The contest between HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku is finely balanced, with the model favouring an Inter Turku win. The odds are 34% for HJK, 27% for a draw and 40% for Inter Turku, making the away victory the most likely outcome. The expected total is three goals, yet the most probable aggregate is two, with a 12.5% chance of a 1-1 scoreline. HJK, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.86 conceded, while Inter Turku, on the road, averages 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (96.9% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.0% with a 5% edge), Under 25.5 fouls (95.6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.5% with a 5% edge) and Under 5.5 cards (95.4%). Both teams have come off recent victories, HJK beating Ilves 2-1 and Inter Turku defeating KuPS 1-0, adding further intrigue to a match that could swing either way.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
HJK Helsinki win
33.6%
Avg Implied 36.9% · @ 2.49
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.61
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Betano
2.50
Draw
26.7%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.27
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.40
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
Betfair
3.30
Inter Turku win
39.7%
Avg Implied 34.9% · @ 2.64
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.75
Pinnacle
2.69
Unibet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.64
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HJK Helsinki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.17
2.13
1.27
2.13
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.71
1.43
1.29
1.86
2.14
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
2.50
0.94
2.88
0.75
2.12
1.12
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.90
1.53
0.53
1.73
1.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
1.79
0.96
1.83
0.67
1.75
1.25
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.5%
@ 1.25+6.6%
Under 1.5
19.5%
@ 3.54-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.20
Under
Unibet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.57
Betano
3.40
Marathonbet
3.38
1xBet
3.38
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.87+6.2%
Under 2.5
43.4%
@ 1.90-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.87
Under
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
SBO
1.88
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.2%
@ 3.08+4.2%
Under 3.5
65.8%
@ 1.32-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.26
Marathonbet
3.12
1xBet
3.12
Betano
3.05
Unibet
2.85
Under
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
60.5%
@ 1.65+4.5%
No
39.5%
@ 2.10-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.65
No
Unibet
2.18
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.10
William Hil
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 5.79+4.9%
1-2
8.8%@ 8.82+3.8%
2-1
8.0%@ 8.47+2.8%
0-1
6.9%@ 8.18+1.6%
0-0
6.4%@ 9.81+1.9%
0-2
6.2%@ 12.43+2.7%
1-0
6.2%@ 8.01+0.8%
2-2
6.2%@ 11.46+2.4%
HJK Helsinki goals ↓
Inter Turku goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
6.9%
6.2%
3.2%
1.2%
1
6.2%
12%
8.8%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.2%
8.0%
6.2%
3.2%
1.2%
3
2.4%
3.7%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.9%
1.3%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HJK Helsinki goals (down), columns = Inter Turku goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.95
Inter Turku
1.91
HJK Helsinki
1.68
Gnistan
1.64
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.45
Turku PS
1.41
Ilves
1.14
SJK
0.86
FF Jaro
0.68
Mariehamn
0.64
HJK Helsinki is 0.23 points worse than Inter Turku in terms of average points per game (1.68 vs 1.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.73
HJK Helsinki
1.64
Gnistan
1.64
Ilves
1.55
VPS
1.32
Inter Turku
1.32
Turku PS
1.27
Lahti
1.18
SJK
1.14
AC Oulu
1.14
FF Jaro
0.82
Mariehamn
0.77
HJK Helsinki is 0.32 goals better than Inter Turku in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.73
Lahti
0.86
VPS
1.00
KuPS
1.05
Turku PS
1.05
AC Oulu
1.14
HJK Helsinki
1.23
Gnistan
1.32
SJK
1.50
Ilves
1.68
Mariehamn
1.95
FF Jaro
2.00
HJK Helsinki is 0.50 goals worse than Inter Turku in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 0.73).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
HJK Helsinki is 2.9 percentage points worse than Inter Turku in terms of average possession (55% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
HJK Helsinki
For 4.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 9.8 · Total 18.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Inter Turku
For 5.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HJK Helsinki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
7.8
11.3
1.1
1.2
1.0
16.6
16.5
16.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
7.8
6.4
10.2
1.0
1.4
0.5
14.8
15.1
14.2
vs Weaker (25)
11.3
10.2
12.2
1.3
1.1
1.5
18.8
18.8
18.8
% over line
55%
36%
78%
12%
12%
12%
20%
27%
11%
% under line
45%
64%
22%
88%
88%
88%
80%
73%
89%
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.1
10.5
1.2
0.9
1.4
20.0
22.0
18.8
vs Stronger (2)
12.0
17.0
7.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
19.5
23.0
16.0
vs Similar (44)
10.5
10.4
10.5
1.2
1.0
1.4
20.8
21.9
20.0
vs Weaker (4)
13.0
-
13.0
0.8
0.0
1.5
13.5
-
13.5
% over line
64%
56%
69%
12%
12%
12%
43%
56%
36%
% under line
36%
44%
31%
88%
88%
88%
57%
44%
64%
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
11.5
Inter Turku
10.6
Mariehamn
10.3
SJK
10.1
Ilves
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
FF Jaro
10.1
HJK Helsinki
9.9
VPS
9.8
KuPS
9.8
Lahti
9.8
Turku PS
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lahti
4.5
Turku PS
4.3
Gnistan
4.0
AC Oulu
3.9
SJK
3.9
Mariehamn
3.9
Ilves
3.8
Inter Turku
3.8
VPS
3.6
FF Jaro
3.3
KuPS
3.2
HJK Helsinki
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SJK
23.8
Ilves
23.2
Inter Turku
23.2
Lahti
23.1
AC Oulu
22.7
Gnistan
22.5
VPS
22.4
KuPS
22.0
Mariehamn
21.9
Turku PS
21.8
HJK Helsinki
20.5
FF Jaro
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.3%
@ 1.49-27.2%
Under 9.5
65.7%
@ 2.38+27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.49
Under
Unibet
2.38
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
20.0%
Under 21.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HJK Helsinki or Draw
60.3%
Avg Implied 65.1% · @ 1.43
Edge
-4.8%
34%
27%
40%
covers HJK Helsinki + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Unibet
1.41
HJK Helsinki or Inter Turku
73.3%
Avg Implied 72.1% · @ 1.29
Edge
+1.2%
34%
27%
40%
covers HJK Helsinki + Inter Turku
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
SBO
1.27
Draw or Inter Turku
66.4%
Avg Implied 62.8% · @ 1.48
Edge
+3.6%
34%
27%
40%
covers Draw + Inter Turku
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5
Over
75.5%
@ 1.25+1.8%
Under
24.5%
@ 3.52-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Unibet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.54
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Marathonbet
3.48
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5
Over
41.1%
@ 2.29+0.4%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.57-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.45
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5
Over
16.8%
@ 5.10-1.3%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.13+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
Betfair
5.00
Betano
4.80
Unibet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
HJK Helsinki over/under 3.5
Over
5.5%
@ 10.69-3.3%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.03+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
13.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Inter Turku over/under 0.5
Over
78.7%
@ 1.27+6.3%
Under
21.3%
@ 3.33-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.46
Marathonbet
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Inter Turku over/under 1.5
Over
45.7%
@ 2.42+7.0%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.52-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.44
Betano
2.40
Under
Unibet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Inter Turku over/under 2.5
Over
20.2%
@ 5.55+3.6%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.11-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
Betano
5.30
Unibet
4.75
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.11
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Inter Turku over/under 3.5
Over
7.1%
@ 10.00-2.2%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HJK Helsinki, so a minus line means HJK Helsinki give that many goals of a start and Inter Turku receive them. At -1, HJK Helsinki must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HJK Helsinki win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HJK Helsinki)
HJK Helsinki -2
5.8%
@ 9.40-3.4%
Draw -2
10.1%
@ 6.15-4.0%
Inter Turku +2
84.1%
@ 1.13+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
7.20
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (HJK Helsinki)
HJK Helsinki -1
15.9%
@ 4.72-3.0%
Draw -1
17.7%
@ 4.17-3.7%
Inter Turku +1
66.4%
@ 1.49+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.15
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.00
Away
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Handicap +1 (HJK Helsinki)
HJK Helsinki +1
60.3%
@ 1.44-1.5%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 4.25-1.4%
Inter Turku -1
20.1%
@ 5.12+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Draw
Marathonbet
4.40
Unibet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
5.35
Unibet
4.90
Handicap +2 (HJK Helsinki)
HJK Helsinki +2
79.9%
@ 1.12+0.9%
Draw +2
12.2%
@ 7.00-0.5%
Inter Turku -2
8.0%
@ 10.50-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.12
Draw
Unibet
7.00
Away
Unibet
10.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HJK Helsinki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.40
1.13
0.40
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.57
0.57
0.71
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (16)
1.25
0.25
1.62
0.12
0.88
0.38
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.62
0.83
0.58
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.0%
@ 1.37+3.9%
Under 0.5
28.0%
@ 2.92-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.4%
@ 2.73+2.4%
Under 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.41-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.45
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 6.74-0.8%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.07+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.4%
@ 2.02+0.4%
Under
53.6%
@ 1.72-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Marathonbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.90
Under
Unibet
1.77
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.67
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.7%
@ 6.67-1.2%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
@ 12.00-5.6%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.8%
@ 2.07+3.0%
Under
52.2%
@ 1.68-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Under
Unibet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.6%
@ 6.90-0.8%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.07+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.1%
@ 12.50-5.4%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HJK Helsinki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
1.00
0.87
1.20
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.86
0.71
1.14
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.25
0.69
1.25
0.62
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Turku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Turku
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.37
0.87
0.07
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.08
1.00
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.2%
@ 1.22+4.9%
Under 0.5
18.8%
@ 3.91-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Under
Betano
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Marathonbet
3.94
William Hil
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.7%
@ 2.03-0.0%
Under 1.5
54.3%
@ 1.72+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
William Hil
2.05
Betano
2.05
Unibet
1.91
Under
Unibet
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.0%
@ 4.40-2.1%
Under 2.5
81.0%
@ 1.18+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
William Hil
4.50
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.5%
@ 1.72-0.3%
Under
46.5%
@ 2.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.4%
@ 4.60-2.7%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.16+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.0%
@ 10.25-5.1%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Inter Turku over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.4%
@ 1.75+1.5%
Under
45.6%
@ 1.97-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.94
Inter Turku over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.0%
@ 4.78+0.6%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.15-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
Inter Turku over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
@ 10.25-4.7%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
Under 6.5
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.1%
Under 25.5 fouls
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.7%
Under 5.5 cards
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
92.9%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
Under 5.5
92.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.9%
Under 23.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+0.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+1.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
+0.8%
Away +2 handicap
84.1%
1.13
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+7.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
83.2%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+1.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.16
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+2.7%
Under 4.5
82.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-1.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
+4.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.18
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
+2.1%
Over 1.5
80.5%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Unibet
1.20
+6.6%
Under 21.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.15
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-0.6%
Home +2 handicap
79.9%
1.12
Unibet
1.12
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
Away under 2.5 goals
79.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.11
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-3.6%
Away over 0.5 goals
78.7%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+6.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
75.5%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+1.8%
Under 3.5 cards
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.3%
1.29
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
SBO
1.27
+1.2%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.37
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
+3.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
HJK Helsinki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
T. Pukki33%
David Ezeh33%
M. Borchers29%
A. Ring20%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster20%
Mihailo Bogićević20%
Toivo Mero20%
V. Tikkanen17%
M. Ylitolva14%
Till Cissokho0%
L. Lappalainen0%
Lucas Lingman0%
J. Kallinen0%
L. Montano0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Liam Möller0%
Matej Marković0%
Martin Kirilov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Martin Kirilov40%
Mihailo Bogićević20%
Toivo Mero20%
V. Tikkanen17%
Till Cissokho0%
T. Pukki0%
A. Ring0%
L. Lappalainen0%
Lucas Lingman0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
M. Borchers0%
J. Kallinen0%
L. Montano0%
M. Ylitolva0%
David Ezeh0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Liam Möller0%
Matej Marković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Ezeh67%
T. Pukki33%
Pyry Mentu33%
Lucas Lingman29%
Liam Möller25%
Martin Kirilov20%
Till Cissokho0%
A. Ring0%
V. Tikkanen0%
L. Lappalainen0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
M. Borchers0%
J. Kallinen0%
L. Montano0%
M. Ylitolva0%
Mihailo Bogićević0%
Toivo Mero0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Matej Marković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
T. Pukki33%
M. Borchers14%
Till Cissokho0%
A. Ring0%
V. Tikkanen0%
L. Lappalainen0%
Lucas Lingman0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
J. Kallinen0%
L. Montano0%
M. Ylitolva0%
Mihailo Bogićević0%
David Ezeh0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Toivo Mero0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Liam Möller0%
Matej Marković0%
Martin Kirilov0%
Inter Turku
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Clinton Jephta40%
J. Yli-Kokko29%
Alie Conteh25%
Ilari Kangasniemi20%
J. Tuominen12%
Jussi Niska11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Prosper Ahiabu25%
Juuso Hämäläinen20%
Ilari Kangasniemi20%
Clinton Jephta20%
J. Yli-Kokko14%
Jussi Niska11%
Luka Kuittinen11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
J. Tuominen0%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Alie Conteh0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Yli-Kokko14%
J. Tuominen12%
J. Laine11%
Antoin Loic Essomba11%
Albin Granlund0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Henri Salomaa0%
V. Ulundu0%
Alie Conteh0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Ilari Kangasniemi0%
Clinton Jephta0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henri Salomaa25%
Alie Conteh25%
Clinton Jephta20%
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué14%
J. Tuominen12%
Albin Granlund0%
J. Laine0%
Juuso Hämäläinen0%
S. Saarinen0%
J. Yli-Kokko0%
E. Huuhtanen0%
Jussi Niska0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Luka Kuittinen0%
Antoin Loic Essomba0%
V. Ulundu0%
Bismark Ampofo0%
Ilari Kangasniemi0%
Eeli Kiiskila0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HJK Helsinki's squad is €2m more valuable than Inter Turku's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
HJK Helsinki's defence is €1m more valuable than Inter Turku's (€3m vs €2m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
KuPS
Gnistan
AC Oulu
VPS
Lahti
Turku PS
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
Mariehamn