This opponent (VPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VPS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.83
1.43
1.86
1.81
1.81
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
1.75
1.00
2.25
2.00
1.25
vs Similar (18)
1.72
2.00
1.50
1.62
1.90
2.30
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.25
2.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1 â
5.1%
HJK Helsinki goals ↓
VPS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
6.1%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.7%
13%
6.3%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.8%
9.5%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.8%
5.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HJK Helsinki goals (down), columns = VPS goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Turku PS
3.00
KuPS
2.09
Inter Turku
1.91
Ilves
1.88
SJK
1.84
HJK Helsinki
1.53
FF Jaro
1.26
Mariehamn
1.19
VPS
1.15
Gnistan
1.03
AC Oulu
1.00
Kooteepee
0.72
Haka
0.63
HJK Helsinki is 0.38 points better than VPS in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.15).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Turku PS
3.00
HJK Helsinki
2.31
SJK
2.19
Ilves
2.12
KuPS
1.94
Inter Turku
1.88
Gnistan
1.47
VPS
1.37
FF Jaro
1.30
AC Oulu
1.30
Mariehamn
1.26
Kooteepee
1.14
Haka
1.11
HJK Helsinki is 0.94 goals better than VPS in terms of goals scored per game (2.31 vs 1.37).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Turku PS
1.00
Inter Turku
1.03
KuPS
1.06
Ilves
1.41
VPS
1.56
SJK
1.59
HJK Helsinki
1.62
FF Jaro
1.63
Haka
1.85
Mariehamn
1.96
AC Oulu
1.96
Gnistan
2.03
Kooteepee
2.31
HJK Helsinki is 0.07 goals worse than VPS in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.56).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
58%
Ilves
54%
KuPS
53%
VPS
50%
Kooteepee
50%
Inter Turku
50%
SJK
49%
AC Oulu
49%
FF Jaro
49%
Mariehamn
48%
Gnistan
44%
Haka
44%
Turku PS
37%
HJK Helsinki is 7.9 percentage points better than VPS in terms of average possession (58% vs 50%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
HJK Helsinki
For 3.2 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.2
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 15.3 · Total 28.7
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VPS
ðĐ Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
ðĻ Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
â ïļ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
HJK Helsinki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.0
10.5
0.8
1.1
0.5
26.6
29.8
23.3
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
15.0
11.2
2.6
1.0
3.0
22.0
19.0
22.8
vs Similar (22)
9.7
10.2
7.0
1.2
2.2
0.1
31.2
32.0
27.0
vs Weaker (23)
11.0
-
11.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
22.0
-
22.0
% over line
67%
67%
67%
14%
21%
8%
75%
83%
67%
% under line
33%
33%
33%
86%
79%
92%
25%
17%
33%
This opponent (VPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VPS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
12.0
9.9
0.8
0.7
1.0
22.8
23.7
22.1
vs Stronger (11)
11.0
11.0
11.0
0.3
0.2
0.3
25.0
22.0
28.0
vs Similar (34)
10.9
12.2
9.6
1.1
0.9
1.2
22.6
24.0
21.2
vs Weaker (5)
10.0
-
10.0
0.6
0.0
1.0
21.0
-
21.0
% over line
62%
67%
57%
8%
8%
8%
69%
83%
57%
% under line
38%
33%
43%
92%
92%
92%
31%
17%
43%
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
12.5
Kooteepee
11.3
SJK
10.6
Haka
10.5
Mariehamn
10.4
VPS
9.9
KuPS
9.7
Inter Turku
9.7
Ilves
9.6
HJK Helsinki
9.3
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Kooteepee
4.8
Gnistan
4.5
Mariehamn
4.5
Inter Turku
4.4
Haka
4.4
KuPS
4.4
SJK
4.0
Ilves
3.9
VPS
3.7
HJK Helsinki
3.3
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ilves
25.2
Inter Turku
24.7
Mariehamn
24.5
SJK
24.0
KuPS
23.9
HJK Helsinki
23.1
Kooteepee
22.8
Haka
22.4
VPS
22.1
Gnistan
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.7%
Under 9.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.4%
Under 3.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.7%
Under 21.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HJK Helsinki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.36
0.43
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.69
0.22
0.44
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.42
0.60
0.40
0.57
0.43
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (VPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.50
0.64
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HJK Helsinki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.93
0.43
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.88
1.00
0.44
0.14
1.43
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.42
0.80
0.40
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (VPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.10
0.93
1.21
1.12
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.00
0.75
1.25
1.25
0.75
vs Similar (18)
1.06
1.17
1.00
1.12
1.10
1.20
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (HJK Helsinki) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HJK Helsinki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HJK Helsinki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
HJK Helsinki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Meriluoto67%
Alexander Ring38%
Michael Boamah33%
Santeri Hostikka31%
Lucas Lingman23%
Georgios Antzoulas22%
Teemu Pukki18%
Jere Kallinen17%
Michel Benjamin Stanley14%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan14%
Liam MÃķller14%
Vicente Besuijen12%
Georgios Kanellopoulos11%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster9%
Pyry Mentu8%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo BogiÄeviÄ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
David Ezeh0%
Kaius Simojoki0%
Toivo Mero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Georgios Kanellopoulos22%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster18%
Pyry Mentu17%
Ville Tikkanen14%
Liam MÃķller14%
Georgios Antzoulas11%
Teemu Pukki9%
Jere Kallinen8%
Alexander Ring8%
Lucas Lingman8%
Kaius Simojoki7%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Santeri Hostikka0%
Michel Benjamin Stanley0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo BogiÄeviÄ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
David Ezeh0%
Toivo Mero0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Teemu Pukki45%
Santeri Hostikka31%
David Ezeh25%
Lucas Lingman23%
Georgios Kanellopoulos22%
Pyry Mentu17%
Liam MÃķller14%
Kaius Simojoki14%
Alexander Ring8%
Michel Benjamin Stanley7%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
Kai Meriluoto0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Jere Kallinen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo BogiÄeviÄ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
Toivo Mero0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Santeri Hostikka38%
Alexander Ring38%
Kai Meriluoto33%
Teemu Pukki27%
Lucas Lingman15%
Georgios Kanellopoulos11%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster9%
Michel Benjamin Stanley7%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
Thijmen Nijhuis0%
Ricardo Friedrich0%
Ville Tikkanen0%
Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan0%
Vicente Besuijen0%
Jere Kallinen0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Miska Ylitolva0%
Mihailo BogiÄeviÄ0%
Ardit Tahiri0%
Michael Boamah0%
Liam MÃķller0%
David Ezeh0%
Kaius Simojoki0%
Pyry Mentu0%
Toivo Mero0%
VPS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maissa Fall40%
Jesper EngstrÃķm25%
Yassin Daoussi17%
Olli Jakonen14%
Prosper Ahiabu14%
Martti Haukioja12%
Tyler Reid0%
Tristan Dekker0%
Pedro Justiniano0%
Rasmus Leislahti0%
Antti-Ville RÃĪisÃĪnen0%
Miika Niemi0%
Yassine El Ouatki0%
Antonio Almen0%
William Wilson0%
Kalle Huhta0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Prosper Ahiabu43%
Tyler Reid29%
Martti Haukioja25%
Rasmus Leislahti20%
William Wilson20%
Pedro Justiniano17%
Yassin Daoussi17%
Miika Niemi14%
Antti-Ville RÃĪisÃĪnen12%
Yassine El Ouatki12%
Maissa Fall0%
Tristan Dekker0%
Jesper EngstrÃķm0%
Olli Jakonen0%
Antonio Almen0%
Kalle Huhta0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yassine El Ouatki38%
Alfie Cicale25%
Olli Jakonen14%
Antti-Ville RÃĪisÃĪnen12%
Tyler Reid0%
Maissa Fall0%
Tristan Dekker0%
Pedro Justiniano0%
Rasmus Leislahti0%
Jesper EngstrÃķm0%
Martti Haukioja0%
Miika Niemi0%
Yassin Daoussi0%
Prosper Ahiabu0%
Antonio Almen0%
William Wilson0%
Kalle Huhta0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maissa Fall40%
Prosper Ahiabu14%
Martti Haukioja12%
Tyler Reid0%
Tristan Dekker0%
Pedro Justiniano0%
Rasmus Leislahti0%
Jesper EngstrÃķm0%
Antti-Ville RÃĪisÃĪnen0%
Miika Niemi0%
Yassin Daoussi0%
Olli Jakonen0%
Yassine El Ouatki0%
Antonio Almen0%
William Wilson0%
Kalle Huhta0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Alfie Cicale0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
HJK Helsinki's squad is €4m more valuable than VPS's (€7m vs €3m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
HJK Helsinki's attack is €1m more valuable than VPS's (€2m vs €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
HJK Helsinki and VPS have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
HJK Helsinki's defence is €2m more valuable than VPS's (€3m vs €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
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KuPS
Inter Turku
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
Gnistan
Mariehamn
AC Oulu
Kooteepee
Haka
Turku PS