG goals2.302.262.33
Over 1.5 %62%65%59%
Over 2.5 %42%48%37%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored1.321.171.44
Conceded0.981.090.89
BTTS44%52%37%
Clean Sheet40%35%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LyngbyLyngby3260
56%
1.9
6936+33
3.3
91%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3552.21.1
-
2AC HorsensAC Horsens3254
47%
1.7
4227+15
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.30.8
-
3EsbjergEsbjerg3252
47%
1.6
4543+2
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.41.3
-
4HillerødHillerød3250
41%
1.6
4243-1
2.7
81%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
5HvidovreHvidovre3246
34%
1.4
4339+4
2.6
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
6AalborgAalborg3246
38%
1.4
5047+3
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2261.61.5
-
7Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad3244
34%
1.4
5237+15
2.8
72%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.2
-
8HobroHobro3242
34%
1.3
4043-3
2.6
72%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.3
-
9HB KogeHB Koge3240
34%
1.2
4248-6
2.8
81%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.31.5
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF3238
31%
1.2
3740-3
2.4
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.21.2
-
11B 93B 933237
31%
1.2
4458-14
3.2
81%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
12MiddelfartMiddelfart3215
9%
0.5
3277-45
3.4
78%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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